Oregon State Championship

HostCatlin Gabel
Date05/09/2015
TypeState Championship
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 1	22	5	27
2	Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	18	16	34
3	Wilson High School	Trojans	27	10	37
4	Wilsonville High School	Wildcats	21	21	42
5	Riverdale High School	Mavericks	7	38	45
6	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 2	21	26	47
7	Eagles 4	Eagles 4	40	24	64
8	Franklin High School	Quakers	21	44	65
9	Catlin Gabel School	Eagles	26	45	71
10	Cubs 1	Cubs 1	37	36	73
11	Eagles 2	Eagles 2	34	42	76
12	Eagles 5	Eagles 5	49	37	86
13	Eagles 3	Eagles 3	48	42	90
14	Eagles 1	Eagles 1	54	41	95
15	Cubs 2	Cubs 2	55	54	109

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Riverdale High School	Mavericks	1	1	1	4	7	Arthur Jenkins '15
Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	4	2	9	3	18	John Ped '16
Wilsonville High School	Wildcats	5	7	4	5	21	Alexa Ripple '16 Elizabeth Diehl '16
Franklin High School	Quakers	6	12	2	1	21	Thomas Hope '16
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 2	10	6	3	2	21	Matthew Reynolds '16 Mia Dalton '18
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 1	2	8	5	7	22	Drew Bennett '15 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Catlin Gabel School	Eagles	3	5	10	8	26	Sean Grealish '17
Wilson High School	Trojans	7	3	6	11	27	Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 Kendall Kracke '15
Eagles 2	Eagles 2	9	4	12	9	34
Cubs 1	Cubs 1	12	11	8	6	37
Eagles 4	Eagles 4	11	9	7	13	40
Eagles 3	Eagles 3	15	10	11	12	48
Eagles 5	Eagles 5	8	13	13	15	49
Eagles 1	Eagles 1	14	15	15	10	54
Cubs 2	Cubs 2	13	14	14	14	55

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 1	1	1	1	2	5	Drew Ehlers '15 Maddy Nicoloff '15
Wilson High School	Trojans	3	4	2	1	10	Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 Kendall Kracke '15
Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	7	2	4	3	16	Claire Siegel-Wilson '18
Wilsonville High School	Wildcats	4	8	3	6	21	Frederick Sigfrids '15 Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17
Eagles 4	Eagles 4	8	3	6	7	24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 2	5	5	7	9	26	Gavin Ross '16 Olivia Weissflog '17
Cubs 1	Cubs 1	6	12	14	4	36
Eagles 5	Eagles 5	2	14	11	10	37
Riverdale High School	Mavericks	9	9	15	5	38	Arthur Jenkins '15
Eagles 1	Eagles 1	14	7	9	11	41
Eagles 2	Eagles 2	12	10	8	12	42
Eagles 3	Eagles 3	13	11	5	13	42
Franklin High School	Quakers	10	6	12	DNS	44	Thomas Hope '16
Catlin Gabel School	Eagles	11	13	13	8	45	Sean Grealish '17
Cubs 2	Cubs 2	15	15	10	14	54

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
Catlin Gabel School Eagles	1	1	2	2
Franklin High School Quakers	2	2	3	3
Eagles 1 Eagles 1	3	3	4	4
Eagles 2 Eagles 2	4	4	5	5
Eagles 3 Eagles 3	5	5	6	6
Eagles 4 Eagles 4	6	6	7	7
Eagles 5 Eagles 5	7	7	8	8
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1	8	8	9	9
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2	9	9	10	10
Cubs 1 Cubs 1	10	10	11	11
Cubs 2 Cubs 2	11	11	12	12
Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks	12	12	13	13
Riverdale High School Mavericks	13	13	14	14
Wilson High School Trojans	14	14	15	15
Wilsonville High School Wildcats	15	15	1	1

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B
Catlin Gabel School Eagles	8	8	9	9
Franklin High School Quakers	9	9	10	10
Eagles 1 Eagles 1	10	10	11	11
Eagles 2 Eagles 2	11	11	12	12
Eagles 3 Eagles 3	12	12	13	13
Eagles 4 Eagles 4	13	13	14	14
Eagles 5 Eagles 5	14	14	15	15
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1	15	15	1	1
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2	1	1	2	2
Cubs 1 Cubs 1	2	2	3	3
Cubs 2 Cubs 2	3	3	4	4
Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks	4	4	5	5
Riverdale High School Mavericks	5	5	6	6
Wilson High School Trojans	6	6	7	7
Wilsonville High School Wildcats	7	7	8	8

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Catlin Gabel School	Sean Grealish '17
Eagles	Sean Grealish '17
Franklin High School	Thomas Hope '16
Quakers	Thomas Hope '16
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Drew Bennett '15	Rebecca Reynolds '17
Cardinals 1	Drew Ehlers '15	Maddy Nicoloff '15
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Matthew Reynolds '16	Mia Dalton '18
Cardinals 2	Gavin Ross '16	Olivia Weissflog '17
Oregon Episcopal School	John Ped '16
Aardvarks	Claire Siegel-Wilson '18
Riverdale High School	Arthur Jenkins '15
Mavericks	Arthur Jenkins '15
Wilson High School	Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15	Kendall Kracke '15
Trojans	Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15	Kendall Kracke '15
Wilsonville High School	Alexa Ripple '16	Elizabeth Diehl '16
Wildcats	Frederick Sigfrids '15	Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Oregon State Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes