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2018-19 PCISA SoCal 5 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 2 32 32
2 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 47 47
3 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 75 75
4 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 1 81 81
5 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 82 82
6 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 4 90 90
7 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 128 128
8 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3 142 142
9 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 144 144
10 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 3 159 159
11 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 163 163
12 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 183 183
13 Parker Parker Parker 2 188 188
14 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 3 189 189
15 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 193 193
16 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 195 195
17 Parker Parker Parker 1 203 203
18 Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 209 209
19 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 221 221
20 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 241 241
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 2 2 4 5 1 1 6 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 1 32 Crew Fristch '19
Jett Jennings '21
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 3 7 1 5 3 1 8 7 3 2 1 2 2 2 47 Reade Decker '23
Sophia Mulvania '22
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 1 5 2 6 2 7 3 14 7 3 5 4 11 5 75 Michael Gaffney '21
Nolan Schupak '21
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 1 5 3 8 16 11 2 5 2 8 4 6 1 6 4 81 River Paquin '20
Trey Summers '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 4 6 12 10 4 4 2 9 4 6 4 8 1 8 82 Jack Roman '22
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '22
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 4 8 2 4 12 7 5 4 8 5 14 3 5 7 6 90 Conner Mccrillis '20
Mercy Tangredi '20
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2 17 14 6 17 6 3 9 3 6 8 10 DSQ 5 3 128 Maxwell Kleha '21
Gretchen Hohenstein '20
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3 6 13 10 7 5 10 11 11 2 18 17 13 8 11 142 Dutch Dietrick '20
Sophia Burton '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 16 1 3 15 17 9 18 RDG 12 5 7 12 12 7 144 Brook Wood '21
No Show
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 3 11 20 16 11 16 14 10 6 9 7 13 7 10 9 159 Kyle Gallagher '19
Taber Ball '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 14 12 15 8 18 11 7 5 15 12 11 6 14 15 163 No Show
No Show
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 15 9 7 3 14 19 15 4 10 17 15 DSQ 13 DNS 183 Jimmy Dealy '20
Conner Skewes '21
Parker Parker Parker 2 12 8 9 2 12 13 6 10 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 188 Caylin Schnoor '21
Aleena Callahan '22
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 3 7 15 11 14 10 DSQ 12 15 16 13 8 16 18 13 189 Charlie Clausen '19
Katelyn Roberts '20
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 13 10 19 20 9 12 17 19 17 9 12 11 9 16 193 Alex Woodmansee '20
Michael Murphy '22
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 18 11 14 19 20 16 19 17 18 11 9 9 4 10 195 Jacob Titcomb '21
No Show
Parker Parker Parker 1 19 16 17 4 19 15 13 18 14 10 16 14 16 12 203 Gabriel Campbell '22
Theo Fernon '22
Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 10 17 20 18 8 18 14 12 13 16 14 15 17 17 209 Nikhil Stewart '21
Elissa Martinez '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 20 18 18 13 13 17 16 13 RAF 15 18 10 15 14 221 Gordon Withrow '21
Peter Barilo '22
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 9 19 13 9 15 8 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 241 Lucas Wood '20
Leehealey Kennedy '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 155555555555555
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 244444444444444
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 322222222222222
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 11414141414141414141414141414
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 21515151515151515151515151515
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado 11010101010101010101010101010
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado 277777777777777
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado 31313131313131313131313131313
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado 488888888888888
ParkerParker Parker 1100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
ParkerParker Parker 22727272727272727272727272727
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 12525252525252525252525252525
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 22626262626262626262626262626
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs 32828282828282828282828282828
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 12929292929292929292929292929
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 21818181818181818181818181818
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 32020202020202020202020202020
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 42121212121212121212121212121
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers11111111111111
Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceLong Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon1919191919191919191919191919

Conditions — 03/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Francis Parker: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Francis Parker by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Francis Parker, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →