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SAISA Girls District Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 42 42
2 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 42 42
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 53 53
4 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 62 62
5 Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 72 72
6 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 103 103
7 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 108 108
8 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 119 119
9 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 142 142
10 Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy 153 153
11 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw 160 160
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 1 1 1 1 6 1 8 2 1 4 1 4 2 2 5 2 42 Louisa Nordstrom '16
Ciara Dorsay '17
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 4 2 2 2 2 1 3 5 1 2 5 4 3 3 1 42 Hannah Steadman '16 [1-16]
Kathryn Booker '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Peninah Benjamin '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 8 6 5 1 5 2 1 6 2 4 1 1 1 4 3 53 Sophia Reineke '17
Dae Kelly '17
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 4 9 3 4 3 4 3 4 2 7 3 2 3 6 1 4 62 Holly Wells '16 [1-16]
Claire Anderson '15 [1-4, 11-14]
Erica Brown '17 [5-10, 15-16]
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 7 2 4 6 5 3 7 5 4 3 6 3 6 4 2 5 72 Bailey Carter '15
Jackie Morrison '18
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 6 5 5 7 8 6 5 6 3 5 7 11 5 5 10 9 103 Delaney Brown '16 [1-16]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [1-2, 13-14]
Shani Scwartz '15 [3-4, 7-12, 15-16]
Miriam Khan '15 [5-6]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 5 7 9 3 4 7 4 10 8 6 8 6 9 7 8 7 108 Mia Porter '17
Sage Walters '17
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 8 3 10 8 7 8 10 7 10 8 5 7 7 8 7 6 119 Caroline Puckette '15
Jenny Hughes '15
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 9 6 11 9 9 10 9 9 7 9 9 8 11 9 6 11 142 Ariel Casaretto '17
Lindsey Bornstein '16
Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy 10 11 8 11 10 11 6 8 9 11 10 10 8 11 9 10 153 Clara Poffenberger '17
Brooke Papa '16
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw 11 10 7 10 11 9 11 11 11 10 11 9 10 10 11 8 160 Sydney Register '18
Ella Grace Bodie '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Compass Rose AcademyCompass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy1122334466778899
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity223344667788991010
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity4466778899101011111212
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy Thunderwolves121211223344667788
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity6677889910101111121211
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pythons7788991010111112121122
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers33446677889910101111
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens8899101011111212112233
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1010111112121122334466
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers9910101111121211223344
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw11111212112233446677
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Clara Poffenberger '17 Brooke Papa '16
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity Mia Porter '17 Sage Walters '17
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers Holly Wells '16 [1-16] Claire Anderson '15 [1-4, 11-14]
Erica Brown '17 [5-10, 15-16]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity Caroline Puckette '15 Jenny Hughes '15
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves Delaney Brown '16 [1-16] Rylee Macarthur '17 [1-2, 13-14]
Shani Scwartz '15 [3-4, 7-12, 15-16]
Miriam Khan '15 [5-6]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity Ariel Casaretto '17 Lindsey Bornstein '16
Pine View School Pine View School Pythons Louisa Nordstrom '16 Ciara Dorsay '17
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens Bailey Carter '15 Jackie Morrison '18
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers Hannah Steadman '16 [1-16] Kathryn Booker '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Peninah Benjamin '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders Sophia Reineke '17 Dae Kelly '17
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Sydney Register '18 Ella Grace Bodie '18

Conditions — 03/21/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From SW (225°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Davis Island Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Davis Island Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Davis Island Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →