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Nor Cal Divisional Championship Silver

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 19 10 29
2 Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 21 12 33
3 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 23 32 55
4 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 29 34 63
5 Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 37 40 77
6 Los Altos High Los Altos High Eagles 21 62 83
7 Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 63 35 98
8 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 61 39 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 3 4 3 1 2 5 19 Taylor Lee '19 [1-4, 7]
Marko Zaninovich '19 [5-6]
Marko Zaninovich '19 [1-4, 7]
Carl Ahrens '20 [5-6]
Los Altos High Los Altos High Eagles 3 4 1 1 DNS 1 2 21 Leo Oki '26
Tristan Harris '22
Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 4 1 3 2 2 3 6 21 Chloe Long '19
Kyle Schaefer '21
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 5 2 4 4 5 1 23 Joss Ettrick '21
Charlie Gates '22
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 6 2 6 5 3 4 3 29 Joshua Holzer '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Alyssa Barkus '21 [3-4]
Bellarose Campbell '20 [1-6]
Alyssa Barkus '21 [7]
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 5 6 5 6 5 6 4 37 Gabriella Von Esmarch '19
Ciara Hall '22
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 7 61 No Show
No Show
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 63 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 10 Ryan Marquess '22
Schuyler Jones '21
Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 1 1 2 2 2 1 3 12 Jt Long '21
Kees Horn '21
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 3 7 6 3 5 6 2 32 Luke Watson '20
Eli Wood '22
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 5 5 4 4 4 5 7 34 Ian Somerville '22 [1-6]
Lily Hock '20 [7]
Max Shmelev '21 [1-6]
Ian Somerville '22 [7]
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 6 4 7 7 3 3 5 35 Calvin Olsen '23
Nathan Freed '23
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans DNS 6 3 5 6 4 6 39 Vicente Santos '23
Max Huffer '23
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 4 3 5 6 DNS DNS 4 40 Lucie Russell '20
Thomas Bird '21
Los Altos High Los Altos High Eagles DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 62 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech36363636363636
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans35353535353535
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Pirates109109109109109109109
Los Altos HighLos Altos High Eagles37373737373737
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats17171717171717
Mountain View High School (CA)Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View370370370370370370370
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates99999999999999
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks79797979797979

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech36363636363636
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans35353535353535
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Pirates109109109109109109109
Los Altos HighLos Altos High Eagles37373737373737
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats17171717171717
Mountain View High School (CA)Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View370370370370370370370
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates99999999999999
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks79797979797979

Conditions — 03/30/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1023.9 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From NW (313°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1023.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Crystal Springs Upla: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.79 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Crystal Springs Upla by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Crystal Springs Upla: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →