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Herreshoff Qualifier - Tabor

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 13 9 22
2 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 16 12 28
3 Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 26 15 41
4 Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 27 18 45
5 Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 28 34 62
6 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 34 41 75
7 Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Blue Knights 25 56 81
8 Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 41 41 82
9 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 40 47 87
10 Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 39 49 88
11 Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Indians 48 45 93
12 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 56 43 99
13 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 63 47 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 2 2 1 4 13 Anna Olsen '20 [1-5]
Menasha Leport '21 [1-4]
Carter Riggs '22 [5]
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 1 3 4 7 16 Megan Grimes '19
Isabel Alex '21
Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Blue Knights 6 4 1 3 11 25 Kari Gould '19
Layla Sastry '19
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 3 6 8 7 2 26 Faith Cournoyer '19
Ashley Breyer '20
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 5 3 5 11 3 27 Taylor Eastman '20
Caroline Lewis '20
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 8 5 4 2 9 28 Aili Moffet '19 [1-5]
Olivia Rocchio-Giordano '21 [1-2]
Olivia Klipfel '21 [3-5]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 2 9 6 9 8 34 Unregistered Sailors '22
Mara Oancea '23
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 7 7 7 8 10 39 Delaney Saluja '20 [1-5]
Lily Belka '20 [1-4]
Farrell Saluja '22 [5]
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 10 10 9 5 6 40 Devon Hartigan '19 [1-2, 5]
Maeve Clifford '19 [3-4]
Victoria Conrad '22 [1-2]
Lilian Briggs '19 [3-4]
Melina Troccolo '19 [5]
Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans 9 11 10 10 1 41 Sophia Hirschmann '19
Amber Rousseau '19
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Indians 12 RAF 11 6 5 48 Gracie Woodcock '19 [1-5]
Kait Ouellette '19 [1-2]
Julia Gilchrest '22 [3-5]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 11 8 13 12 12 56 Veronica Smith '20 [1-5]
Ella Kilgore '21 [1-2]
Monica Duan '21 [3-4]
Alexa Quinn '22 [5]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 13 12 12 13 13 63 Eliza Taylor '19 [1-5]
Sophia Rey '22 [1-2, 5]
Meghan Mckenna '21 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 1 3 1 2 9 Ellie Dyroff '22
Cat Shakin '19
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 3 5 1 2 1 12 Maisie Macgillivray '21 [1-4]
Sophie Fisher '22 [5]
Katherine Wetzel '19 [1-4]
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 1 3 2 6 3 15 Ceci Bohan '20
Jenna Palmer '20
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 4 2 4 3 5 18 Margo Silliman '20
Lilly Mathieu '19
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 5 4 RAF 4 7 34 Maddy Kerr '19 [1-5]
Greta Shuster '21 [1-2]
Hanna Franklin '20 [3-4]
Dana Russell '19 [5]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 10 6 8 7 10 41 Shannon Brecher '22
Unregistered Sailors '22
Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Spartans OCS 7 7 9 4 41 Savannah Kofton '22
Simone Johnson '20
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 7 9 11 5 11 43 Eliza Hill '22 [1-2, 5]
Ashley Franklin '22 [3-4]
Sofia Mcmillan '20 [1-2]
Korina Mcmillan '22 [3-5]
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Indians 8 8 5 12 12 45 Sadie Thomas '19
Madison Curvelo '20
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 6 10 12 13 6 47 Katie Blinn '19 [1-2, 5]
Nick Belev '22 [3-4]
Owen Clifford '22 [1-2]
Oliver Page '22 [3-4]
Laini Schneider '22 [5]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 11 11 6 11 8 47 Marianna May '21 [1-5]
Stella Garcia '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Newsome '21 [5]
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 9 12 9 10 9 49 Lydia Bennett '20
Caroline Ohagen '20
Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Blue Knights 12 13 10 8 13 56 Emily Torok '19 [1-2, 5]
Kathleen Duryea '20 [3-4]
Kathleen Duryea '20 [1-2, 5]
Emily Torok '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders11335
Bishop Stang HighBishop Stang High Spartans22446
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School Indians33557
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers44668
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders55779
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers668810
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks779911
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens88101012
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings99111113
Sandwich Middle High SchoolSandwich Middle High School Blue Knights101012121
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons111113132
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves1212113
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raiders1313224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders22446
Bishop Stang HighBishop Stang High Spartans33557
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School Indians44668
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers55779
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders668810
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers779911
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks88101012
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens99111113
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings101012121
Sandwich Middle High SchoolSandwich Middle High School Blue Knights111113132
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1212113
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves1313224
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raiders11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Taylor Eastman '20 Caroline Lewis '20
Raiders Margo Silliman '20 Lilly Mathieu '19
Bishop Stang High Bishop Stang High Sophia Hirschmann '19 Amber Rousseau '19
Spartans Savannah Kofton '22 Simone Johnson '20
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Gracie Woodcock '19 [1-5] Kait Ouellette '19 [1-2]
Julia Gilchrest '22 [3-5]
Indians Sadie Thomas '19 Madison Curvelo '20
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Unregistered Sailors '22 Mara Oancea '23
Avengers Shannon Brecher '22 Unregistered Sailors '22
Middletown High School Middletown High School Delaney Saluja '20 [1-5] Lily Belka '20 [1-4]
Farrell Saluja '22 [5]
Islanders Lydia Bennett '20 Caroline Ohagen '20
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Aili Moffet '19 [1-5] Olivia Rocchio-Giordano '21 [1-2]
Olivia Klipfel '21 [3-5]
Quakers Maddy Kerr '19 [1-5] Greta Shuster '21 [1-2]
Hanna Franklin '20 [3-4]
Dana Russell '19 [5]
Natick High School Natick High School Devon Hartigan '19 [1-2, 5]
Maeve Clifford '19 [3-4]		 Victoria Conrad '22 [1-2]
Lilian Briggs '19 [3-4]
Melina Troccolo '19 [5]
Redhawks Katie Blinn '19 [1-2, 5]
Nick Belev '22 [3-4]		 Owen Clifford '22 [1-2]
Oliver Page '22 [3-4]
Laini Schneider '22 [5]
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Faith Cournoyer '19 Ashley Breyer '20
Ravens Ceci Bohan '20 Jenna Palmer '20
Rogers High School Rogers High School Eliza Taylor '19 [1-5] Sophia Rey '22 [1-2, 5]
Meghan Mckenna '21 [3-4]
Vikings Marianna May '21 [1-5] Stella Garcia '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Newsome '21 [5]
Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Kari Gould '19 Layla Sastry '19
Blue Knights Emily Torok '19 [1-2, 5]
Kathleen Duryea '20 [3-4]		 Kathleen Duryea '20 [1-2, 5]
Emily Torok '19 [3-4]
St. George's School St. George's School Megan Grimes '19 Isabel Alex '21
Dragons Maisie Macgillivray '21 [1-4]
Sophie Fisher '22 [5]		 Katherine Wetzel '19 [1-4]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Anna Olsen '20 [1-5] Menasha Leport '21 [1-4]
Carter Riggs '22 [5]
Seawolves Ellie Dyroff '22 Cat Shakin '19
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Veronica Smith '20 [1-5] Ella Kilgore '21 [1-2]
Monica Duan '21 [3-4]
Alexa Quinn '22 [5]
Raiders Eliza Hill '22 [1-2, 5]
Ashley Franklin '22 [3-4]		 Sofia Mcmillan '20 [1-2]
Korina Mcmillan '22 [3-5]

Conditions — 04/28/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WSW (246°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine5.1 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1015.6 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →