Tier III- Milwaukee Yacht Club

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Oshkosh West High School Oshkosh West High School Wildcats 8 8
2 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 20 20
3 Winneconne High School Winneconne High School Wolves 24 24
4 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 34 34
5 PiusXI High School PiusXI High School Varsity 38 38
6 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 44 44
7 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 64 64
8 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 68 68
9 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 69 69
10 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 73 73
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Oshkosh West High School Oshkosh West High School Wildcats 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 Reed Weston '19
Karson Mraz '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 20 Chapman Petersen '20
Joe Goodzey '20
Winneconne High School Winneconne High School Wolves 3 3 2 5 2 2 3 4 24 Tommy Rorrer '18
Bailey Lira '20
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 6 4 5 3 5 5 4 2 34 Will Grosspietsch '18 [1-8]
Graves Anna '18 [1-2, 8]
Odeja Ryan '19 [3-5]
Wagner Emma '20 [6-7]
PiusXI High School PiusXI High School Varsity 5 5 6 4 4 4 5 5 38 Hunter Atwell '17
Ben Rondini '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 4 6 4 6 6 6 6 6 44 Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [1-8]
Etain Mckinney '18 [1-2]
Bridget Falkenhayn '19 [3-7]
Kari Hoover '18 [8]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 7 DNF 7 9 8 8 7 7 64 Andrew Lestingi '17 [1-8]
Susie Driscoll '18 [1-2]
Caroline Yardley '16 [3-5]
Etain Mckinney '18 [6-8]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 9 8 10 10 7 7 9 8 68 Hunter Keating '18
Lucy Merkel '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 8 7 9 8 10 10 8 9 69 Dillon Hollingsworth '20
Casey Murray '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 DNF 9 8 7 9 9 10 10 73 Gregor Leech '18 [1-8]
Bridget Falkenhayn '19 [1-2]
Katherine Lestingi '18 [3-6]
Caroline Yardley '16 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 13131313131313131
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 23232323232323232
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 12323232323232323
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 266666666
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 311111111
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers1111111111111111
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons5252525252525252
Oshkosh West High SchoolOshkosh West High School Wildcats55555555
PiusXI High SchoolPiusXI High School Varsity2121212121212121
Winneconne High SchoolWinneconne High School Wolves41624162416241624162416241624162
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 Dillon Hollingsworth '20 Casey Murray '20
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 Chapman Petersen '20 Joe Goodzey '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [1-8] Etain Mckinney '18 [1-2]
Bridget Falkenhayn '19 [3-7]
Kari Hoover '18 [8]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 Andrew Lestingi '17 [1-8] Susie Driscoll '18 [1-2]
Caroline Yardley '16 [3-5]
Etain Mckinney '18 [6-8]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 Gregor Leech '18 [1-8] Bridget Falkenhayn '19 [1-2]
Katherine Lestingi '18 [3-6]
Caroline Yardley '16 [7-8]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers Hunter Keating '18 Lucy Merkel '19
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons Will Grosspietsch '18 [1-8] Graves Anna '18 [1-2, 8]
Odeja Ryan '19 [3-5]
Wagner Emma '20 [6-7]
Oshkosh West High School Oshkosh West High School Wildcats Reed Weston '19 Karson Mraz '19
PiusXI High School PiusXI High School Varsity Hunter Atwell '17 Ben Rondini '18
Winneconne High School Winneconne High School Wolves Tommy Rorrer '18 Bailey Lira '20

Conditions — 04/30/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From N (10°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1025.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marquette/PiusXI/Shorewood/University of Milwa: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.65 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette/PiusXI/Shorewood/University of Milwa by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Marquette/PiusXI/Shorewood/University of Milwa: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →