MN Conference #4

HostWBSS
Date05/06/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Mounds Park Academy	Mixed	17	18	35
2	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	18	43	61
3	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	46	18	64
4	Orono High School	Mixed 1	38	34	72
5	Orono High School	Mixed 2	21	53	74
6	Edina High School	Varsity	34	43	77
7	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 4	53	28	81
8	Stillwater High School	Varsity	37	45	82
9	Southwest High School	mixed	54	34	88
10	Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	37	65	102
11	Mounds View High School	Mixed	60	53	113
12	Hudson	Mixed	71	45	116
13	Chanhassen High School	Mixed	65	72	137
14	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 3	79	79	158

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Mounds Park Academy	Mixed	1	1	1	2	7	5	17	Toby Sullivan '19 Jack Colosi '25
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	2	7	2	1	5	1	18	Matthew Kickhafer '19 Kacy Bryant '18
Orono High School	Mixed 2	3	4	4	3	1	6	21	Kytalin Hendrickson '22 Mei Vickery '21
Edina High School	Varsity	5	5	3	8	11	2	34	George Moore '20 Reilly Hannula '20
Stillwater High School	Varsity	7	8	7	5	6	4	37	Brian Olson '18 Leigh Marker '17
Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	9	3	10	4	2	9	37	Owen Harrod '22 Anika Liner '21
Orono High School	Mixed 1	4	2	6	11	12	3	38	Seamus Hendrickson '21 Louise Rosenbaum '20
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	6	6	9	10	8	7	46	Henry Westlind '19 Beth Walsh '20
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 4	8	14	8	9	4	10	53	Michael Dowson '19 No Show
Southwest High School	mixed	11	12	5	12	3	11	54	Thomas Jagielski '18 [1-2, 5-6] James Jagielski '21 [3-4] Natasha Levy '20 [1-2, 5-6] Megan Reed '20 [3-4]
Mounds View High School	Mixed	10	9	13	7	13	8	60	Morgan Termaat '18 Katie Sheldon '18
Chanhassen High School	Mixed	13	11	12	6	9	14	65	Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-6] Anna Bloomquist '18 [1-4] Olivia Riegert '20 [5-6]
Hudson	Mixed	12	10	14	13	10	12	71	Adam Tronnes '20 Ella Sabin '18
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 3	14	13	11	14	14	13	79	Sydney Maxwell '17 Alexa Shinler '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Mounds Park Academy	Mixed	1	1	1	3	10	2	18	Jack Indritz '17 [1-6] Delaney Mallin '21 [1-2] Faith Christensen '21 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	2	7	4	1	1	3	18	Lucia Loosbrock '21 Audrey Cote '20
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 4	5	6	5	4	3	5	28	Garrett Moen '19 Susie Foster '19
Southwest High School	mixed	4	8	11	2	2	7	34	Calvin Lamosse '21 [1-6] Mason Pirner '21 [1-4] Megan Reed '20 [5-6]
Orono High School	Mixed 1	10	3	9	6	5	1	34	Drew Schell '19 Maria Pumper '19
Edina High School	Varsity	3	2	6	10	13	9	43	Ben Ragus '20 Xochitl Galvanpizana '18
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	12	4	10	9	4	4	43	Rex Frazier '21 Faith Quist '19
Hudson	Mixed	7	9	7	5	9	8	45	Issac Gotez '18 Grace Donner '17
Stillwater High School	Varsity	9	5	3	11	11	6	45	Evan Dybvig '19 Grace Donner '17
Mounds View High School	Mixed	6	13	2	8	14	10	53	Patrick Levins '22 Alec Murphy '22
Orono High School	Mixed 2	11	10	8	7	6	11	53	Eleanor Christianson '19 Grace Van Dellen '18
Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	8	11	14	13	7	12	65	Cole Barre '21 Luke Schmidt '21
Chanhassen High School	Mixed	13	14	12	12	8	13	72	Monica Beutz '24 [1-6] Olivia Riegert '20 [1-2] Cassandra (Cassie) Ferguson '18 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 3	14	12	13	14	12	14	79	Evan Komis '20 Charlie Dutton '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Chanhassen High School Mixed	7	7	7	7	7	7
Edina High School Varsity	5	5	5	5	5	5
Hudson Mixed	11	11	11	11	11	11
Mahtomedi Zephyrs	2	2	2	2	2	2
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	8	8	8	8	8	8
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	6	6	6	6	6	6
Minnetonka High School Skippers 3	10	10	10	10	10	10
Minnetonka High School Skippers 4	9	9	9	9	9	9
Mounds Park Academy Mixed	4	4	4	4	4	4
Mounds View High School Mixed	1	1	1	1	1	1
Orono High School Mixed 1	13	13	13	13	13	13
Orono High School Mixed 2	3	3	3	3	3	3
Southwest High School mixed	12	12	12	12	12	12
Stillwater High School Varsity	14	14	14	14	14	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Chanhassen High School Mixed	7	7	7	7	7	7
Edina High School Varsity	5	5	5	5	5	5
Hudson Mixed	11	11	11	11	11	11
Mahtomedi Zephyrs	2	2	2	2	2	2
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	8	8	8	8	8	8
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	6	6	6	6	6	6
Minnetonka High School Skippers 3	10	10	10	10	10	10
Minnetonka High School Skippers 4	9	9	9	9	9	9
Mounds Park Academy Mixed	4	4	4	4	4	4
Mounds View High School Mixed	1	1	1	1	1	1
Orono High School Mixed 1	13	13	13	13	13	13
Orono High School Mixed 2	3	3	3	3	3	3
Southwest High School mixed	12	12	12	12	12	12
Stillwater High School Varsity	14	14	14	14	14	14

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Chanhassen High School	Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-6]	Anna Bloomquist '18 [1-4] Olivia Riegert '20 [5-6]
Mixed	Monica Beutz '24 [1-6]	Olivia Riegert '20 [1-2] Cassandra (Cassie) Ferguson '18 [3-6]
Edina High School	George Moore '20	Reilly Hannula '20
Varsity	Ben Ragus '20	Xochitl Galvanpizana '18
Hudson	Adam Tronnes '20	Ella Sabin '18
Mixed	Issac Gotez '18	Grace Donner '17
Mahtomedi	Owen Harrod '22	Anika Liner '21
Zephyrs	Cole Barre '21	Luke Schmidt '21
Minnetonka High School	Matthew Kickhafer '19	Kacy Bryant '18
Skippers 1	Rex Frazier '21	Faith Quist '19
Minnetonka High School	Henry Westlind '19	Beth Walsh '20
Skippers 2	Lucia Loosbrock '21	Audrey Cote '20
Minnetonka High School	Sydney Maxwell '17	Alexa Shinler '20
Skippers 3	Evan Komis '20	Charlie Dutton '19
Minnetonka High School	Michael Dowson '19	No Show
Skippers 4	Garrett Moen '19	Susie Foster '19
Mounds Park Academy	Toby Sullivan '19	Jack Colosi '25
Mixed	Jack Indritz '17 [1-6]	Delaney Mallin '21 [1-2] Faith Christensen '21 [3-6]
Mounds View High School	Morgan Termaat '18	Katie Sheldon '18
Mixed	Patrick Levins '22	Alec Murphy '22
Orono High School	Seamus Hendrickson '21	Louise Rosenbaum '20
Mixed 1	Drew Schell '19	Maria Pumper '19
Orono High School	Kytalin Hendrickson '22	Mei Vickery '21
Mixed 2	Eleanor Christianson '19	Grace Van Dellen '18
Southwest High School	Thomas Jagielski '18 [1-2, 5-6] James Jagielski '21 [3-4]	Natasha Levy '20 [1-2, 5-6] Megan Reed '20 [3-4]
mixed	Calvin Lamosse '21 [1-6]	Mason Pirner '21 [1-4] Megan Reed '20 [5-6]
Stillwater High School	Brian Olson '18	Leigh Marker '17
Varsity	Evan Dybvig '19	Grace Donner '17

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MN Conference #4

Division A

Division B

From the notes