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MN Conference #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 13 13 26
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 23 6 29
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 16 29 45
4 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 26 21 47
5 Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 34 20 54
6 Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 27 34 61
7 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 23 39 62
8 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 30 44 74
9 Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 37 41 78
10 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 49 29 78
11 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 57 55 112
12 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 55 59 114
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 1 1 1 7 3 13 Toby Sullivan '19
Jose Varela '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 3 4 1 5 16 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Kacy Bryant '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 11 5 4 1 23 Henry Westlind '19
Garrett Moen '19
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 7 2 2 8 4 23 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Oliver Strommen '22
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 5 6 7 6 2 26 Katie Krauska '17 [1-5]
Anna Bloomquist '18 [1-2, 5]
Lauren Ische '18 [3-4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 8 4 3 3 9 27 George Moore '20
Natasha Levy '20
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 6 7 6 5 6 30 Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Louise Rosenbaum '20
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 4 5 9 9 7 34 Michael Dowson '19 [1-5]
Madeline Wilson '20 [1-2, 5]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [3-4]
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 9 8 10 2 8 37 Eleanor Christianson '19
Cassandra (Cassie) Ferguson '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 11 10 8 10 10 49 Drew Schell '19
Maria Pumper '19
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 10 9 12 12 12 55 Ben Ragus '20 [1-4]
James Jagielski '21 [5]
James Jagielski '21 [1-4]
Ben Ragus '20 [5]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 12 12 11 11 11 57 Evan Dybvig '19
Lauren Geib '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 1 1 1 2 6 Genna Viggiano '18
Clara Brown '18
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 2 4 4 2 1 13 Morgan Termaat '18
Katie Sheldon '18
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed 3 7 2 5 3 20 Rex Frazier '21
Evan Komis '20
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 6 2 3 6 4 21 Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-5]
Olivia Riegert '20 [1-4]
Lauren Ische '18 [5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 8 8 3 6 29 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Beth Walsh '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 7 3 6 4 9 29 Reid Vanatta '20
Ananya Yogarajah '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 5 11 5 8 5 34 Safiya Easthausen '19
Emma Price '20
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 10 5 7 9 8 39 Monica Beutz '24
Matthew Tucker '17
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 8 6 10 7 10 41 Claire Christianson '18
Ana Haarstad '19
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 9 9 9 10 7 44 Mei Vickery '21
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 11 10 11 12 11 55 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Kristen Geib '20
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 12 12 12 11 12 59 Safiya Easthausen '19
Emma Price '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy2222222222
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed2121212121
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed2828282828
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed2020202020
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers3232323232
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed3333333333
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 12424242424
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 22525252525
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed2626262626
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed3131313131
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed2727272727
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed1919191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy2222222222
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Mixed2121212121
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed2828282828
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed2020202020
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers3232323232
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed3333333333
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 12424242424
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 22525252525
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed2626262626
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed3131313131
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed2727272727
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed1919191919

Conditions — 04/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 86%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From N (357°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →