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SAISA SP-6 JV

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 45 45
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 65 65
3 Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA 80 80
4 Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes 82 82
5 Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 86 86
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 91 91
7 Knights Knights Knights 96 96
8 Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy 99 99
9 Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Varsity 104 104
10 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 105 105
11 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 115 115
12 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 116 116
13 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 128 128
14 Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 129 129
15 Varsity Varsity Varsity 160 160
16 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 167 167
17 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 187 187
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 5 2 5 2 2 5 2 6 4 1 4 7 45 Matthew Snyder '18 [1-12]
Emma Heck '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Danny Jansen '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 8 13 1 5 12 14 1 1 5 1 1 65 Javier Garcon '21 [1-2, 4-5, 8-12]
Leo Menninger '18 [3, 6-7]
Kat Cochran '18 [1-2, 4-5, 8-12]
Alex Lerner '18 [3, 6-7]
Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA DNS 5 6 16 4 2 4 10 2 7 2 4 80
Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes 7 13 2 3 13 4 1 2 5 8 6 DNS 82
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 12 3 10 4 8 13 8 7 7 4 8 2 86
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 9 7 3 11 6 7 5 12 6 11 5 9 91 Cameron Swain '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isa Duplessis '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Colin Fitzgerald '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Anna Weis '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Knights Knights Knights 4 9 4 6 15 8 17 3 3 2 7 DNS 96
Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy 11 6 1 5 3 9 11 13 10 10 10 10 99
Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Varsity 1 15 15 13 7 10 6 8 9 3 9 8 104 Kaili Yap '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mckenna Wherry '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Abigail Clinger '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Alexa Dossantos '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 6 1 17 15 10 6 15 9 12 6 3 5 105 Alec Sullivan '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Mario Farulla '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jack Kaiser '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Varsity 1 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 10 4 8 12 11 1 3 5 8 17 DNS DNS 115
Varsity 2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 8 12 7 7 12 15 10 4 15 9 11 6 116
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 13 10 9 10 9 14 7 15 11 15 12 3 128 Owen Karpanty '20 [1-4, 9-12]
Lucia Girado '17 [5-8]
Jaxson Stehlin '20 [1-4]
Dina Coletti '20 [5-8]
Sophia Licata '18 [9-12]
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 2 11 14 9 1 3 9 11 17 16 DNS DNS 129 Alex Temko '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Bryce Eihl '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Sophia Wicks '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Conor Reese '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 14 16 12 14 14 11 13 16 14 12 13 11 160
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave DNS 17 11 8 16 17 12 14 13 13 15 13 167 Alexandra Music '19 [1-12]
Madison Reynolds '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Reed Gilmore '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors DNS 14 16 17 17 16 16 17 16 14 14 12 187 Alan Stech '21 [1-12]
Lorenzo Donadi '21 [1-8]
Christian Martinez '19 [9-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
VarsityVarsity Varsity990999099909990999099909990999099909990999099909
Bishop Verot High SchoolBishop Verot High School Varsity292929292929292929292929
Clearwater Central Catholic High SchoolClearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity247124712471247124712471247124712471247124712471
Compass Rose AcademyCompass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy941941941941941941941941941941941941
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity101010101010101010101010
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave161616161616161616161616
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons555555555555
HurricanesHurricanes Hurricanes181818181818181818181818
Out-of Door AcademyOut-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy171717171717171717171717
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves333333333333
KnightsKnights Knights666666666666
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders444444444444
Unregistered-SAISAUnregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA444444444444444444444444
Varsity 1Varsity 1 Varsity 1111111111111
Varsity 2Varsity 2 Varsity 2222222222222
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors171717171717171717171717
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Varsity Kaili Yap '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mckenna Wherry '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Abigail Clinger '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Alexa Dossantos '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity Alex Temko '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Bryce Eihl '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sophia Wicks '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Conor Reese '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity Matthew Snyder '18 [1-12] Emma Heck '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Danny Jansen '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave Alexandra Music '19 [1-12] Madison Reynolds '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Reed Gilmore '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons Owen Karpanty '20 [1-4, 9-12]
Lucia Girado '17 [5-8]		 Jaxson Stehlin '20 [1-4]
Dina Coletti '20 [5-8]
Sophia Licata '18 [9-12]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves Alec Sullivan '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Mario Farulla '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jack Kaiser '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders Javier Garcon '21 [1-2, 4-5, 8-12]
Leo Menninger '18 [3, 6-7]		 Kat Cochran '18 [1-2, 4-5, 8-12]
Alex Lerner '18 [3, 6-7]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders Cameron Swain '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isa Duplessis '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Colin Fitzgerald '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Anna Weis '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors Alan Stech '21 [1-12] Lorenzo Donadi '21 [1-8]
Christian Martinez '19 [9-12]

Conditions — 01/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From N (359°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine8.3 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →