SAISA Silver Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 28 13 41
2 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 15 27 42
3 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 34 33 67
4 Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Varsity 43 25 68
5 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA JV 22 52 74
6 Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 33 43 76
7 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 52 32 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 15 Scott Harris '18 [1-8]
Ella Deschamps '21 [1-6]
Cooper Whitehead '18 [7-8]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA JV RAF 1 1 1 1 1 DSQ 1 22 Benjamin Smith '22
David Novak '20
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 2 3 5 4 3 6 2 3 28 Sydney Register '18
Addison Terry '19
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 5 4 2 3 4 5 5 5 33 Sully O'Donnell '21
Conner Rink '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 5 4 6 5 3 3 4 34 Carson Shaw '22 [1-8]
Andrew Shook '19 [1-6]
Camdyn Williams '21 [7-8]
Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Varsity 3 6 6 5 6 7 4 6 43 Samuel Marcom '22
Collin Adler '21
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 6 OCS 7 7 7 4 6 7 52 Daniel Henesy '18 [1-8]
Arianna Borkowski '20 [1-4, 7-8]
James O'Connor '20 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 3 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 13 Zack Carvajal '22
Rosemary Delamater '20
Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Varsity 1 2 OCS 1 4 3 2 4 25 Gareth Ferguson '19
Leif Nyland '21
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 5 6 2 6 2 2 1 3 27 Jacob Usher '21
Bella Cankurtaran '20
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 2 3 3 4 3 7 5 5 32 Carter Beall '18 [1-6]
Erin O'Connor '20 [7-8]
Erin O'Connor '20 [1-6]
James O'Connor '20 [7-8]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 5 4 5 5 4 4 2 33 Mason Baird '22 [1-8]
Camdyn Williams '21 [1-6]
Andrew Shook '19 [7-8]
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 7 4 5 3 6 5 7 6 43 Evan West '22
Sam Hiner '21
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA JV 6 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 52 Anika Pruim '18 [1-8]
Mairead Benson '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Kate Smith '19 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops11335577
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA JV22446611
Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC)Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Varsity33557722
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School44661133
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity55772244
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard66113355
WandoWando Wando Warriors77224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops22446611
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA JV33557722
Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC)Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Varsity44661133
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School55772244
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity66113355
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard77224466
WandoWando Wando Warriors11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Daniel Henesy '18 [1-8] Arianna Borkowski '20 [1-4, 7-8]
James O'Connor '20 [5-6]
Bishops Carter Beall '18 [1-6]
Erin O'Connor '20 [7-8]
Erin O'Connor '20 [1-6]
James O'Connor '20 [7-8]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 David Novak '20
CFA JV Anika Pruim '18 [1-8] Mairead Benson '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Kate Smith '19 [3-6]
Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Cardinal Gibbons High School (NC) Samuel Marcom '22 Collin Adler '21
Varsity Gareth Ferguson '19 Leif Nyland '21
Hough High School Hough High School Sully O'Donnell '21 Conner Rink '22
Hough High School Evan West '22 Sam Hiner '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Carson Shaw '22 [1-8] Andrew Shook '19 [1-6]
Camdyn Williams '21 [7-8]
Varsity Mason Baird '22 [1-8] Camdyn Williams '21 [1-6]
Andrew Shook '19 [7-8]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Scott Harris '18 [1-8] Ella Deschamps '21 [1-6]
Cooper Whitehead '18 [7-8]
Hoggard Jacob Usher '21 Bella Cankurtaran '20
Wando Wando Sydney Register '18 Addison Terry '19
Wando Warriors Zack Carvajal '22 Rosemary Delamater '20

Conditions — 04/28/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1011.8 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From S (186°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1011.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at John T. Hoggard: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at John T. Hoggard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at John T. Hoggard, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →