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2018-19 PCISA SoCal 5 Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 43 43
2 Parker Parker Parker 3 56 56
3 Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 67 67
4 Parker Parker Parker 1 102 102
5 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 102 102
6 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2 102 102
7 Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears 110 110
8 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 117 117
9 Parker Parker Parker 2 134 134
10 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 142 142
11 Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2 143 143
12 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 144 144
13 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1 156 156
14 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 194 194
15 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 196 196
16 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 3 222 222
17 Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1 230 230
18 Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 239 239
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1 1 3 3 2 2 4 1 9 4 1 10 1 1 43 Samuel Bigelow '19
Cooper Esnard '22
Parker Parker Parker 3 6 10 5 2 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 1 3 5 56 Paulo Campbell '22
No Show
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 4 7 4 7 8 5 1 6 1 8 3 2 8 3 67 Jackson Hoover '20
Abaym Fritz '20
Parker Parker Parker 1 2 4 10 10 1 DNF 8 2 11 7 6 5 6 11 102 Garrett Henderson '23
Shea Mcgrath '23
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 5 5 6 9 5 6 6 5 5 11 9 12 12 6 102 Pierce Hemphill '22
Tara Afshar '22
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2 16 3 8 1 10 8 2 10 12 1 8 9 4 10 102 No Show
No Show
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears 13 12 2 5 11 9 14 8 7 15 2 6 2 4 110 Damien Wilder '22
Jeon Jiwon '22
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 9 9 11 8 DNS 4 5 7 10 6 7 3 7 12 117 Sophia Pearce '22
Annabella Rivera '21
Parker Parker Parker 2 7 6 7 12 6 DNS 7 13 6 10 15 8 9 9 134 Radha Carollo '20
No Show
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 11 2 1 4 3 1 12 11 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 142 Ku Yoshitomi '19
Mike Schugar '19
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2 8 8 12 6 9 10 11 DNS 8 2 14 7 14 15 143 Troy Davidson '20
No Show
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 12 13 15 13 12 11 10 3 DNS 5 5 4 15 7 144 No Show
No Show
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1 3 15 13 14 13 12 13 9 4 16 13 13 10 8 156 Kieran Lyons '22
No Show
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 10 16 14 11 7 7 9 12 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 194 Katherine Shofran '18
Sivan Brewer '22
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 15 14 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 12 11 5 2 196 Casey Krupinsky '21
Isabella Mccormick '22
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 3 14 11 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 9 11 15 16 16 222 Arda Hoka '23
Truman Lazarus '23
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 13 10 16 11 14 230 Diego Lockyer '21
Tyler Hoang '21
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 12 16 14 13 13 239 Jack Hanson '22
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons66666666666666
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 19898989898989898989898989898
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 28888888888888888888888888888
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 39494949494949494949494949494
ParkerParker Parker 11212121212121212121212121212
ParkerParker Parker 28989898989898989898989898989
ParkerParker Parker 3117117117117117117117117117117117117117117
Los Alamitos High SchoolLos Alamitos High School Griffins979797979797979797979797979
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs9797979797979797979797979797
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs 18383838383838383838383838383
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs 28484848484848484848484848484
Port of Los Angeles High SchoolPort of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears9999999999999999999999999999
Palos Verdes Peninsula High SchoolPalos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers9595959595959595959595959595
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 18080808080808080807777777777
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 28282828282828282828282828282
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 19292929292929292929292929292
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 28787878787878787878787878787
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 38686868686868686868686868686

Conditions — 03/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Francis Parker: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Francis Parker by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Francis Parker, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →