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Little Daddy NorCal #6 GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 11 11
2 Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 27 27
3 Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 27 27
4 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 32 32
5 Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings 33 33
6 Half Moon Bay High School Half Moon Bay High School Cougars 38 38
7 Los Altos High Los Altos High Eagles 56 56
8 St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 59 59
9 Menlo School Menlo School Varsity 66 66
10 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 67 67
11 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 72 72
12 Woodside Priory School Woodside Priory School Woodside Priory 73 73
13 Sir Francis Drake Sir Francis Drake Varsity 79 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 11 Connell Phillipps '19
Madeline Stull '19
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 1 4 6 5 1 3 7 27 Ian Collignon '16
Chloe Long '19
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 4 8 4 4 3 2 2 27 Olivia Beers '17
Josselyn Verutti '17
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 5 2 3 3 8 6 5 32 Liam Farese '18
Gabe Di Donato '15
Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings 9 1 5 6 4 5 3 33 Thomas Samuels '17
Michael Zheng '19
Half Moon Bay High School Half Moon Bay High School Cougars 3 5 11 2 5 8 4 38 Sam Reynolds '17
Brett Baron '16
Los Altos High Los Altos High Eagles 7 7 12 11 6 4 9 56 Albert Zhao '19
Amir Tadros '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 6 9 2 9 12 9 12 59 Jonar Tanguilig '16
Evelyn Plam '19
Menlo School Menlo School Varsity 10 6 9 7 13 13 8 66 Bjorn Antell '17
Taggart Bonham '16
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 12 10 13 12 7 7 6 67 Daniel Erisman '19
Kristen Zarembinski '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 11 11 10 8 11 11 10 72 John Deruff '17
Cali Salinas '19
Woodside Priory School Woodside Priory School Woodside Priory OCS 12 7 10 9 10 11 73 Jacob Kowalski '19
Ryan Schackel '19
Sir Francis Drake Sir Francis Drake Varsity 8 OCS 8 OCS 10 12 13 79 Gabe Reuter '19 [1-3]
George Kripac '17 [4-7]
Liam Seitz '19 [1-3]
Justin Zimmerman '18 [4-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Half Moon Bay High SchoolHalf Moon Bay High School Cougars137137137137137137137
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Harbor Pirates107107107107107107107
Kirby SchoolKirby School Kirby Varsity106106106106106106106
Los Altos HighLos Altos High Eagles33333333333333
Lynbrook High SchoolLynbrook High School Vikings32323232323232
Menlo SchoolMenlo School Varsity30303030303030
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors57575757575757
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1136136136136136136136
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2121121121121121121121
Sir Francis DrakeSir Francis Drake Varsity67676767676767
St. Ignatius College Prep, San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity3333333
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers83838383838383
Woodside Priory SchoolWoodside Priory School Woodside Priory28282828282828
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Half Moon Bay High School Half Moon Bay High School Cougars Sam Reynolds '17 Brett Baron '16
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates Ian Collignon '16 Chloe Long '19
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity Olivia Beers '17 Josselyn Verutti '17
Los Altos High Los Altos High Eagles Albert Zhao '19 Amir Tadros '19
Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings Thomas Samuels '17 Michael Zheng '19
Menlo School Menlo School Varsity Bjorn Antell '17 Taggart Bonham '16
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors Daniel Erisman '19 Kristen Zarembinski '19
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 Connell Phillipps '19 Madeline Stull '19
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 Liam Farese '18 Gabe Di Donato '15
Sir Francis Drake Sir Francis Drake Varsity Gabe Reuter '19 [1-3]
George Kripac '17 [4-7]		 Liam Seitz '19 [1-3]
Justin Zimmerman '18 [4-7]
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity Jonar Tanguilig '16 Evelyn Plam '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers John Deruff '17 Cali Salinas '19
Woodside Priory School Woodside Priory School Woodside Priory Jacob Kowalski '19 Ryan Schackel '19

Conditions — 04/03/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley/Sir Francis Drake: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.64 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley/Sir Francis Drake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Berkeley/Sir Francis Drake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →