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Raritan Tuesday Series 5-22-18

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 6 6
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 6 6
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 10 10
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 13 13
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 16 16
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 16 16
7 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 22 22
8 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 25 25
9 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 27 27
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 30 30
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 32 32
12 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 32 32
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 38 38
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 1 4 1 6 Thomas Quinn '18
Kelsey Kennedy '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 3 1 2 6 Hannah Mercurio '20
Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 2 3 5 10 Sean Groskoph '20
Luke Browne '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 4 6 3 13 Quinn Collins '21
Evan Hybl '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 5 2 9 16 Sophie Lusty '20
Liz Colao '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 7 5 4 16 Jack Quinn '20 [1-3]
Michael Ahern '21 [1]
Ben Sampson '20 [2-3]
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 9 7 6 22 Caroline Maher '21
Anna Schwartz '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 6 9 10 25 Mack Totman '19
Avery Anderson '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 11 8 8 27 Veloce Scott '21
Ryan Mayes '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 12 11 7 30 Paul Danenberg '19
Royce Ankel '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 8 13 11 32 Zoe Papier '19
Luke Duplessis '20
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 10 10 12 32 Lauren Burke '19
Celia Peri '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 13 12 13 38 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Henry Gallagher '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 1222
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 2444
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 3555
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 4666
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 1161616
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 2171717
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1101010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 2111111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 3121212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 4131313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 5141414
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 6151515
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 7181818
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Paul Danenberg '19 Royce Ankel '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Zoe Papier '19 Luke Duplessis '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 Henry Gallagher '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 Veloce Scott '21 Ryan Mayes '19
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 Caroline Maher '21 Anna Schwartz '20
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 Lauren Burke '19 Celia Peri '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Thomas Quinn '18 Kelsey Kennedy '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Sophie Lusty '20 Liz Colao '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Mack Totman '19 Avery Anderson '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Hannah Mercurio '20 Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 Sean Groskoph '20 Luke Browne '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 Quinn Collins '21 Evan Hybl '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 Jack Quinn '20 [1-3] Michael Ahern '21 [1]
Ben Sampson '20 [2-3]

Conditions — 05/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1019.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From SE (140°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine1.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1019.3 hPa Rain0.19 in

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: SE about 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →