Minnesota Girl's State Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Bears Bears Bears 12 12
2 Scarlet 1 Scarlet 1 Scarlet 1 17 17
3 Zephyrs 3 Zephyrs 3 Zephyrs 3 26 26
4 Zephyrs 2 Zephyrs 2 Zephyrs 2 30 30
5 Navy Navy Navy 32 32
6 Mustangs Mustangs Mustangs 32 32
7 Varsity Varsity Varsity 40 40
8 Varsity Varsity Varsity 40 40
9 Scarlet 2 Scarlet 2 Scarlet 2 49 49
10 Zephyrs 1 Zephyrs 1 Zephyrs 1 53 53
11 Varsity Varsity Varsity 65 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT
Bears Bears Bears 1 3 3 1 3 1 12
Scarlet 1 Scarlet 1 Scarlet 1 3 1 1 3 4 5 17
Zephyrs 3 Zephyrs 3 Zephyrs 3 9 2 2 2 7 4 26
Zephyrs 2 Zephyrs 2 Zephyrs 2 6 4 6 6 6 2 30
Navy Navy Navy 4 6 10 7 2 3 32
Mustangs Mustangs Mustangs 5 7 4 4 5 7 32
Varsity Varsity Varsity 2 5 7 9 8 9 40
Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 9 8 5 1 6 40
Scarlet 2 Scarlet 2 Scarlet 2 8 8 5 8 10 10 49
Zephyrs 1 Zephyrs 1 Zephyrs 1 7 10 9 10 9 8 53
Varsity Varsity Varsity 10 11 11 11 11 11 65
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
VarsityVarsity Varsity212121212121
Zephyrs 1Zephyrs 1 Zephyrs 1191919191919
Zephyrs 2Zephyrs 2 Zephyrs 2171717171717
Zephyrs 3Zephyrs 3 Zephyrs 3202020202020
MustangsMustangs Mustangs181818181818
Scarlet 1Scarlet 1 Scarlet 1242424242424
Scarlet 2Scarlet 2 Scarlet 2161616161616
NavyNavy Navy141414141414
VarsityVarsity Varsity232323232323
VarsityVarsity Varsity222222222222
BearsBears Bears151515151515

Conditions — 05/28/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1008.2 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From N (5°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1008.2 hPa Rain0.16 in

What this breeze does at Minnetonka — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Minnetonka in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnetonka by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Minnetonka, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →