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SUNY Maritime Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 22 18 40
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 20 33 53
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 27 29 56
4 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 35 22 57
5 Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 29 31 60
6 Syosset High School Syosset High School Braves 37 40 77
7 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 47 36 83
8 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 33 50 83
9 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 62 34 96
10 Northport HS Northport HS Tigers 70 42 112
11 Harborfields Harborfields Harborfield Varsity 43 75 118
12 Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Tuckers 57 63 120
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 64 73 137
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 6 4 7 1 1 20 Emily Haig '17 [1-6]
Dana Haig '18 [1-2]
Paul Reiff '17 [3-6]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 2 3 8 4 2 22 Joe Laforgia '17 [1-6]
John Cocozza '20 [1-4]
Justin Modin '19 [5-6]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 3 8 3 8 3 27 Margot Murray '17 [1-6]
Sophie Lusty '20 [1-4]
Mack Totman '19 [5-6]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 8 1 2 6 7 5 29 Bridget Lawless '17
Sarah Chew '18
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 9 4 13 1 2 4 33 Carina Becker '17 [1-6]
Nicole Papert '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Cc Millard '19 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 7 5 9 4 3 7 35 Margaret Maccormack '17 [1-4]
Cole Banias '17 [5-6]
Catherine Cooke '17 [1-4]
Syosset High School Syosset High School Braves 5 7 12 2 5 6 37 Justin Smith '18
Chloe Vandorn '18
Harborfields Harborfields Harborfield Varsity 4 8 1 10 10 10 43 Cormac Murphy '19 [1-6]
Jake Mckenna '19 [1-4]
Logan White '19 [5-6]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 6 9 5 5 11 11 47 Willow Wahlers '17 [1-2]
Zach Higham '19 [3-6]
Carol Nunn '19 [1-2]
Brock Wahlers '20 [3-6]
Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Tuckers 12 10 10 11 6 8 57 Alexandra Talbot '18
Austin Branker '17
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 10 11 11 9 12 9 62 Matthew Sparacio '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Bennett '19 [3-4]
William Meitz '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Josie Levy '18 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 11 12 7 13 9 12 64 Luke Duplessis '20
Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Northport HS Northport HS Tigers 13 13 6 12 13 13 70 Connor Burns '22
Klara Breen '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 1 3 1 1 9 18 Michael Ehnot '18
Ryan Mullins '19
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 6 1 3 5 6 22 Erin Mcgarry '17
Maureen Mcgarry '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 5 6 4 3 7 29 Thomas Quinn '18 [1-6]
Mack Totman '19 [1-2]
Hannah Mercurio '20 [3-6]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Varsity 2 9 2 6 2 10 31 Gavin Bloom '17
Emily Davis '19
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 10 8 5 5 4 1 33 Tom Green '19 [1-2]
Dana Haig '18 [3-6]
Paul Reiff '17 [1-2]
Tom Green '19 [3-6]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 5 4 4 10 9 2 34 Thomas Derose '19 [1-6]
Alyssa Jette '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Ella Simmons '19 [3-4]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 6 3 10 2 7 8 36 Lauren Zelenak '17 [1-2]
Leo Krajewski '19 [3-6]
Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2]
Alexa Carles '19 [3-6]
Syosset High School Syosset High School Braves 8 7 7 9 6 3 40 Juliana Bianco '18
Camryn Smithwick '18
Northport HS Northport HS Tigers 7 2 8 11 10 4 42 Michael Preston '18
Sterling Thompson '20
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 9 12 9 7 8 5 50 Madeline Saffer '20 [1-6]
Lise Powers '20 [1-4]
Cc Millard '19 [5-6]
Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Tuckers 11 10 11 8 12 11 63 Francesco Sannino '20 [1-6]
Nick Andreadis '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Laryssa Andreadis '18 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 13 11 13 13 11 12 73 Paul Danenberg '19
Zoe Papier '19
Harborfields Harborfields Harborfield Varsity 12 13 12 12 13 13 75 Chris Thompson '19 [1-6]
Max Hafen '18 [1-2]
Daniel Stein '20 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars113355
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts224466
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins335577
HarborfieldsHarborfields Harborfield Varsity446688
Mattituck High SchoolMattituck High School Tuckers557799
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Varsity66881010
Northport HSNorthport HS Tigers77991111
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets8810101212
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams9911111313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers1010121211
Syosset High SchoolSyosset High School Braves1111131322
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears12121133
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians13132244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars224466
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts335577
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins446688
HarborfieldsHarborfields Harborfield Varsity557799
Mattituck High SchoolMattituck High School Tuckers66881010
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Varsity77991111
Northport HSNorthport HS Tigers8810101212
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets9911111313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams1010121211
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers1111131322
Syosset High SchoolSyosset High School Braves12121133
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears13132244
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Luke Duplessis '20 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Cougars Paul Danenberg '19 Zoe Papier '19
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Joe Laforgia '17 [1-6] John Cocozza '20 [1-4]
Justin Modin '19 [5-6]
Colts Michael Ehnot '18 Ryan Mullins '19
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Margaret Maccormack '17 [1-4]
Cole Banias '17 [5-6]		 Catherine Cooke '17 [1-4]
Griffins Erin Mcgarry '17 Maureen Mcgarry '17
Harborfields Harborfields Cormac Murphy '19 [1-6] Jake Mckenna '19 [1-4]
Logan White '19 [5-6]
Harborfield Varsity Chris Thompson '19 [1-6] Max Hafen '18 [1-2]
Daniel Stein '20 [3-6]
Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Alexandra Talbot '18 Austin Branker '17
Tuckers Francesco Sannino '20 [1-6] Nick Andreadis '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Laryssa Andreadis '18 [3-4]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Bridget Lawless '17 Sarah Chew '18
Varsity Gavin Bloom '17 Emily Davis '19
Northport HS Northport HS Connor Burns '22 Klara Breen '20
Tigers Michael Preston '18 Sterling Thompson '20
Rye High School Rye High School Carina Becker '17 [1-6] Nicole Papert '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Cc Millard '19 [3-4]
Garnets Madeline Saffer '20 [1-6] Lise Powers '20 [1-4]
Cc Millard '19 [5-6]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Emily Haig '17 [1-6] Dana Haig '18 [1-2]
Paul Reiff '17 [3-6]
Rams Tom Green '19 [1-2]
Dana Haig '18 [3-6]		 Paul Reiff '17 [1-2]
Tom Green '19 [3-6]
Summit High School Summit High School Margot Murray '17 [1-6] Sophie Lusty '20 [1-4]
Mack Totman '19 [5-6]
Hilltoppers Thomas Quinn '18 [1-6] Mack Totman '19 [1-2]
Hannah Mercurio '20 [3-6]
Syosset High School Syosset High School Justin Smith '18 Chloe Vandorn '18
Braves Juliana Bianco '18 Camryn Smithwick '18
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Matthew Sparacio '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Bennett '19 [3-4]		 William Meitz '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Josie Levy '18 [3-4]
Bears Thomas Derose '19 [1-6] Alyssa Jette '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Ella Simmons '19 [3-4]
Toms River South Toms River South Willow Wahlers '17 [1-2]
Zach Higham '19 [3-6]		 Carol Nunn '19 [1-2]
Brock Wahlers '20 [3-6]
Indians Lauren Zelenak '17 [1-2]
Leo Krajewski '19 [3-6]		 Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2]
Alexa Carles '19 [3-6]

Conditions — 03/18/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1022.0 hPa

Temperature

36°F
↑ 38°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1022.0 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at SUNY Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at SUNY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at SUNY Maritime, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →