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Freshman/Sophomore Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 1 21 18 39
2 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 25 31 56
3 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 1 22 35 57
4 Concord Academy Concord Academy Chameleons 45 21 66
5 Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 32 47 79
6 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 46 37 83
7 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 49 41 90
8 Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 1 42 54 96
9 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 2 49 55 104
10 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 3 73 34 107
11 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 72 44 116
12 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 1 55 88 143
13 St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 2 68 76 144
14 Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 2 78 79 157
15 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 77 85 162
16 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 3 91 77 168
17 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 2 74 97 171
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 1 8 4 1 2 4 2 21 Wilson Kaznoski '20
Hayden Byrne '21
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 1 13 3 3 1 1 1 22 Eli Gleason '20
Sierra Devine '22
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 1 1 2 3 15 3 25 Briana Chen '20
Eddie Bielawa '20
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 4 6 4 10 2 6 32 Abby Stewart '22
Lucas Cafferky '20
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 1 2 15 9 5 7 4 42 Matter Remley '20 [1-4]
Jenny Lawton '20 [5-6]
Seamus Mcnulty '20 [1-4]
Sdyney Blair '20 [5-6]
Concord Academy Concord Academy Chameleons 5 9 10 7 9 5 45 Nat Edmonds '20
Lucian Sharpe '20
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 11 5 8 4 11 7 46 Julia Phipps '20 [1-4]
Ben Davenport '20 [5-6]
Joey Cooper '21 [1-4]
Nolan Evans '20 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 6 2 7 8 13 13 49 Abigail Thress '19
Adam Murphy '17
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 2 9 8 12 6 5 9 49 Brooks Jordan '20
Coleman Doherty '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 1 12 7 6 15 3 12 55 Ava Schlottman '20
Beth Carroll '16
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 2 10 10 13 11 10 14 68 Renato Korzinek '21
Tommy Fagan '20
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 7 14 DSQ 17 8 8 72 Aiyan Jiang '21
Johan Cho '21
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 3 15 13 15 14 6 10 73 Janelle Li '21
Fiona Wu '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 2 16 16 5 12 14 11 74 Cam Ritchie '20
Caleb Niles '17
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 14 12 11 13 12 15 77 Elise Donovan '22
Ilsa Weinert '22
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 2 3 11 16 16 16 16 78 Abby Hayes '20
Gabby Jones '20
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 3 17 17 14 9 17 17 91 Nolan Sayer '22
Julia Mangeym '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 1 7 1 2 1 2 5 18 George Lockwood '20
Ryan Clark '21
Concord Academy Concord Academy Chameleons 1 2 7 9 1 1 21 Tim First '20
Sarah Gleba '20
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 2 6 3 4 6 10 31 Jason Yang '20
Jazmin Jennings '21
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 3 4 8 4 6 5 7 34 Will Bordman '21
Michael Anchan '19
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 1 5 4 13 7 4 2 35 Jack Green '20
Tommy King '22
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 12 5 6 8 3 3 37 Preston Knecht '20
Noah Handfeild '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 13 3 9 5 7 4 41 Aiden Daniels '19
Andy Bird '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 11 7 8 2 8 8 44 Raghav Srinivasan '21
Jason Cloherty '20
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 3 11 10 3 11 9 47 Jackson Morrissey '20
Jacob Hoertdoerfer '22
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 1 6 16 1 10 10 11 54 Sloane Wendel '21 [1-4]
Kelly Durning '20 [5-6]
Julia Ting '20 [1-4]
Krishna Ramani '20 [5-6]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 2 8 14 5 13 9 6 55 Justin Luce '20
Julia Mangeym '20
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 2 10 9 12 11 17 17 76 Daniel Giunta '20
Luke Plecinoga '21
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 3 14 10 16 12 12 13 77 Kizmet Abbett '20
Grace Potter '20
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 2 9 15 11 15 13 16 79 Gabby Jones '20
Mathew Buoniconti '20
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 15 13 14 16 15 12 85 Claire Zhang '22
Emma Harden '22
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 1 17 12 17 14 14 14 88 Ben Hunt '16
Ben Carnahan '17
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Needham HS 2 16 DSQ 15 17 16 15 97 Charlotte Khamnei '19
Dante Raynor '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights11221414
Concord AcademyConcord Academy Chameleons13133344
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers 122141455
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers 233441515
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers 314145566
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons44151577
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 155661717
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 215157788
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 166171799
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 277881818
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 31717991010
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Eagles 18818181111
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Eagles 29910101212
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket181811111313
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Needham HS 11010121211
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Needham HS 21111131322
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems12121133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights113344
Concord AcademyConcord Academy Chameleons22141455
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers 133441515
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers 214145566
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers 344151577
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons55661717
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 115157788
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 266171799
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 177881818
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 21717991010
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 38818181111
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Eagles 19910101212
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Eagles 2181811111313
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket1010121211
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Needham HS 11111131322
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Needham HS 212121133
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems1313221414
School / Team SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Elise Donovan '22 Ilsa Weinert '22
Knights Claire Zhang '22 Emma Harden '22
Concord Academy Concord Academy Nat Edmonds '20 Lucian Sharpe '20
Chameleons Tim First '20 Sarah Gleba '20
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Eli Gleason '20 Sierra Devine '22
Radiers 1 Jack Green '20 Tommy King '22
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Brooks Jordan '20 Coleman Doherty '20
Radiers 2 Justin Luce '20 Julia Mangeym '20
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Nolan Sayer '22 Julia Mangeym '20
Radiers 3 Kizmet Abbett '20 Grace Potter '20
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Julia Phipps '20 [1-4]
Ben Davenport '20 [5-6]		 Joey Cooper '21 [1-4]
Nolan Evans '20 [5-6]
Dragons Preston Knecht '20 Noah Handfeild '20
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Matter Remley '20 [1-4]
Jenny Lawton '20 [5-6]		 Seamus Mcnulty '20 [1-4]
Sdyney Blair '20 [5-6]
Warriors 1 Sloane Wendel '21 [1-4]
Kelly Durning '20 [5-6]		 Julia Ting '20 [1-4]
Krishna Ramani '20 [5-6]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Abby Hayes '20 Gabby Jones '20
Warriors 2 Gabby Jones '20 Mathew Buoniconti '20
Sharon High School Sharon High School Briana Chen '20 Eddie Bielawa '20
Eagles 1 Jason Yang '20 Jazmin Jennings '21
Sharon High School Sharon High School Aiyan Jiang '21 Johan Cho '21
Eagles 2 Raghav Srinivasan '21 Jason Cloherty '20
Sharon High School Sharon High School Janelle Li '21 Fiona Wu '21
Eagles 3 Will Bordman '21 Michael Anchan '19
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Wilson Kaznoski '20 Hayden Byrne '21
Eagles 1 George Lockwood '20 Ryan Clark '21
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Renato Korzinek '21 Tommy Fagan '20
Eagles 2 Daniel Giunta '20 Luke Plecinoga '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Abigail Thress '19 Adam Murphy '17
Nantasket Aiden Daniels '19 Andy Bird '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Ava Schlottman '20 Beth Carroll '16
Needham HS 1 Ben Hunt '16 Ben Carnahan '17
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Cam Ritchie '20 Caleb Niles '17
Needham HS 2 Charlotte Khamnei '19 Dante Raynor '15
Winchester High School Winchester High School Abby Stewart '22 Lucas Cafferky '20
Sachems Jackson Morrissey '20 Jacob Hoertdoerfer '22

Conditions — 05/05/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From W (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sharon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →