PCISA SoCal #5 GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 9 9
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 35 35
3 Parker Parker Lancers 35 35
4 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 1 41 41
5 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 47 47
6 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 2 56 56
7 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 58 58
8 South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 60 60
9 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 60 60
10 Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 1 79 79
11 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 82 82
12 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 98 98
13 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 101 101
14 Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 2 106 106
15 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 115 115
16 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 122 122
17 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 133 133
18 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 134 134
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 9 Jack Reiter '18
Emma Batcher '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 5 3 7 6 2 4 3 5 35 Reid Wiley '18
Skyler Jacobsen '19
Parker Parker Lancers 6 5 3 2 6 2 5 6 35 Cole Harris '18
Liam Fay '18
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 1 2 2 8 11 7 3 7 1 41 Daisy Holthus '17
Lizzie Russell '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 3 6 2 9 4 9 6 8 47 Scott Mais '19
Marley Mais '17
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 2 9 11 6 3 11 5 8 3 56 Jack Plavan '19
Sarah Yang '15
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 12 4 5 5 12 6 4 10 58 Carter Lynn '16
Margaret Adams '16
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 7 8 4 4 3 14 16 4 60 Sean Tallman '18
Alex Krouse '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 11 7 9 8 5 7 2 11 60 Trenton Bashaw '18
Brooke Wilke '18
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 1 10 9 13 7 9 12 12 7 79 Hanna Mckeller '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 4 10 12 18 8 10 11 9 82 Grace Haselton '16
Seamus Spillane '17
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 8 13 15 15 10 13 10 14 98 Christina Vandyke '19
Roxanne Snyder '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 13 12 11 10 OCS 11 9 16 101 Anthony Zorayan '18
Danielle Ahir '16
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 2 14 15 10 12 13 15 15 12 106 Cade Morris '18
Drea Keswater '19
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 15 14 16 17 15 8 13 17 115 Alexandra Fayer '15
Noah Sullivan '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 16 17 17 14 14 17 14 13 122 Riley Schupak '16
Daniel Lockhart '18
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 17 16 14 13 OCS 18 18 18 133 Madison Cardullo '15
Nicole Ha '15
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 18 18 18 16 16 16 17 15 134
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 11111111111111111
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 21313131313131313
ParkerParker Lancers33333333
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins2525252525252525
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 13131313131313131
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 22929292929292929
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 12424242424242424
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 22222222222222222
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 32323232323232323
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 42121212121212121
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 52020202020202020
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 144444444
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 266666666
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance SchoolsRolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 12727272727272727
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance SchoolsRolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 22828282828282828
South Torrance High SchoolSouth Torrance High School Spartans3030303030303030
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights 11515151515151515
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights 299999999
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 Alexandra Fayer '15 Noah Sullivan '18
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 Carter Lynn '16 Margaret Adams '16
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins Christina Vandyke '19 Roxanne Snyder '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 Anthony Zorayan '18 Danielle Ahir '16
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 Madison Cardullo '15 Nicole Ha '15
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 Scott Mais '19 Marley Mais '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 Trenton Bashaw '18 Brooke Wilke '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 Reid Wiley '18 Skyler Jacobsen '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 Riley Schupak '16 Daniel Lockhart '18
Parker Parker Lancers Cole Harris '18 Liam Fay '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 Jack Reiter '18 Emma Batcher '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 Grace Haselton '16 Seamus Spillane '17
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 1 Hanna Mckeller '19
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies 2 Cade Morris '18 Drea Keswater '19
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans Sean Tallman '18 Alex Krouse '17
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 1 Daisy Holthus '17 Lizzie Russell '17
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 2 Jack Plavan '19 Sarah Yang '15

Conditions — 03/28/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From W (259°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1016.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at San Diego Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.44 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at San Diego Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at San Diego Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →