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Conference Regatta #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 16 12 28
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 33 21 54
3 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 22 35 57
4 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 31 32 63
5 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 18 58 76
6 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 46 33 79
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 54 31 85
8 Providence Academy Providence Academy Navy 52 37 89
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 53 38 91
10 Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 46 56 102
11 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 38 67 105
12 Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 60 51 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 1 8 1 1 3 16 Erich Pinske '18
Louise Rosenbaum '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 3 2 2 3 3 5 18 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Reid Vanatta '20
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 7 7 3 2 2 1 22 Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6]
Anika Liner '21 [1-2]
Jose Varela '19 [3-6]
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 1 12 4 6 6 2 31 Simon Rothman '17
Natasha Levy '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 4 5 1 5 5 OCS 33 Henry Westlind '19
Kacy Bryant '18
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 10 4 6 7 7 4 38 Lucas Haarstad '17
Olivia Riegert '20
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 6 9 5 9 9 8 46 Adam Tronnes '20
Evan Dybvig '19
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 11 8 10 4 4 9 46 Michael Dowson '19
Katharine Willegalle '19
Providence Academy Providence Academy Navy 12 10 7 8 8 7 52 Jack Wall '17
Claire Christianson '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 8 6 9 12 12 6 53 Sydney Maxwell '17
Madeline Wilson '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 9 3 11 10 10 11 54 Evan Komis '20
Faith Quist '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 5 11 12 11 11 10 60 Thomas Jagielski '18
Arya Pamungkas '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 1 6 1 1 1 12 Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-6]
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [1-2]
Mei Vickery '21 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 4 5 1 3 4 4 21 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Audrey Cote '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 6 3 2 4 9 7 31 Rita Usmanova '19
Beth Walsh '20
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 3 8 3 7 8 3 32 Ben Ragus '20
Xochitl Galvanpizana '18
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 5 4 7 2 5 10 33 Brian Olson '18
Issac Gotez '18
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed OCS 2 8 8 2 2 35 Owen Harrod '22 [1-6]
Cole Barre '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Faith Christensen '21 [3-4]
Providence Academy Providence Academy Navy 1 9 10 6 6 5 37 Eleanor Christianson '19
Grace Van Dellen '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 8 7 9 5 3 6 38 Khan Dickel '20 [1-2, 4-6]
Susie Foster '19 [3]
Susie Foster '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Khan Dickel '20 [3]
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 9 10 4 10 10 8 51 Nicole Giuliani '20
Megan Reed '20
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 7 6 5 12 RAF RAF 56 Rex Frazier '21
Madison Laroche '19
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 10 12 11 9 7 9 58 Jacob Zagaros '19
Maria Pumper '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 11 11 12 11 11 11 67 Monica Beutz '24 [1-6]
Lauren Ische '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Bloomquist '18 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed151515151515
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed161616161616
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed222222222222
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1212121212121
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3202020202020
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed191919191919
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed171717171717
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Navy141414141414
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed242424242424
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed232323232323
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed151515151515
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed161616161616
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed222222222222
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1212121212121
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3202020202020
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed191919191919
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed171717171717
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Navy141414141414
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed242424242424
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed232323232323
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed181818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Lucas Haarstad '17 Olivia Riegert '20
Mixed Monica Beutz '24 [1-6] Lauren Ische '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Bloomquist '18 [3-4]
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Michael Dowson '19 Katharine Willegalle '19
Mixed Rex Frazier '21 Madison Laroche '19
Edina High School Edina High School Simon Rothman '17 Natasha Levy '20
mixed Ben Ragus '20 Xochitl Galvanpizana '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Sydney Maxwell '17 Madeline Wilson '20
Skippers 1 Khan Dickel '20 [1-2, 4-6]
Susie Foster '19 [3]		 Susie Foster '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Khan Dickel '20 [3]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Evan Komis '20 Faith Quist '19
Skippers 2 Rita Usmanova '19 Beth Walsh '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Henry Westlind '19 Kacy Bryant '18
Skippers 3 Lucia Loosbrock '21 Audrey Cote '20
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6] Anika Liner '21 [1-2]
Jose Varela '19 [3-6]
Mixed Owen Harrod '22 [1-6] Cole Barre '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Faith Christensen '21 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Erich Pinske '18 Louise Rosenbaum '20
Mixed Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-6] Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [1-2]
Mei Vickery '21 [3-6]
Providence Academy Providence Academy Jack Wall '17 Claire Christianson '18
Navy Eleanor Christianson '19 Grace Van Dellen '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Thomas Jagielski '18 Arya Pamungkas '17
mixed Nicole Giuliani '20 Megan Reed '20
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Adam Tronnes '20 Evan Dybvig '19
Mixed Brian Olson '18 Issac Gotez '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Reid Vanatta '20
Mixed Jacob Zagaros '19 Maria Pumper '19

Conditions — 04/29/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1025.9 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.6 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From ENE (57°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1025.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnetonka: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnetonka by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Minnetonka, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →