Oregon Series - Newport

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 13 7 20
2 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 14 24 38
3 Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 22 18 40
4 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 35 20 55
5 Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 22 35 57
6 Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 26 36 62
7 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 4 42 35 77
8 Aardvarks Aardvarks Aardvarks 43 51 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 3 1 3 4 1 1 13 Pelle Bergstrom '19
Abby Bergemann '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 1 2 5 1 3 2 14 Trey Roeseler '17
Sean Arpag '20
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 2 5 2 5 2 6 22 Ronan Krutzkowsky '18
Sara Tornelli '18
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 5 3 1 3 7 3 22
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 4 4 4 6 4 4 26
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 6 8 7 2 5 7 35 Thomas Mixon '18
Ezra Mudry '20
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 4 DNF 6 8 8 6 5 42 Ruben Blaine '19
Mattie Beckman '21
Aardvarks Aardvarks Aardvarks 7 7 6 7 8 8 43
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 Erin Sutherland '18
Audrey Becker '18
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 3 2 2 6 4 1 18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 20 Blake Polewczyk '19
Dylan Polewczyk '19
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 2 4 4 3 6 5 24 Stella Waag '20
Kevin Johnston '20
Newport High School Newport High School Cubs 7 DNF DNS 2 2 6 35 Anthony Serewis '18
Sara Tornelli '18
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 4 DNF 6 6 5 5 4 35 Tanner Brownback '20
Parker Dey '20
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 5 5 5 7 7 7 36
Aardvarks Aardvarks Aardvarks 6 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 51
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 1111444
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 2333666
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 3444777
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 4666999
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals777101010
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs999131313
AardvarksAardvarks Aardvarks101010111
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA131313333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 1333666
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 2444777
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 3666999
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 4777101010
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals999131313
Newport High SchoolNewport High School Cubs101010111
AardvarksAardvarks Aardvarks131313333
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA111444

Conditions — 04/14/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From NE (54°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.35)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Newport: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →