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South Points #5 JV

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Chargers Chargers Chargers 30 30
2 Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 40 40
3 Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA 58 58
4 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 66 66
5 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Shred City Residents 72 72
6 Hagerty High School Hagerty High School JV 75 75
7 Varsity Varsity Varsity 83 83
8 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 85 85
9 Sailors Sailors Sailors 89 89
10 Varsity Varsity Varsity 89 89
11 Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 90 90
12 Varsity Varsity Varsity 114 114
13 Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 118 118
14 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 124 124
15 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 125 125
16 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 126 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Chargers Chargers Chargers 3 1 5 1 1 1 2 9 6 1 30
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 1 2 1 10 4 2 13 1 2 4 40 Alex Temko '20 [1-10]
Sophia Wicks '19 [1-4]
Conor Reese '21 [5-10]
Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA 4 4 12 13 3 3 10 6 1 2 58
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 9 6 4 9 5 5 4 9 9 66 Bradley Reimer '20 [1-5]
Matthew Bueres '21 [6-10]
Jason Kleinman '20 [1-5]
Kobe Kaufmann '19 [6-10]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Shred City Residents 8 5 10 7 2 11 11 10 5 3 72 Jack Parker '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jacob Armitage '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Aine Porter '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Grace Pfaelzer '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Hagerty High School Hagerty High School JV 10 12 11 16 5 6 4 2 4 5 75 Sam Pearl '18 [1-4]
Robert Newland '21 [5-8]
Leah Harper '18 [9-10]
Ava Moring '21 [1-4]
Chad Todd '20 [5-8]
Robert Newland '21 [9-10]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 2 3 3 5 11 4 16 15 13 11 83
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 5 7 8 12 16 8 3 8 10 8 85 Liz Cloninger '22 [1-10]
Summer Scott '20 [1-3]
Raquel Shulman '22 [4-10]
Sailors Sailors Sailors 9 8 9 3 15 12 1 3 14 15 89
Varsity Varsity Varsity 12 6 2 2 7 15 15 12 11 7 89
Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates DNF 10 7 9 6 13 6 13 3 6 90 Camden Sullivan '21 [1-2, 9-10]
Mason Sullivan '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Soodek '20 [5-6]
Jack Soodek '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Connor Snead '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Camden Sullivan '21 [5-6]
Varsity Varsity Varsity DNF 11 4 8 12 7 12 16 15 12 114
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 7 DNF DNF 11 14 DNF 9 5 7 14 118 Savannah Fondrk '18 [1]
Kyle Funderburk '20 [2-4, 7-8]
Emma Heck '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Eleanor Erikson '19 [1, 5-6]
Ethan Ghozali '20 [2-4, 7-10]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 13 DNF 6 13 14 7 14 16 13 124 Yazmeen Simpson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Katelyn Herter '20 [9-10]
Katelyn Herter '20 [1-2]
Emma Elliott '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Ryan Ince '21 [5-6]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [9-10]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers DNF 14 DNF 15 8 9 14 7 8 16 125 Garrett Brooks '22 [1-6, 10]
Madison Roy '22 [7-9]
Spencer Brooks '20 [1-6]
Thomas Weiss '20 [7-10]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons DNF DNF DNF 14 10 10 8 11 12 10 126 Frederick Debiase '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Coby Flannery '21 [3-4]
Griffin Barron '21 [7-8]
Dina Coletti '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Griffin Barron '21 [3-4]
Coby Flannery '21 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
VarsityVarsity Varsity9909990999099909990999099909990999099909
VarsityVarsity Varsity5555555555
Braden River High SchoolBraden River High School Pirates15151515151515151515
Clearwater Central Catholic High SchoolClearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity5239523952395239523952395239523952395239
Hagerty High SchoolHagerty High School JV99999999999999999999
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons1111111111
VarsityVarsity Varsity66666666666666666666
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves3333333333
Palm Harbor University High SchoolPalm Harbor University High School Varsity10101010101010101010
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3333333333
SailorsSailors Sailors12121212121212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS2222222222
Unregistered-SAISAUnregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA6666666666
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates Camden Sullivan '21 [1-2, 9-10]
Mason Sullivan '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Soodek '20 [5-6]		 Jack Soodek '20 [1-2, 9-10]
Connor Snead '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Camden Sullivan '21 [5-6]
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity Alex Temko '20 [1-10] Sophia Wicks '19 [1-4]
Conor Reese '21 [5-10]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Shred City Residents Jack Parker '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jacob Armitage '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Aine Porter '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Grace Pfaelzer '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders Bradley Reimer '20 [1-5]
Matthew Bueres '21 [6-10]		 Jason Kleinman '20 [1-5]
Kobe Kaufmann '19 [6-10]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers Garrett Brooks '22 [1-6, 10]
Madison Roy '22 [7-9]		 Spencer Brooks '20 [1-6]
Thomas Weiss '20 [7-10]
Hagerty High School Hagerty High School JV Sam Pearl '18 [1-4]
Robert Newland '21 [5-8]
Leah Harper '18 [9-10]		 Ava Moring '21 [1-4]
Chad Todd '20 [5-8]
Robert Newland '21 [9-10]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons Frederick Debiase '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Coby Flannery '21 [3-4]
Griffin Barron '21 [7-8]		 Dina Coletti '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Griffin Barron '21 [3-4]
Coby Flannery '21 [7-8]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves Liz Cloninger '22 [1-10] Summer Scott '20 [1-3]
Raquel Shulman '22 [4-10]
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity Savannah Fondrk '18 [1]
Kyle Funderburk '20 [2-4, 7-8]
Emma Heck '20 [5-6, 9-10]		 Eleanor Erikson '19 [1, 5-6]
Ethan Ghozali '20 [2-4, 7-10]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS Yazmeen Simpson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Katelyn Herter '20 [9-10]		 Katelyn Herter '20 [1-2]
Emma Elliott '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Ryan Ince '21 [5-6]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [9-10]

Conditions — 01/27/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.0 kn
avg  ·  max 15.4 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From ESE (103°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine4.8 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1025.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →