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Raritan Fleet Race7

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 4 4
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 4 4
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 8 8
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 9 9
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 10 10
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 11 11
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 17 17
8 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 18 18
9 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 19 19
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 20 20
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 24 24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 1 3 4 Marisa Marino '17
Stephanie Gilsenan '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 3 1 4 Thomas Quinn '18
Patrick Murray '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 4 4 8 Hannah Mercurio '20
Morgan Shung '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 7 2 9 Margot Murray '17
William Przedpelski '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 2 8 10 Sophie Lusty '20
Jack Quinn '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 6 5 11 Evan Hybl '19
Liz Colao '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 5 DNS 17 Jillian Torrente '17
Lindsey Stinson '17
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 DNS 6 18 Kevin Tang '19
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 DNS 7 19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 8 DNS 20 Paul Danenberg '19
Gavin Mayes '18
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 DNS DNS 24 Zoe Papier '19
Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 144
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 266
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 31010
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 41212
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 199
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 211

Conditions — 04/27/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1011.9 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: SE about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →