SSP Combined Division - SILVER

HostSail Sand Point
Date03/21/2015
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Olympia High School	Bears	128
2	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	170
3	Ingraham High School	Rams	190
4	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	193
5	Seagulls	Seagulls	195
6	Islanders	Islanders	245
7	Aardvarks	Aardvarks	264
8	Wolverines	Wolverines	296
9	Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Engineers	303
10	Raiders	Raiders	320
11	Olympic High School	Trojans	335
12	Seahawks 2	Seahawks 2	349
13	Bulldogs	Bulldogs	416
14	Sehome High School	Mariners 2	420
15	Sehome High School	Mariners 1	455
16	Ballard High School	Beavers	456
17	Seahawks 1	Seahawks 1	463
18	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	482
19	Varsity	Varsity	540

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Olympia High School	Bears A	2	2	1	2	9	2	5	1	24	Elena Gonick '16 Leo Brine '16
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats A	7	8	4	3	17	11	2	3	55	Max Van Dam '16 Dylan Angell '18
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars A	3	10	2	1	23	5	12	27	83	Evan Lund '15 [1-6] Lina Fowler '18 [7-8] Alex Hosier '17 [1-2] Tyler Nolasco '19 [3-4, 7-8] Rebekah Arvila '18 [5-6]
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars B	1	1	22	10	12	13	20	8	87	Keven Garrett '15 [1-2, 5-6] Lina Fowler '18 [3-4] Niko Twilla '18 [7-8] Niko Twilla '18 [1-2, 5-6] Isabelle Wheeler '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Ingraham High School	Rams A	20	6	9	14	19	9	10	4	91	Avery Fulford '17 [1-6] Tim Player '16 [7-8] Kendall Butler '18 [1-6]
Seagulls	Seagulls A	24	13	10	7	2	3	19	15	93
Ingraham High School	Rams B	21	22	8	5	8	8	15	12	99	Marijke Jorna '16 [1-2] Margot Watts '19 [3-8] Lindsay Bolin '17 [1-6] Max Kauffman '18 [7-8]
Seagulls	Seagulls B	8	4	15	9	10	10	28	18	102
Olympia High School	Bears B	16	14	26	22	11	12	1	2	104	Konrad Brine '16 [1-6] Max Miller '18 [7-8] Farzana Mohamedali '16 [1-6] Konrad Brine '16 [7-8]
Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Engineers A	10	21	17	8	16	6	18	9	105	Isaac Perrin '18 [1-8] Chris Holt '18 [1-6] Ethan Perrin '16 [7-8]
Aardvarks	Aardvarks B	15	5	3	6	29	4	22	24	108
Islanders	Islanders A	18	9	7	20	1	7	31	17	110
Wolverines	Wolverines A	12	11	16	12	14	21	16	11	113
Raiders	Raiders A	9	19	18	24	22	23	9	6	130
Islanders	Islanders B	13	23	19	26	3	19	13	19	135
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 B	4	7	6	4	30	14	37	36	138	Adam Didomizio '15 Nina Sayed '15
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats B	DNF	15	25	17	13	16	8	5	138	Jordan Wood-Pina '18 [1-8] Amanda Stratton '17 [1-6] Matt Hallahan '16 [7-8]
Seahawks 2	Seahawks 2 A	19	26	14	15	15	17	6	30	142
Bulldogs	Bulldogs A	5	18	21	13	27	18	27	14	143
Aardvarks	Aardvarks A	25	24	5	16	5	15	33	33	156
Olympic High School	Trojans B	14	17	12	19	18	24	26	29	159	Reece Duitsman '18 [1-7] Matt Dublynn '18 [8] Matt Dublynn '18 [1-7] Reece Duitsman '18 [8]
Ballard High School	Beavers A	6	3	30	28	31	27	4	34	163	Margot Watts '19 [1-6] Yumi Shridhar '16 [7-8] Max Kauffman '18 [1-6] Emma Blumhagen '16 [7-8]
Olympic High School	Trojans A	DNS	DNS	13	11	21	20	17	16	176	Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [1-6] Carson Short '19 [7-8] Reece Duitsman '18 [1-2] Carson Short '19 [3-6] Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [7-8]
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 A	DNS	16	28	27	7	29	11	22	179
Wolverines	Wolverines B	11	20	24	23	24	28	30	23	183
Raiders	Raiders B	26	DNS	11	18	26	DNS	24	7	190
Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Engineers B	23	12	20	21	25	26	32	DNS	198	Yumi Shridhar '16 [1-6] Luke Gibbons '18 [7-8] Luke Gibbons '18 [1-6] Chris Holt '18 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans B	17	25	27	DNS	DNS	DNS	7	13	206	Christoph Webber '18 [1-8] Quinn Ring '18 [1-6] Zachary Mellin '16 [7-8]
Seahawks 2	Seahawks 2 B	DNS	DNS	23	25	28	30	3	20	207
Seahawks 1	Seahawks 1 B	22	28	DNS	DNS	6	22	25	31	212
Varsity	Varsity B	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	4	1	DNS	DNS	239
Seahawks 1	Seahawks 1 A	DNS	27	DNS	DNS	20	25	36	26	251
Bulldogs	Bulldogs B	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	29	10	273
Bainbridge High School	Spartans A	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	21	21	276	Nicole Sanford '16 Harrison Saliba '17
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 B	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	14	28	276
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 A	DNS	DNS	29	DNS	DNS	DNS	23	35	282	Adam Didomizio '15 Nina Sayed '15
Ballard High School	Beavers B	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DSQ	DSQ	34	25	293	Joe Ubelhart '16
Varsity	Varsity A	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	35	32	301

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Ingraham High School Rams							13	13
Islanders Islanders					13	13	14	14
Varsity Varsity	13	13	14	14	15	15	16	16
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	15	15	16	16			6	6
Aardvarks Aardvarks	14	14	15	15	16	16	2	2
Olympia High School Bears	16	16	24	24	6	6	7	7
Olympic High School Trojans	2	2	6	6	7	7	8	8
Sehome High School Mariners 1	6	6	7	7	8	8
Sehome High School Mariners 2	7	7	8	8
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers			13	13	14	14	15	15

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Seahawks 1 Seahawks 1	8	8
Seahawks 2 Seahawks 2							24	24
Bainbridge High School Spartans					24	24	25	25
Ballard High School Beavers					25	25	26	26
Raiders Raiders	24	24	25	25	26	26	27	27
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	25	25	26	26	27	27	28	28
Seagulls Seagulls	26	26	27	27	28	28	29	29
Wolverines Wolverines	27	27	28	28	29	29	30	30
Bulldogs Bulldogs	28	28	29	29	30	30	31	31
Ingraham High School Rams	29	29	30	30	31	31	32	32
Islanders Islanders	30	30	31	31	32	32
Varsity Varsity	32	32
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats							81	81
Olympia High School Bears					81	81	82	82
Olympic High School Trojans			81	81	82	82
Sehome High School Mariners 1	81	81	82	82
Sehome High School Mariners 2	82	82
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers	31	31	32	32

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Nicole Sanford '16	Harrison Saliba '17
Spartans	Christoph Webber '18 [1-8]	Quinn Ring '18 [1-6] Zachary Mellin '16 [7-8]
Ballard High School	Margot Watts '19 [1-6] Yumi Shridhar '16 [7-8]	Max Kauffman '18 [1-6] Emma Blumhagen '16 [7-8]
Beavers	Joe Ubelhart '16
Central Kitsap High School	Evan Lund '15 [1-6] Lina Fowler '18 [7-8]	Alex Hosier '17 [1-2] Tyler Nolasco '19 [3-4, 7-8] Rebekah Arvila '18 [5-6]
Cougars	Keven Garrett '15 [1-2, 5-6] Lina Fowler '18 [3-4] Niko Twilla '18 [7-8]	Niko Twilla '18 [1-2, 5-6] Isabelle Wheeler '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Ingraham High School	Avery Fulford '17 [1-6] Tim Player '16 [7-8]	Kendall Butler '18 [1-6]
Rams	Marijke Jorna '16 [1-2] Margot Watts '19 [3-8]	Lindsay Bolin '17 [1-6] Max Kauffman '18 [7-8]
Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Isaac Perrin '18 [1-8]	Chris Holt '18 [1-6] Ethan Perrin '16 [7-8]
Engineers	Yumi Shridhar '16 [1-6] Luke Gibbons '18 [7-8]	Luke Gibbons '18 [1-6] Chris Holt '18 [7-8]
Oak Harbor High School	Max Van Dam '16	Dylan Angell '18
Wildcats	Jordan Wood-Pina '18 [1-8]	Amanda Stratton '17 [1-6] Matt Hallahan '16 [7-8]
Olympia High School	Elena Gonick '16	Leo Brine '16
Bears	Konrad Brine '16 [1-6] Max Miller '18 [7-8]	Farzana Mohamedali '16 [1-6] Konrad Brine '16 [7-8]
Olympic High School	Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [1-6] Carson Short '19 [7-8]	Reece Duitsman '18 [1-2] Carson Short '19 [3-6] Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [7-8]
Trojans	Reece Duitsman '18 [1-7] Matt Dublynn '18 [8]	Matt Dublynn '18 [1-7] Reece Duitsman '18 [8]
Sehome High School	Adam Didomizio '15	Nina Sayed '15
Mariners 2	Adam Didomizio '15	Nina Sayed '15

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SSP Combined Division - SILVER

Division A

Division B

From the notes