Donald Green

HostLincoln Sudbury Regi
Date05/13/2017
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors 1	61	21	82
2	Duxbury High School	Dragons	71	19	90
3	Duxbury High School	Varsity	29	62	91
4	Dover Sherborn RHS	Radiers	65	30	95
5	Sharon High School	Varsity	75	50	125
6	Pingree School	Pegasus 1	44	85	129
7	Wayland High School	Varsity	75	75	150
8	Pingree School	Pegasus 2	82	73	155
9	Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket	73	87	160
10	Dover Sherborn RHS	Varsity	51	116	167
11	Hingham High School	Harbormen	52	120	172
12	Boston Latin School	Varsity	99	80	179
13	Noble and Greenough School	Nobles Bulldogs	74	111	185
14	Sharon High School	Eagles	103	85	188
15	Wayland High School	Warriors	91	99	190
16	Wellesley High School	Raiders	116	75	191
17	Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors 2	91	119	210
18	Wellesley High School	Varsity	98	125	223
19	Swampscott High School	Big Blue	116	109	225
20	Unregistered-NESSA	Needham HS	134	103	237

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Duxbury High School	Varsity	3	7	2	6	3	2	6	29	Nathan Ikeda '17 Corinne Lee '18
Pingree School	Pegasus 1	2	18	3	9	5	6	1	44	No Show Anna Landgren '22
Dover Sherborn RHS	Varsity	4	2	13	1	4	13	14	51	Maddie Nystrom '17 Elizabeth Gooch '17
Hingham High School	Harbormen	9	8	4	3	9	17	2	52	Jessica Scipione '27 [1-3] Peter Durkin '17 [4-7] Ellie Smith '24 [1-3] Sara Menesale '24 [4-7]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors 1	5	1	DNS	8	6	5	13	61	Julia Wyatt '17 [1-6] Marni Clary '17 [7] Marni Clary '17 [1-6] Julia Wyatt '17 [7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Radiers	7	16	11	4	10	10	7	65	Brian Mitchell '18 Jensine Philips '18
Duxbury High School	Dragons	17	6	19	10	7	4	8	71	Andre Evans '18 [1-7] Caroline Williams '19 [1-4] William Seigener '18 [5-7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket	10	11	10	12	13	8	9	73	Matthew Dickey '18 [1-2, 5-6] Alexander Arnold '18 [3-4, 7] Mollie Gilbert '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Noble and Greenough School	Nobles Bulldogs	22	22	6	16	1	3	4	74	Camden Filoon '18 [1-2] Ellen Efstathiou '21 [3-4] Sonia Lingos-Utley '17 [5-7] Catherine Kasparyan '18 [1-2] Mj Hegarty '17 [3-4] Camille Fougere '17 [5-7]
Sharon High School	Varsity	8	3	7	13	19	15	10	75	Aidan David '17 [1-7] Ryan Cloherty '18 [1-2, 5-6] Briana Chen '20 [3-4, 7]
Wayland High School	Varsity	11	10	5	2	17	19	11	75	Emily Wang '17 Marlee Griffin '18
Pingree School	Pegasus 2	19	20	8	11	14	7	3	82	No Show Cristina Cheung '22
Wayland High School	Warriors	15	13	16	5	12	18	12	91	Vincent Pak '17 Mack Kiesman '19
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors 2	18	4	9	18	11	16	15	91	Sarah Alix '19 [1-6] Daniel Guzi '19 [7] Sdyney Blair '20 [1-6] Abby Hayes '20 [7]
Wellesley High School	Varsity	6	19	21	15	16	1	20	98	Catherine Zhu '18 [1-2, 5-6] Emily Lo '20 [3-4, 7] Thomas Gartley '18 [1-2, 5-6] Lily Harmon '20 [3-4] Alexander Haidar '20 [7]
Boston Latin School	Varsity	1	15	18	14	22	11	18	99	Naomi Geffken '17 [1-2] Sam Lowery '18 [3-4] Nathan Power '22 [5-7] Jack Madgin '20 [1-2] Alex Su '17 [3-4] Livia Kelly '17 [5-7]
Sharon High School	Eagles	20	14	15	19	21	9	5	103	Krishanu Datta '19 [1-2, 5-6] Christopher Anchan '19 [3-4, 7] Jason Cloherty '20 [1-2, 5-6] Eddie Bielawa '20 [3-4, 7]
Swampscott High School	Big Blue	14	17	14	21	8	20	22	116	Lauren Kersten '19 [1-2, 5-6] Harris Havlicek '20 [3-4, 7] Thea Levine '19 [1-2] Anna Levenberg '20 [3-4] Bella Seligson '20 [5-6] Hannah Zafrani '20 [7]
Wellesley High School	Raiders	21	5	12	22	15	22	19	116	Eoin Shea '17 [1-2] Serelle Carr '19 [3-6] Eleanor Bennett '17 [7] Matthew Tufankjian '17 [1-2] Margaret Benson '19 [3-4] Hailey Feinzig '18 [5-6] Camille Jacoby '20 [7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Needham HS	16	21	20	17	18	21	21	134	Max Mazzarese '19 [1-4] Cy Kurd '19 [5-7] Cy Kurd '19 [1-4] Max Mazzarese '19 [5-7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Duxbury High School	Dragons	5	5	1	1	3	2	2	19	James Cipolletti '18 Elizabeth Linsdell '20
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors 1	7	1	2	2	1	1	7	21	Nate Borovick '17 [1-6] Tyler George '17 [7] Eli Eckhouse '17 [1-6] Masha Filatov '18 [7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Radiers	1	3	5	12	2	4	3	30	Eli Gleason '20 [1-7] Lilly Nystrom '18 [1-2, 5-7] Fay Hannah '19 [3-4]
Sharon High School	Varsity	10	2	12	11	8	6	1	50	Kevin Li '18 [1-7] Sam Hack '18 [1-2, 5-6] Jason Yang '20 [3-4, 7]
Duxbury High School	Varsity	2	17	14	7	6	11	5	62	Philip Morse '17 [1-4] Katie Lojko '19 [5-7] Paige Hoffman '17 [1-4] Ian Rappe '18 [5-7]
Pingree School	Pegasus 2	17	13	9	5	11	8	10	73	Peter Kelly '22 No Show
Wayland High School	Varsity	4	6	8	13	12	16	16	75	Dylan Rader '18 Grace Karbowski '19
Wellesley High School	Raiders	11	19	10	21	7	3	4	75	Megan Kelly '18 [1-4] Chase Ireland '18 [5-7] Camille Jacoby '20 [1-2] Maia Grissino '20 [3-4] Elizabeth Harrington '18 [5-7]
Boston Latin School	Varsity	18	22	3	3	5	18	11	80	Meghan Mcgonagle '22 [1-2] Jack Madgin '20 [3-4] Noah Sargent '22 [5-7] Adam Grant '22 [1-2] Nathaniel O'Brien '19 [3-4] Maia Mcgonagle '22 [5-7]
Pingree School	Pegasus 1	12	7	13	14	16	5	18	85	Jared Gilman '22 Billy Liptrot '22
Sharon High School	Eagles	14	12	15	10	19	9	6	85	Michael Anchan '19 [1-2, 5-6] Sam Edson '18 [3-4, 7] Tyler Vanhelene '19 [1-2, 5-6] Addison Stead '19 [3-4, 7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket	8	15	17	6	10	10	21	87	Andy Karalekas '19 Mystery Crew '18
Wayland High School	Warriors	9	16	7	22	17	15	13	99	Jacob Schilp '22 Lucy Poole '18
Unregistered-NESSA	Needham HS	6	9	18	15	22	21	12	103	Abigail Thress '19 Conner Dillon '18
Swampscott High School	Big Blue	13	18	DNF	20	14	7	14	109	Liad Zafrani '18 [1-7] Gefen Finn '20 [1-2] Andrew (Chip) Cronin '20 [3-4] Charlotte (Lola) Seligson '20 [5-7]
Noble and Greenough School	Nobles Bulldogs	21	11	4	18	21	19	17	111	Mason Klinck '19 [1-4] Patrick Stevenson '18 [5-7] Lily Stevenson '20 [1-4] Lily Hicks '18 [5-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Varsity	20	20	21	8	13	14	20	116	Sally Green '17 [1-7] Andrew Fiore '19 [1-2, 5-7] Bodkin Risa '18 [3-4]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors 2	16	10	19	19	20	20	15	119	Ryan Heindel '19 [1-6] Jenny Lawton '20 [7] Conner Simmons '18 [1-6] Lars Hjerpe '19 [7]
Hingham High School	Harbormen	19	14	20	16	15	17	19	120	Luke Slane '17 [1-3] Ethan Burt '22 [4-7] Noud Winterink '18 [1-3] Ellie Smith '24 [4-7]
Wellesley High School	Varsity	22	21	16	4	18	22	22	125	Ben Mirsky '20 [1-2, 5-7] Olivia Sowles '18 [3-4] Emir Hamzaogullari '19 [1-2, 5-7] Veronica Smith '20 [3-4]

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston Latin School	Naomi Geffken '17 [1-2] Sam Lowery '18 [3-4] Nathan Power '22 [5-7]	Jack Madgin '20 [1-2] Alex Su '17 [3-4] Livia Kelly '17 [5-7]
Varsity	Meghan Mcgonagle '22 [1-2] Jack Madgin '20 [3-4] Noah Sargent '22 [5-7]	Adam Grant '22 [1-2] Nathaniel O'Brien '19 [3-4] Maia Mcgonagle '22 [5-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Brian Mitchell '18	Jensine Philips '18
Radiers	Eli Gleason '20 [1-7]	Lilly Nystrom '18 [1-2, 5-7] Fay Hannah '19 [3-4]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Maddie Nystrom '17	Elizabeth Gooch '17
Varsity	Sally Green '17 [1-7]	Andrew Fiore '19 [1-2, 5-7] Bodkin Risa '18 [3-4]
Duxbury High School	Andre Evans '18 [1-7]	Caroline Williams '19 [1-4] William Seigener '18 [5-7]
Dragons	James Cipolletti '18	Elizabeth Linsdell '20
Duxbury High School	Nathan Ikeda '17	Corinne Lee '18
Varsity	Philip Morse '17 [1-4] Katie Lojko '19 [5-7]	Paige Hoffman '17 [1-4] Ian Rappe '18 [5-7]
Hingham High School	Jessica Scipione '27 [1-3] Peter Durkin '17 [4-7]	Ellie Smith '24 [1-3] Sara Menesale '24 [4-7]
Harbormen	Luke Slane '17 [1-3] Ethan Burt '22 [4-7]	Noud Winterink '18 [1-3] Ellie Smith '24 [4-7]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Julia Wyatt '17 [1-6] Marni Clary '17 [7]	Marni Clary '17 [1-6] Julia Wyatt '17 [7]
Warriors 1	Nate Borovick '17 [1-6] Tyler George '17 [7]	Eli Eckhouse '17 [1-6] Masha Filatov '18 [7]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Sarah Alix '19 [1-6] Daniel Guzi '19 [7]	Sdyney Blair '20 [1-6] Abby Hayes '20 [7]
Warriors 2	Ryan Heindel '19 [1-6] Jenny Lawton '20 [7]	Conner Simmons '18 [1-6] Lars Hjerpe '19 [7]
Noble and Greenough School	Camden Filoon '18 [1-2] Ellen Efstathiou '21 [3-4] Sonia Lingos-Utley '17 [5-7]	Catherine Kasparyan '18 [1-2] Mj Hegarty '17 [3-4] Camille Fougere '17 [5-7]
Nobles Bulldogs	Mason Klinck '19 [1-4] Patrick Stevenson '18 [5-7]	Lily Stevenson '20 [1-4] Lily Hicks '18 [5-7]
Pingree School	No Show	Anna Landgren '22
Pegasus 1	Jared Gilman '22	Billy Liptrot '22
Pingree School	No Show	Cristina Cheung '22
Pegasus 2	Peter Kelly '22	No Show
Sharon High School	Krishanu Datta '19 [1-2, 5-6] Christopher Anchan '19 [3-4, 7]	Jason Cloherty '20 [1-2, 5-6] Eddie Bielawa '20 [3-4, 7]
Eagles	Michael Anchan '19 [1-2, 5-6] Sam Edson '18 [3-4, 7]	Tyler Vanhelene '19 [1-2, 5-6] Addison Stead '19 [3-4, 7]
Sharon High School	Aidan David '17 [1-7]	Ryan Cloherty '18 [1-2, 5-6] Briana Chen '20 [3-4, 7]
Varsity	Kevin Li '18 [1-7]	Sam Hack '18 [1-2, 5-6] Jason Yang '20 [3-4, 7]
Swampscott High School	Lauren Kersten '19 [1-2, 5-6] Harris Havlicek '20 [3-4, 7]	Thea Levine '19 [1-2] Anna Levenberg '20 [3-4] Bella Seligson '20 [5-6] Hannah Zafrani '20 [7]
Big Blue	Liad Zafrani '18 [1-7]	Gefen Finn '20 [1-2] Andrew (Chip) Cronin '20 [3-4] Charlotte (Lola) Seligson '20 [5-7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Matthew Dickey '18 [1-2, 5-6] Alexander Arnold '18 [3-4, 7]	Mollie Gilbert '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Nantasket	Andy Karalekas '19	Mystery Crew '18
Unregistered-NESSA	Max Mazzarese '19 [1-4] Cy Kurd '19 [5-7]	Cy Kurd '19 [1-4] Max Mazzarese '19 [5-7]
Needham HS	Abigail Thress '19	Conner Dillon '18
Wayland High School	Emily Wang '17	Marlee Griffin '18
Varsity	Dylan Rader '18	Grace Karbowski '19
Wayland High School	Vincent Pak '17	Mack Kiesman '19
Warriors	Jacob Schilp '22	Lucy Poole '18
Wellesley High School	Eoin Shea '17 [1-2] Serelle Carr '19 [3-6] Eleanor Bennett '17 [7]	Matthew Tufankjian '17 [1-2] Margaret Benson '19 [3-4] Hailey Feinzig '18 [5-6] Camille Jacoby '20 [7]
Raiders	Megan Kelly '18 [1-4] Chase Ireland '18 [5-7]	Camille Jacoby '20 [1-2] Maia Grissino '20 [3-4] Elizabeth Harrington '18 [5-7]
Wellesley High School	Catherine Zhu '18 [1-2, 5-6] Emily Lo '20 [3-4, 7]	Thomas Gartley '18 [1-2, 5-6] Lily Harmon '20 [3-4] Alexander Haidar '20 [7]
Varsity	Ben Mirsky '20 [1-2, 5-7] Olivia Sowles '18 [3-4]	Emir Hamzaogullari '19 [1-2, 5-7] Veronica Smith '20 [3-4]

Conditions — 05/13/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 38% · Pressure 1011.8 hPa

Temperature

72°F

↑ 77°F ↓ 58°F

Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

10.6 kn

avg · max 14.0 kn

Gusts to 26.8 kn

From S (188°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1011.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Lincoln Sudbury Regi: a favourites’ day (+0.03)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lincoln Sudbury Regi by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Lincoln Sudbury Regi: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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