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VISA CCS Leukemia Cup Fleet Race JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 5 5
2 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 12 12
3 York High School York High School Varsity 13 13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 1 1 1 1 5 Kyle Pfrang '22
Jack Butler '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 2 3 3 2 12 David Hanna '21
Gabriel Bugbee '18
York High School York High School Varsity 3 3 2 2 3 13 Christopher Raab '20 [1-2]
Ethan White '21 [3-4]
Madeline Amthor '22 [5]
Lenore Dougherty '20 [1-2]
Elias Rooker '23 [3-4]
Ben Clarke '16 [5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints11111
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders22222
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity33333
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints Kyle Pfrang '22 Jack Butler '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders David Hanna '21 Gabriel Bugbee '18
York High School York High School Varsity Christopher Raab '20 [1-2]
Ethan White '21 [3-4]
Madeline Amthor '22 [5]		 Lenore Dougherty '20 [1-2]
Elias Rooker '23 [3-4]
Ben Clarke '16 [5]

Conditions — 04/15/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1024.9 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1024.9 hPa Rain0.03 in

What this breeze does at Christchurch — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Christchurch in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →