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2017-18 PCISA SoCal 5 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 61 61
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 69 69
3 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 3 80 80
4 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 84 84
5 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 93 93
6 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 111 111
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 115 115
8 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7 146 146
9 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 149 149
10 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 1 159 159
11 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 2 159 159
12 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 163 163
13 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 166 166
14 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 171 171
15 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 174 174
16 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 175 175
17 Coronado Coronado Nado 191 191
18 Parker Parker Parker 2 204 204
19 Parker Parker Parker 1 206 206
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 4 1 2 2 3 9 11 5 8 4 3 2 4 3 61 Juarin Colburn '20
Riley Foster '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 1 2 6 8 1 6 1 1 10 9 11 6 1 6 69 Ryan Potter '20
Nolan Schupak '21
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 3 3 4 1 5 4 2 8 2 3 14 8 5 OCS 1 80 Piper Holthus '21
Nathalie Lesser '21
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 5 6 5 4 11 8 2 4 4 3 7 4 10 11 84 Davis Winsor '20
Sarah Roudebush '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 6 5 3 3 7 1 12 11 2 5 5 16 3 14 93 Ian Wells '20
Jean Wanlass '21
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 8 9 4 1 9 16 7 15 5 2 4 12 9 10 111 Sean Caulfield '19
Ximena Escobar '21
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 2 11 7 6 15 10 3 8 16 8 6 11 8 4 115 Asher Green '20
Emily O'Connell '21
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7 9 10 9 11 10 5 13 10 15 7 9 14 15 9 146 Vivian Bonsager '21
Brook Wood '21
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 12 13 17 16 2 11 5 12 13 10 14 8 11 5 149 Lauren Simpson '21
Andrew Ingham '21
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 1 7 3 8 10 12 14 14 7 6 19 15 9 16 19 159 Schuyler Capita '21
Lila Chiyatnoo '21
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 2 13 7 11 7 14 4 10 3 14 18 12 19 14 13 159 Burke Kanemasu '21
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 16 15 15 15 5 12 6 14 12 12 16 15 2 8 163 Hailey Horton '20
Brooke Bertrand '21
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 11 8 14 12 6 3 16 6 9 17 13 18 18 15 166 Madison Bashaw '20
David Garcia '21
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 14 14 10 14 8 13 15 17 11 15 10 13 5 12 171 Sara Parker '21
Neal (Alec) Johnson '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 18 16 13 9 13 17 4 13 1 6 18 17 12 17 174 Michael Gaffney '21
Julia Roudebush '19
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 17 17 12 18 18 18 9 16 7 11 2 7 7 16 175 Marleigh Henehan '21
Mckenzie Neuman '21
Coronado Coronado Nado DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 18 1 1 3 6 2 191 Crew Fristch '19
Tristan Richmond '18
Parker Parker Parker 2 15 18 16 13 16 7 DSQ 18 17 13 17 10 17 7 204 Caylin Schnoor '21
Parker Parker Parker 1 10 12 18 17 17 15 DSQ 9 DNF 16 DNF 1 13 18 206 Mackenzie Harris '22
Tully Cook '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 12828282828282828282828282828
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 22929292929292929292929292929
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 32727272727272727272727272727
CoronadoCoronado Nado5050505050505050505050505050
ParkerParker Parker 133333333333333
ParkerParker Parker 244444444444444
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer3030303030303030303030303030
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 13636363636363636363636363636
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 23131313131313131313131313131
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 33232323232323232323232323232
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 43737373737373737373737373737
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 53333333333333333333333333333
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 63535353535353535353535353535
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 73434343434343434343434343434
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 11717171717171717171717171717
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 277777777777777
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights 188888888888888
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights 21212121212121212121212121212
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights 31111111111111111111111111111

Conditions — 03/24/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From WSW (241°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn · W 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at San Diego Yacht Club: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at San Diego Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at San Diego Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →