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SAISA Womens Champs

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 11 11
2 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 19 19
3 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 20 20
4 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 25 25
5 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 26 26
6 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 34 34
7 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 43 43
8 Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers 47 47
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 53 53
10 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 56 56
11 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 65 65
12 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 74 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 2 1 2 2 3 1 11 Olivia De Olazarra '18
Natalia Gagliano '19
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 3 4 3 1 6 2 19 Katie Nelson '20
Carolina Cassedy '18
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 1 5 5 3 2 4 20 J.J. Smith '20
Sebastian Windham '20
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 4 3 6 5 4 3 25 Sydney Register '18
Lauren Creech '19
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 7 2 1 6 5 5 26 Allison Weinbecker '18
Olivia Wallace '21
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers DNF 6 4 4 1 6 34 Ann Sheridan '18 [1-6]
Julianna Skoglund '19 [1-2]
Pearce Buxton '20 [3-6]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 5 8 7 9 7 7 43 Britton Durst '19
Camdyn Williams '21
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers 6 7 9 7 8 10 47 Lucy Spearman '21
Ellie Spearman '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 9 8 10 9 9 53 Madison Roy '22
Noelle Dennis '22
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 10 10 10 8 10 8 56 Sarah Weese '20 [1-6]
Brooke Zell '20 [1-2]
Nellie Littles '18 [3-6]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 9 12 11 11 11 11 65 Erin O'Connor '20
Arianna Borkowski '20
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 11 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS 74 Alli Volk '21
Abby Neel '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers112233
Atlanta Classical AcademyAtlanta Classical Academy The Cavaliers223344
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops334455
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny445566
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity556677
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity778899
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes88991010
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity9910101111
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers667788
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights101011111212
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors1111121211
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors12121122

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1009.8 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 34.2 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1009.8 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville University: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.51 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Jacksonville University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →