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VISA Women's Championship Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 16 16
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 22 22
3 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 30 30
4 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 42 42
5 York High School York High School Varsity 52 52
6 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 62 62
7 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 70 70
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 75 75
9 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 81 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 2 16 Ellie Maus '18
Brylie Schaubach '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 4 3 3 2 1 2 1 3 1 22 Marianna Guzman '19
Anna Flynn '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 5 1 2 2 4 5 1 3 2 5 30 Kaila Pfrang '17
Elise Coberly '17
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 3 3 5 6 3 4 4 5 5 4 42 Madeline Amthor '22
Maddy Reynolds '21
York High School York High School Varsity 6 5 8 4 5 6 5 6 4 3 52 Kylee Hockaday '17
Lenore Dougherty '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 9 4 5 6 3 7 9 8 7 62 Catherine Gilmore '17
Charlotte Patterson '20
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 8 6 6 9 7 8 6 4 7 9 70 Avery Mcnight '20 [1-10]
Regan Yacobi '19 [1-3, 8-10]
Mallory Soter '20 [4-7]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 7 7 9 7 9 7 8 7 6 8 75 Kate Weaver '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [5-6]
Emily Palmer '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kayla Washington '17 [3-4, 9-10]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [7-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 9 8 7 8 8 9 9 8 9 6 81 Morgan Handly '21 [1-10]
Regan Yacobi '19 [1-3]
Oliva Whitehouse '17 [4-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses1111111111
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers2222222222
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors4444444444
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores5555555555
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 16666666666
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 27777777777
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks8888888888
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders9999999999
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity10101010101010101010
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses Marianna Guzman '19 Anna Flynn '20
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers Avery Mcnight '20 [1-10] Regan Yacobi '19 [1-3, 8-10]
Mallory Soter '20 [4-7]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors Morgan Handly '21 [1-10] Regan Yacobi '19 [1-3]
Oliva Whitehouse '17 [4-10]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores Kate Weaver '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [5-6]		 Emily Palmer '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kayla Washington '17 [3-4, 9-10]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [7-8]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 Kaila Pfrang '17 Elise Coberly '17
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 Madeline Amthor '22 Maddy Reynolds '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks Ellie Maus '18 Brylie Schaubach '22
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders Catherine Gilmore '17 Charlotte Patterson '20
York High School York High School Varsity Kylee Hockaday '17 Lenore Dougherty '20

Conditions — 04/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.7 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From SW (225°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kecoughtan: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kecoughtan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Kecoughtan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →