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Little Daddy #6 SILVER

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 19 19
2 San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils 1 21 21
3 St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 27 27
4 San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils 2 30 30
5 Stevenson School Stevenson School Varsity 2 40 40
6 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 3 42 42
7 Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 52 52
8 International HS - San Francisco, CA International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity 56 56
9 Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 65 65
10 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 70 70
11 Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings 70 70
12 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 73 73
13 Woodside High School Woodside High School Wildcat 73 73
14 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 76 76
15 Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Varsity 80 80
16 Monte Vista Mustangs Monte Vista Mustangs Monte Vista Mustangs 83 83
17 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 84 84
18 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 4 97 97
19 Varsity Varsity Varsity 107 107
20 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 110 110
21 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 117 117
22 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 144 144
23 Stevenson School Stevenson School Varsity 1 144 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 2 1 6 4 4 2 19 Kali Gibbs '18
Michael Brandon '16
San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils 1 4 11 2 1 2 1 21 Micherice Tao '19
Rachel Sherr '16
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 7 2 5 2 8 3 27 Mackenzie Berwick '18
Gabriella Schmidt '18
San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils 2 1 6 3 6 3 11 30 Jeremy Gillespie '17
Kai Hill '17
Stevenson School Stevenson School Varsity 2 13 4 1 5 12 5 40 Ian Smelser '17
Vic Sahni '17
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 3 12 5 4 3 14 4 42 Alex Meislich '19
Sean Engelbrechtin '18
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 6 9 12 8 10 7 52 Quinn Donahue '16
Bryn Anderson '18
International HS - San Francisco, CA International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity 3 15 11 16 5 6 56 Jade Greer '19 [1-6]
Colin Ruppert '16 [1-2, 5]
Sara Tamayo-Correa '18 [3-4, 6]
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 9 19 20 7 1 9 65 Paige Dunlevy '16
Zoe Shane '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 11 3 10 12 19 15 70 William Hale '18
Reid Wishner '19
Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings 14 17 8 10 13 8 70 Andrew Zheng '19
Eric Hong '17
Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 5 7 18 20 9 14 73
Woodside High School Woodside High School Wildcat 8 10 13 14 11 17 73 Tyler Davis '18
Madeleine Roman '16
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 17 8 7 15 16 13 76 Will Drury '18 [1-2, 5]
Alex Pick '19 [3-4, 6]
Alex Pick '19 [1-2, 5]
Will Drury '18 [3-4, 6]
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Varsity 15 16 9 18 6 16 80 Raffi Altman-Allen '16
Laurel Richardson '16
Monte Vista Mustangs Monte Vista Mustangs Monte Vista Mustangs 16 12 15 11 17 12 83
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 10 13 19 9 15 18 84 Emma Figueredo '19
Jack Curphey '19
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 4 19 14 17 21 7 19 97 Nickolas Monrique '19
Lillian Rose-Wickman '19
Varsity Varsity Varsity 21 DNS 14 17 21 10 107
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 18 20 21 13 18 20 110 Griffin Chen '19
Emma Jones '18
Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 20 18 16 19 20 DNS 117
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 144
Stevenson School Stevenson School Varsity 1 DNF DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 144 Alan Peng '18
Susanna Yan '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Berkeley High SchoolBerkeley High School Varsity606060606060
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs101010101010
International HS - San Francisco, CAInternational HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity777777
Lick-Wilmerding High SchoolLick-Wilmerding High School Tigers555555
Cardinals 1Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1747474747474
Cardinals 2Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2727272727272
Lynbrook High SchoolLynbrook High School Vikings272727272727
Monte Vista MustangsMonte Vista Mustangs Monte Vista Mustangs105105105105105105
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1122122122122122122
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2303030303030
San Francisco University High SchoolSan Francisco University High School Red Devils 1111111
San Francisco University High SchoolSan Francisco University High School Red Devils 2222222
St. Ignatius College Prep, San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity444444
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Varsity 1979797979797
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Varsity 2999999999999
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1140140140140140140
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2133133133133133133
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 3149139139139139139
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 4134134134134134134
VarsityVarsity Varsity484848484848
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1828282828282
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2818181818181
Woodside High SchoolWoodside High School Wildcat343434343434

Conditions — 04/03/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley/Sir Francis Drake: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley/Sir Francis Drake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Berkeley/Sir Francis Drake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →