Navigate

NJISA Raritan Tuesday Series 4-02-19

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 4 4
2 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 15 15
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 20 20
4 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 21 21
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 21 21
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 22 22
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 23 23
8 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 31 31
9 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 32 32
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 40 40
11 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 45 45
12 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 51 51
13 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 52 52
14 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 52 52
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 1 1 1 1 4 Patrick Modin '19
Harrison Quinn '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 3 7 2 3 15 Luke Duplessis '20
Ryan Mayes '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 2 4 9 5 20 Malcolm Harrison '19
Liz Colao '19
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 5 2 4 10 21 Caroline Maher '21 [1-4]
Anna Schwartz '20 [1-2]
Celia Peri '20 [3-4]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 8 3 3 7 21 Quinn Collins '21
Ben Sampson '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 4 9 7 2 22 Sean Groskoph '20
Lilly Shanker '22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 7 5 5 6 23 Thomas Marino '21
Zoe Papier '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 10 6 11 4 31 Evan Hybl '19
Michael Ahern '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 6 8 10 8 32 Paige Lubrano '22
Jake Simonetti '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 13 10 8 9 40 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Henry Gallagher '20
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 9 DNS 6 DNF 45 Kevin Tang '19
No Show
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 12 DNF 12 12 51 Ciara Doherty '21
Jonathan Field '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 11 11 DNF DNS 52 Jack Quinn '20
Jack Greengrass '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 14 12 DNF 11 52 Katie Penque '22
Mia Chmelar '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 14444
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 25555
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 38888
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 415151515
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 519191919
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers14141414
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals18181818
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers3333
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 110101010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 212121212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 313131313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 415151515
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 516161616
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 617171717
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Luke Duplessis '20 Ryan Mayes '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Thomas Marino '21 Zoe Papier '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Paige Lubrano '22 Jake Simonetti '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 Ciara Doherty '21 Jonathan Field '22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 Henry Gallagher '20
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers Patrick Modin '19 Harrison Quinn '20
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals Caroline Maher '21 [1-4] Anna Schwartz '20 [1-2]
Celia Peri '20 [3-4]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers Kevin Tang '19 No Show
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Jack Quinn '20 Jack Greengrass '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Quinn Collins '21 Ben Sampson '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Malcolm Harrison '19 Liz Colao '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Katie Penque '22 Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 Sean Groskoph '20 Lilly Shanker '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 Evan Hybl '19 Michael Ahern '21

Conditions — 04/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1027.4 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From SE (127°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1027.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Summit: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →