Oregon Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 26 20 46
2 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 33 28 61
3 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 29 37 66
4 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 4 55 31 86
5 Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 27 67 94
6 Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2 57 39 96
7 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 6 61 46 107
8 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 5 51 65 116
9 Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1 66 72 138
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 4 2 1 3 2 5 2 5 2 26 Erin Sutherland '18 [1-9]
Audrey Becker '18 [1-5, 7-9]
Grace Schlemmer '18 [6]
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 1 7 5 7 1 3 1 1 1 27 Ronan Krutzkowsky '18
Sara Tornelli '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 6 1 3 1 3 1 9 2 3 29 Colson Zack '18 [1-9]
Grace Schlemmer '18 [1-5, 7-9]
Audrey Becker '18 [6]
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 2 3 2 5 4 2 4 7 4 33 Kevin Johnston '20
Izzy Lira '19
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 5 3 4 6 4 8 8 3 9 6 51 Thomas Mixon '18
Nash Levy '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 4 8 8 4 2 5 9 6 8 5 55 Dylan Polewczyk '19
Paris Nunn '19
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2 7 5 7 6 6 4 7 6 9 57
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 6 9 6 9 9 7 6 5 3 7 61 Benny Davidson '19
Luke Samuels '20
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1 5 9 8 8 9 7 8 4 8 66 Madisen Kinner '19
Charli Adams '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 2 2 3 20 Pelle Bergstrom '19
Abby Bergemann '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 2 2 4 1 3 5 3 6 2 28 Blake Polewczyk '19
Ben Kaden '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 4 4 3 6 7 1 1 4 1 4 31 Trey Roeseler '17
Victoria Ervin '20
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 6 6 2 3 2 3 6 3 6 37 Stella Waag '20
Saylor Sundby '20
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2 3 7 5 6 5 6 1 5 1 39
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 6 5 4 7 5 6 2 8 4 5 46 Ivy Mcdonald '17
Zack Martin '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 5 9 5 8 8 8 8 5 7 7 65 Tanner Brownback '20
Mattie Beckman '21
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 8 8 3 9 9 7 7 8 8 67 Anthony Serewis '18
Brian Lubinsky '18
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1 7 9 9 4 7 9 9 9 9 72
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 1131313121212111111
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 2121212111111101010
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 3111111101010999
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 4101010999777
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 5999777666
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 6777666333
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs666333111
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1333111131313
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2111131313121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 1999777666
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 2777666333
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 3666333111
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 4333111131313
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 5111131313121212
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 6131313121212111111
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs121212111111101010
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1111111101010999
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2101010999777

Conditions — 05/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.0 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From ESE (122°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1015.0 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Newport: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →