NYISA-NW League Qualifier

HostFairport/Pittsford Sutherland
Date03/30/2019
TypeLeague Championship
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	9	5	14
2	Pittsford High School	Knights 1	27	15	42
3	Irondequoit High School	Eagles	19	25	44
4	St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 1	27	18	45
5	Fairport High School	Red Raiders 1	18	48	66
6	Canisius High School	Crusaders	33	37	70
7	Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 2	32	48	80
8	Brighton High School	Bauins	41	40	81
9	McQuaid High School	Knights	35	47	82
10	Mercy High School	Monarchs	52	36	88
11	Buffalo Seminary	Red-Tailed Hawks	57	35	92
12	Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 3	49	68	117
13	Fairport High School	Red Raiders 2	68	55	123
14	Pittsford High School	Knights 2	73	62	135
15	St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 2	71	68	139
16	Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 1	69	73	142

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	2	1	1	4	1	9	Luke Tota '20 Brooks Turcotte '23
Fairport High School	Red Raiders 1	5	5	3	2	3	18	Adam Strobridge '22 Megan Thurley '21
Irondequoit High School	Eagles	1	3	12	1	2	19	Cooper Petzing '23 Nora Vandermeid '23
Pittsford High School	Knights 1	6	6	8	3	4	27	Olivia Callon '20 Sierra Bornheim '20
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 1	9	2	4	6	6	27	Braeden Bommarahau '21 Christopher Zawadzki '20
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 2	8	9	2	5	8	32	No Show No Show
Canisius High School	Crusaders	3	8	5	7	10	33	Sam Balanevsky '22 Gavin Sheehan '20
McQuaid High School	Knights	7	4	6	9	9	35	Brent Penwarden '20 Carey D'Andrea '19
Brighton High School	Bauins	4	7	13	10	7	41	Joe Seiffert '21 Hannah Broshears '22
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 3	11	10	7	16	5	49	No Show No Show
Mercy High School	Monarchs	10	12	9	8	13	52	Grace Colpoys '20 Bridget Taylor '20
Buffalo Seminary	Red-Tailed Hawks	12	11	10	12	12	57	Julia Beck '20 Madeline Love '19
Fairport High School	Red Raiders 2	13	14	14	13	14	68	Cameron Bernabei '21 Amy Frankovich '20
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 1	16	16	11	15	11	69	Sean Quigley '20 No Show
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 2	14	15	16	11	15	71	Nathan Jarosz '21 Colin Marcolini '22
Pittsford High School	Knights 2	15	13	15	14	16	73	Katie Glance '19 Peter Higgins '22

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	1	1	1	1	1	5	William Turner '20 Madi Overbeck '21
Pittsford High School	Knights 1	4	4	3	2	2	15	Lena Fine '21 Pierson Deloe '20
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 1	5	5	2	3	3	18	Mark Hofmeister '20 Garrett Grenauer '20
Irondequoit High School	Eagles	6	2	5	4	8	25	Genevieve Heiermann '23 Gabby Crawford '23
Buffalo Seminary	Red-Tailed Hawks	2	3	9	7	14	35	Grace Cannon '19 Olivia Tedesco '22
Mercy High School	Monarchs	8	6	6	9	7	36	Emily Davis '19 Ella Weber '22
Canisius High School	Crusaders	10	9	7	5	6	37	Rory Mcclenehan '20 Zachary Barney '21
Brighton High School	Bauins	3	12	12	8	5	40	Finn Mahan '22 Joshua Klein '20
McQuaid High School	Knights	11	7	8	10	11	47	Ben Talbot '20 Broderick Heleperi '20
Fairport High School	Red Raiders 1	13	15	10	6	4	48	Benjamin Hosford '21 Tori Mullaney '20
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 2	15	8	4	12	9	48	No Show No Show
Fairport High School	Red Raiders 2	7	11	11	13	13	55	Megan Thurley '21 Grace Hoffman '19
Pittsford High School	Knights 2	9	14	13	14	12	62	Marc Ransom '20 [1-5] Veronica Petti '21 [1-2] Rex Eidlin '23 [3-5]
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 2	12	10	15	16	15	68	Malte Schaaf '21 No Show
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 3	14	13	14	11	16	68	No Show No Show
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates 1	16	16	16	15	10	73	Nate Connors '20 No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Brighton High School Bauins	1	1	3	3	5
Buffalo Seminary Red-Tailed Hawks	2	2	4	4	6
Canisius High School Crusaders	3	3	5	5	7
Fairport High School Red Raiders 1	4	4	6	6	8
Fairport High School Red Raiders 2	5	5	7	7	9
Irondequoit High School Eagles	6	6	8	8	10
McQuaid High School Knights	7	7	9	9	11
Mercy High School Monarchs	8	8	10	10	12
Pittsford High School Knights 1	9	9	11	11	13
Pittsford High School Knights 2	10	10	12	12	14
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	11	11	13	13	15
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1	12	12	14	14	16
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2	13	13	15	15	1
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1	14	14	16	16	2
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2	15	15	1	1	3
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 3	16	16	2	2	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Brighton High School Bauins	2	2	4	4	6
Buffalo Seminary Red-Tailed Hawks	3	3	5	5	7
Canisius High School Crusaders	4	4	6	6	8
Fairport High School Red Raiders 1	5	5	7	7	9
Fairport High School Red Raiders 2	6	6	8	8	10
Irondequoit High School Eagles	7	7	9	9	11
McQuaid High School Knights	8	8	10	10	12
Mercy High School Monarchs	9	9	11	11	13
Pittsford High School Knights 1	10	10	12	12	14
Pittsford High School Knights 2	11	11	13	13	15
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	12	12	14	14	16
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1	13	13	15	15	1
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2	14	14	16	16	2
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1	15	15	1	1	3
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2	16	16	2	2	4
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 3	1	1	3	3	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Brighton High School	Joe Seiffert '21	Hannah Broshears '22
Bauins	Finn Mahan '22	Joshua Klein '20
Buffalo Seminary	Julia Beck '20	Madeline Love '19
Red-Tailed Hawks	Grace Cannon '19	Olivia Tedesco '22
Canisius High School	Sam Balanevsky '22	Gavin Sheehan '20
Crusaders	Rory Mcclenehan '20	Zachary Barney '21
Fairport High School	Adam Strobridge '22	Megan Thurley '21
Red Raiders 1	Benjamin Hosford '21	Tori Mullaney '20
Fairport High School	Cameron Bernabei '21	Amy Frankovich '20
Red Raiders 2	Megan Thurley '21	Grace Hoffman '19
Irondequoit High School	Cooper Petzing '23	Nora Vandermeid '23
Eagles	Genevieve Heiermann '23	Gabby Crawford '23
McQuaid High School	Brent Penwarden '20	Carey D'Andrea '19
Knights	Ben Talbot '20	Broderick Heleperi '20
Mercy High School	Grace Colpoys '20	Bridget Taylor '20
Monarchs	Emily Davis '19	Ella Weber '22
Pittsford High School	Olivia Callon '20	Sierra Bornheim '20
Knights 1	Lena Fine '21	Pierson Deloe '20
Pittsford High School	Katie Glance '19	Peter Higgins '22
Knights 2	Marc Ransom '20 [1-5]	Veronica Petti '21 [1-2] Rex Eidlin '23 [3-5]
Southwestern Central High School	Luke Tota '20	Brooks Turcotte '23
Trojans	William Turner '20	Madi Overbeck '21
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Braeden Bommarahau '21	Christopher Zawadzki '20
Marauders 1	Mark Hofmeister '20	Garrett Grenauer '20
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Nathan Jarosz '21	Colin Marcolini '22
Marauders 2	Malte Schaaf '21	No Show
Unregistered-MASSA	Sean Quigley '20	No Show
Pirates 1	Nate Connors '20	No Show
Unregistered-MASSA	No Show	No Show
Pirates 2	No Show	No Show
Unregistered-MASSA	No Show	No Show
Pirates 3	No Show	No Show

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NYISA-NW League Qualifier

Division A

Division B

From the notes