NWISA Combined Division GOLD

HostSail Sand Point
Date03/12/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Sehome High School	Mariners V	108
2	Woodinville High School	Falcons 1	134
3	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	146
4	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 1	176
5	Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	189
6	Vikings 1	Vikings 1	199
7	Friday Harbor High School	Wolverines	213
8	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	213
9	Varsity	Varsity	224
10	Vikings 2	Vikings 2	226
11	Olympia High School	Blue	248
12	Red Hawks	Red Hawks	257
13	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	276
14	Seahawks	Seahawks	313
15	Woodinville High School	Falcons 2	315
16	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	318
17	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 2	378
18	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	380
19	Olympia High School	White	391
20	Bellingham High School	Raiders	394

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Friday Harbor High School	Wolverines A	15	1	3	1	14	3	37	Marina West '22 Zoe Calverly '23
Sehome High School	Mariners V A	3	5	13	9	6	2	38	Jeffrey Werner '16 Mallory Hood '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 A	14	10	9	13	1	1	48	Blake Bentzen '16 [1-6] Quinn Ring '18 [1-2] Nicole Sanford '16 [3-4] Harrison Saliba '17 [5-6]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals A	16	2	1	12	4	13	48	Matthew Reynolds '16 [1-6] Ian Stewart '17 [1-2, 5-6] Mia Dalton '18 [3-4]
Woodinville High School	Falcons 1 B	4	7	31	2	2	12	58	Erik Skeel '16 Nicolai Blasdel '17
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 1 A	23	3	4	6	5	29	70	Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17 Annelise Pardee '19
Sehome High School	Mariners V B	8	19	18	16	3	6	70	Liam Hood '16 Quinn Shultis '16
Vikings 2	Vikings 2 A	31	4	7	4	9	16	71
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 A	5	12	6	3	32	17	75	Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-6] Sophie Crandell '18 [1-2] Sophia Kasper '18 [3-6]
Woodinville High School	Falcons 1 A	20	17	15	11	8	5	76	Tim Player '16 [1-4] Karl Skeel '16 [5-6] Henry Barrow '16 [1-4] Tim Player '16 [5-6]
Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks A	19	6	5	15	13	23	81	John Ped '16 [1-6] Ella Crosby '18 [1-2, 5-6] Olivia Weissflog '17 [3-4]
Vikings 1	Vikings 1 B	12	9	21	14	16	22	94
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats A	18	18	22	22	10	7	97	Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Dylan Angell '18
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals B	2	16	12	29	15	24	98	Riley Read '17 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Vikings 1	Vikings 1 A	24	24	16	7	20	14	105
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 1 B	10	22	24	21	25	4	106	Liam Sherry '16 Julia Sherry '19
Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks B	33	27	2	10	26	10	108	Claire Siegel-Wilson '18 Ronan Waterson '18
Varsity	Varsity A	25	8	11	24	17	27	112
Varsity	Varsity B	22	DNF	10	8	23	8	112
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats B	21	21	17	DNS	7	9	116	Max Van Dam '16 Matt Dixon '17
Red Hawks	Red Hawks B	17	14	DNS	5	22	18	117
Olympia High School	Blue A	1	26	27	17	21	30	122	Elena Gonick '16 [1-6] No Show [1-4] Konrad Brine '16 [5-6]
Seahawks	Seahawks A	28	15	23	26	19	15	126
Olympia High School	Blue B	9	34	19	18	27	19	126	Max Miller '18 [1-6] Leo Brine '16 [1-4] Antonio Dunlap '18 [5-6]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 2 A	36	11	29	25	12	20	133	Maddie Ekin '16 [1-6] Alaina Marcotte '19 [1-4] Morgan Chapman '19 [5-6]
Red Hawks	Red Hawks A	13	23	DNS	DNS	11	11	140
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3 A	39	29	20	19	18	25	150	Karl Anderson '16 [1-4] Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [5-6] Kathryn Smith '17 [1-2] Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [3-4] Karl Anderson '16 [5-6]
Woodinville High School	Falcons 2 A	11	31	8	20	DNS	DNS	152	Karl Skeel '16 Kristan Lund '16
Vikings 2	Vikings 2 B	26	20	28	23	30	28	155
Olympia High School	White A	7	13	14	DNF	DNS	DNS	157	Owen Timms '19 Evan Krug '19
Woodinville High School	Falcons 2 B	6	32	25	28	31	DNF	163	Margot Watts '19 Marijke Jorna '16
Friday Harbor High School	Wolverines B	27	33	30	31	29	26	176	Max Kessler '16 [1-6] Will Hagmann '22 [1-4] Alanna Halliday '16 [5-6]
Bellingham High School	Raiders B	37	37	26	27	28	21	176	Hannah Roy '17 Lauren Whitkopf '18
Seahawks	Seahawks B	32	28	32	30	24	DNF	187
Bellingham High School	Raiders A	29	25	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	218	Nicholas Bourlier '16 Peyton Nienaber '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 B	34	30	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	228	Elizabeth Rolfes '17 Lizi Dauber '19
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3 B	30	36	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	230	Harrison Saliba '17 [1, 3-6] Sophia Kasper '18 [2] Sophia Kasper '18 [1, 3-6] Harrison Saliba '17 [2]
Olympia High School	White B	35	35	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	234	Konrad Brine '16 Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '18
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 B	38	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	243	Nicole Sanford '16 Jack Sobeck '19
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 2 B	40	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	245	Nicholas Jordan '16 Mason Spaun '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.250+0.25

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Seahawks Seahawks			38	38
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	38	38			7	7
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2			36	36
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	36	36			38	38
Bellingham High School Raiders					13	13
Friday Harbor High School Wolverines					36	36
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	13	13	3	3	1	1
Red Hawks Red Hawks	111	111	15	15	30	30
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1	3	3	13	13
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2	1	1	43	43	45	45
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	43	43	1	1	3	3
Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks	15	15	111	111
Olympia High School Blue	45	45	10	10	32	32
Olympia High School White	10	10	45	45	43	43
Vikings 1 Vikings 1	32	32	30	30	15	15
Vikings 2 Vikings 2	30	30	32	32	10	10
Sehome High School Mariners V					8	8
Varsity Varsity					111	111
Woodinville High School Falcons 1	8	8	6	6
Woodinville High School Falcons 2	6	6	8	8

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Seahawks Seahawks			12	12
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	12	12			6	6
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2			37	37
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	37	37			12	12
Bellingham High School Raiders					14	14
Friday Harbor High School Wolverines					37	37
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	14	14	4	4	2	2
Red Hawks Red Hawks	131	131	16	16	31	31
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1	4	4	14	14
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2	2	2	44	44
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	44	44	2	2	4	4
Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks	16	16	131	131
Olympia High School Blue			11	11	5	5
Olympia High School White	11	11			44	44
Vikings 1 Vikings 1	5	5	31	31	16	16
Vikings 2 Vikings 2	31	31	5	5	11	11
Sehome High School Mariners V			41	41	9	9
Varsity Varsity	41	41			131	131
Woodinville High School Falcons 1	9	9	7	7
Woodinville High School Falcons 2	7	7	9	9	41	41

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Blake Bentzen '16 [1-6]	Quinn Ring '18 [1-2] Nicole Sanford '16 [3-4] Harrison Saliba '17 [5-6]
Spartans 1	Elizabeth Rolfes '17	Lizi Dauber '19
Bainbridge High School	Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-6]	Sophie Crandell '18 [1-2] Sophia Kasper '18 [3-6]
Spartans 2	Nicole Sanford '16	Jack Sobeck '19
Bainbridge High School	Karl Anderson '16 [1-4] Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [5-6]	Kathryn Smith '17 [1-2] Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [3-4] Karl Anderson '16 [5-6]
Spartans 3	Harrison Saliba '17 [1, 3-6] Sophia Kasper '18 [2]	Sophia Kasper '18 [1, 3-6] Harrison Saliba '17 [2]
Bellingham High School	Nicholas Bourlier '16	Peyton Nienaber '23
Raiders	Hannah Roy '17	Lauren Whitkopf '18
Friday Harbor High School	Marina West '22	Zoe Calverly '23
Wolverines	Max Kessler '16 [1-6]	Will Hagmann '22 [1-4] Alanna Halliday '16 [5-6]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Matthew Reynolds '16 [1-6]	Ian Stewart '17 [1-2, 5-6] Mia Dalton '18 [3-4]
Cardinals	Riley Read '17	Rebecca Reynolds '17
North Kitsap High School	Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17	Annelise Pardee '19
Dogfish 1	Liam Sherry '16	Julia Sherry '19
North Kitsap High School	Maddie Ekin '16 [1-6]	Alaina Marcotte '19 [1-4] Morgan Chapman '19 [5-6]
Dogfish 2	Nicholas Jordan '16	Mason Spaun '19
Oak Harbor High School	Jordan Wood-Pina '18	Dylan Angell '18
Wildcats	Max Van Dam '16	Matt Dixon '17
Olympia High School	Elena Gonick '16 [1-6]	No Show [1-4] Konrad Brine '16 [5-6]
Blue	Max Miller '18 [1-6]	Leo Brine '16 [1-4] Antonio Dunlap '18 [5-6]
Olympia High School	Owen Timms '19	Evan Krug '19
White	Konrad Brine '16	Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '18
Oregon Episcopal School	John Ped '16 [1-6]	Ella Crosby '18 [1-2, 5-6] Olivia Weissflog '17 [3-4]
Aardvarks	Claire Siegel-Wilson '18	Ronan Waterson '18
Sehome High School	Jeffrey Werner '16	Mallory Hood '23
Mariners V	Liam Hood '16	Quinn Shultis '16
Woodinville High School	Tim Player '16 [1-4] Karl Skeel '16 [5-6]	Henry Barrow '16 [1-4] Tim Player '16 [5-6]
Falcons 1	Erik Skeel '16	Nicolai Blasdel '17
Woodinville High School	Karl Skeel '16	Kristan Lund '16
Falcons 2	Margot Watts '19	Marijke Jorna '16

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NWISA Combined Division GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes