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PCISA 2015 2016 SoCal #5 SILVER

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 41 41
2 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 57 57
3 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 61 61
4 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1 69 69
5 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2 84 84
6 Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity 99 99
7 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 104 104
8 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 105 105
9 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2 120 120
10 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 123 123
11 Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Varsity 132 132
12 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1 144 144
13 JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 145 145
14 Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 1 157 157
15 Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity 161 161
16 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 163 163
17 Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 2 169 169
18 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 170 170
19 JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 193 193
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 1 8 1 1 1 3 1 1 5 9 6 4 41 Timmy Fraher '20
Daniel De La Vega '20
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 3 1 5 7 3 1 11 3 4 2 10 7 57 Sean Caulfield '19
Andrew Larson '17
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 5 10 3 2 4 2 9 5 10 6 2 3 61 Isabelle Meegan '19
Dylan Strode '18
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1 2 5 2 8 5 10 12 2 3 7 3 10 69 Christina Vandyke '19
Alexis Hall '17
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2 14 2 9 5 6 9 7 4 7 12 7 2 84 Keltin Hill '17
Brett Peoples '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity 6 14 8 3 8 OCS 5 OCS 12 1 1 1 99 Juliane Oberstein '18
Audrey Mahowald '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 15 4 6 12 7 15 8 11 9 3 8 6 104 Matt Sanchez '18
Sarah Wilkes '16
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 8 6 13 14 2 5 4 7 1 14 DSQ 11 105 Alex Bastuba '18
Tanner Jacobs-Bonnett '18
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2 4 3 11 16 12 6 6 15 2 17 15 13 120 Grant Coors '19
Alex Gou '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 10 11 4 OCS 10 8 13 8 14 5 11 9 123 Kyle Farmer '19
Neal Johnson '19
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Varsity 7 12 10 4 11 12 15 14 13 15 4 15 132 Micky Munns '19
Alex Shapiro '19
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1 9 7 15 11 18 16 14 6 16 10 5 17 144
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 13 16 12 10 15 14 2 9 OCS 4 16 14 145 Ashtyn Winchell '17
Amadea Lenger '17
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 1 DNS DNS DNS 15 13 11 3 OCS 8 13 9 5 157 Tom Morel '19
Mason Kaplan '20
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity 16 18 14 9 19 7 16 12 17 8 17 8 161 Aaron Ferralles '18
Elizabeth Hermenegildo '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 12 9 7 13 14 17 10 10 11 DNS DNS DNS 163 Kelli Wilkes '18
Mark Shishja '19
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 2 11 15 16 17 9 4 19 OCS 18 11 13 16 169 Taylor Milefchek '18
Julia Golison '19
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 17 13 17 6 17 13 17 13 15 16 14 12 170 Charlie Clausen '19
David (Dj) Austin '18
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 18 17 18 18 16 18 18 16 6 18 12 18 193 Luis Tellez '17
Ian Sysyn '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 1424242424242424242424242
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 2989898989898989898989898
JSerra Catholic High SchoolJSerra Catholic High School Lions 1898989898989898989898989
JSerra Catholic High SchoolJSerra Catholic High School Lions 2888888888888888888888888
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 1969696969696969696969696
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 2979797979797979797979797
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1999999999999999999999999
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2909090909090909090909090
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 1929292929292929292929292
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 2949494949494949494949494
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1858585858585858585858585
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2959595959595959595959595
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 1777777777777
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 2888888888888
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 3999999999999
Port of Los Angeles High SchoolPort of Los Angeles High School Varsity868686868686868686868686
Palos Verdes Peninsula High SchoolPalos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity848484848484848484848484
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Varsity919191919191919191919191
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning878787878787878787878787
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 Alex Bastuba '18 Tanner Jacobs-Bonnett '18
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 Charlie Clausen '19 David (Dj) Austin '18
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 Ashtyn Winchell '17 Amadea Lenger '17
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 Luis Tellez '17 Ian Sysyn '17
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 1 Tom Morel '19 Mason Kaplan '20
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 2 Taylor Milefchek '18 Julia Golison '19
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1 Christina Vandyke '19 Alexis Hall '17
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2 Keltin Hill '17 Brett Peoples '20
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 Kelli Wilkes '18 Mark Shishja '19
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 Matt Sanchez '18 Sarah Wilkes '16
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2 Grant Coors '19 Alex Gou '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity Juliane Oberstein '18 Audrey Mahowald '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 Kyle Farmer '19 Neal Johnson '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 Sean Caulfield '19 Andrew Larson '17
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 Timmy Fraher '20 Daniel De La Vega '20
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity Aaron Ferralles '18 Elizabeth Hermenegildo '19
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Varsity Micky Munns '19 Alex Shapiro '19
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning Isabelle Meegan '19 Dylan Strode '18

Conditions — 02/06/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From NNW (327°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cathedral Catholic: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cathedral Catholic by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Cathedral Catholic: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →