PCISA Gaucho Regatta - Silver

HostUnregistered - PCISA
Date03/09/2019
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	33	24	57
2		Acalanes High School	Dons	47	37	84
3		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 1	41	51	92
4		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	59	65	124
5		Coronado Islanders	Nado	37	93	130
6		Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	115	47	162
7		College Park High School	Falcons	73	97	170
8		New West Charter	Eagles	105	65	170
9	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon	126	44	170
10		Design Tech High School	d.tech	63	109	172
11		Santa Monica High School	Vikings	69	115	184
12		Redwood High School	Giants	121	64	185
13		South Torrance High School	Spartans	79	109	188
14		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	121	91	212
15		Stevenson School	Pirates	76	140	216
16		Campolindo High School	Cougars	76	153	229
17		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	152	90	242
18		Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	121	140	261
19		Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	137	135	272
20		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 2	148	143	291
21		Francis Parker School	Parker	180	129	309
22		Carmel High School	Padres	151 MRP	160 MRP	311 MRP
23		Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	176	169	345
24		Blue and Gold	Varsity	163	202 MRP	365 MRP

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	1	2	4	6	1	5	4	10	33	Maxwell Kleha '21 Teresa Dang '20
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	2	8	5	11	3	2	2	4	37	Charlie Clausen '19 Katelyn Roberts '20
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 1	3	3	1	DNS	2	1	3	3	41	Justin Zmina '19 Emily Collins '19
	Acalanes High School	Dons	7	9	7	1	9	4	9	1	47	Chase Englehart '22 Sophia Browne '20
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	16	5	8	5	6	3	7	9	59	Emma Figueredo '19 Francis Tarpey-Shwed '19
	Design Tech High School	d.tech	15	4	3	2	10	9	12	8	63	Timmy Gee '20 Tatem Gee '23
	Santa Monica High School	Vikings	11	15	9	7	7	8	6	6	69	Jack Zemke '21 Arielle Candaele '22
	College Park High School	Falcons	5	17	11	3	4	6	16	11	73	Zack Taylor '19 Jake Botting '22
	Campolindo High School	Cougars	6	6	14	8	18	11	8	5	76	Brendan Connelly '23 Morgan Giovinazzi '22
	Stevenson School	Pirates	9	20	16	13	5	10	1	2	76	Marko Zaninovich '19 [1-6] Gage Bradford '20 [7-8] Gage Bradford '20 [1-6] Marko Zaninovich '19 [7-8]
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	10	1	2	4	DNF	DNS	5	7	79	Emma Tallman '21 Juliet Gerwin '23
	New West Charter	Eagles	8	19	12	10	12	14	14	16	105	Isabelle Fisher '22 Dakota Bartley '22
	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	14	13	15	9	8	13	23	20	115	Kayla Maguire '21 Chase White '19
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	4	11	18	15	DNS	DNS	10	13	121	Ian Somerville '22 Aquinnah Todd '21
	Redwood High School	Giants	13	10	DNF	14	13	7	18	21	121	Bodhi "Bo" Tippo '21 [1-8] Alexa Karman '21 [1-2] Morgan Moseley '22 [3-4] Paddy O'Connor '22 [5-8]
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	23	22	6	12	11	15	17	15	121	Catalina Brody '24 Oliver '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon	12	16	17	20	15	17	15	14	126	Diego Lockyer '21 Tyler Hoang '21
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	18	14	13	17	DNS	DNS	13	12	137	Katherine Shofran '19 Mike Schugar '19
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 2	20	12	19	19	16	16	22	24	148	Kyla Mclay '21 Ian Thompsen '22
	Carmel High School	Padres	19	7	10	16	DNS	DNS	11	18	151 MRP	No Show No Show
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	17	24	21	18	14	12	24	22	152	Alex Day '20 Alexita Velasco '19
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	22	21	20	21	17	18	21	23	163	Elijah Smith '21 Taye Reiss '23
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	21	18	23	DNS	DNS	DNS	20	19	176	Rj Pollock '22 Cory Cumpson '22
	Francis Parker School	Parker	24	23	22	DNS	DNS	DNS	19	17	180	Caeden Mujahed '21 Aidi Miglani '20

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	2	3	1	1	4	4	2	7	24	Peter Sangmeister '21 [1-8] Sophia Mulvania '22 [1-4, 7-8] Gretchen Hohenstein '20 [5-6]
	Acalanes High School	Dons	11	6	2	2	6	5	3	2	37	Ben Foox '23 Lia Reilly '21
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon	5	5	11	15	5	1	1	1	44	Nikhil Stewart '21 [1-2, 5-8] Troy Davidson '20 [3-4] Elissa Martinez '19 [1-2, 5-8]
	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	3	1	10	3	3	3	10	14	47	Tristan Feves '22 Isaac Sweeny '22
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 1	1	7	4	10	2	2	21	4	51	Chris Salas '22 Sydney Baker '22
	Redwood High School	Giants	7	4	14	12	12	7	5	3	64	Hannah Sellers '22 [1-8] Katherine Norris '22 [1-2] Alexa Karman '21 [3-4] Morgan Moseley '22 [5-8]
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	4	11	3	6	9	11	9	12	65	Griffin Chen '19 Kendall Scanlan '21
	New West Charter	Eagles	8	10	6	13	1	6	16	5	65	Matei Meglic '22 Lucas Devega '22
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	10	9	12	5	22	19	4	9	90	Bryson Dort '19 Campbell Biemiller '20
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	9	2	9	9	13	12	15	22	91	Alyssa Barkus '21 Lily Hock '20
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	6	19	7	8	24	15	6	8	93	Mercy Tangredi '21 Gideon Goodmanson '20
	College Park High School	Falcons	18	16	8	14	8	13	7	13	97	Jack Holden '22 Chase Latson '19
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	16	13	5	4	18	16	19	18	109	James Sawyer '21 Kieran Lyons '22
	Design Tech High School	d.tech	19	14	17	11	17	8	8	15	109	Joss Ettrick '21 David Jelniker '21
	Santa Monica High School	Vikings	12	8	15	7	15	21	14	23	115	Casper Jensen '20 Felix Mardesich '22
	Francis Parker School	Parker	17	15	DNS	DNS	7	9	20	11	129	Alena Callahan '22 Katherine Crosby '20
	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	20	22	18	DNS	14	17	13	6	135	Ku Yoshitomi '19 Arda Hoka '23
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	15	21	16	16	21	23	11	17	140	Wills Stratton '25 Katelyn Chang '27
	Stevenson School	Pirates	22	18	13	DNS	10	10	18	24	140	Ryan Marquess '22 Adam Lee '20
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 2	24	17	19	18	11	18	17	19	143	Molly Mcleod '21 Aidan O'Donnell '22
	Campolindo High School	Cougars	21	12	DNS	17	16	22	24	16	153	Ronald Hohnsbeen '21 Haley Rasilla '22
	Carmel High School	Padres	14	RAF	20	DNS	20	14	12	10	160 MRP	No Show No Show
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	13	20	DNF	DNS	19	24	23	20	169	Dylan Dean '22 Patrick Henry '22
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	23	23	DNS	DNS	23	20	22	21	202 MRP	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.170+0.17

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
	Acalanes High School Dons	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37
	Campolindo High School Cougars	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
	Carmel High School Padres	34	34	32	32	54	54	52	52
	College Park High School Falcons	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
	Coronado Islanders Nado	36	36	34	34	32	32	54	54
	Design Tech High School d.tech	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43
	Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	38	38	36	36	34	34	32	32
	Francis Parker School Parker	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
	Blue and Gold Varsity	32	32	54	54	52	52	50	50
	Mater Dei High School Monarchs	40	40	38	38	36	36	34	34
	New West Charter Eagles	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	42	42	40	40	38	38	36	36
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2	44	44	42	42	40	40	38	38
	Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	46	46	44	44	42	42	40	40
	Redwood High School Giants	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
	Santa Monica High School Vikings	48	48	46	46	44	44	42	42
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45
	South Torrance High School Spartans	49	49	51	51	53	53	31	31
	Stevenson School Pirates	50	50	48	48	46	46	44	44
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	51	51	53	53	31	31	33	33
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	52	52	50	50	48	48	46	46
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	53	53	31	31	33	33	35	35
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	54	54	52	52	50	50	48	48

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
	Acalanes High School Dons	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38
	Campolindo High School Cougars	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
	Carmel High School Padres	33	33	31	31	53	53	51	51
	College Park High School Falcons	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
	Coronado Islanders Nado	35	35	33	33	31	31	53	53
	Design Tech High School d.tech	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44
	Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	37	37	35	35	33	33	31	31
	Francis Parker School Parker	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
	Blue and Gold Varsity	31	31	53	53	51	51	49	49
	Mater Dei High School Monarchs	39	39	37	37	35	35	33	33
	New West Charter Eagles	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	41	41	39	39	37	37	35	35
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2	43	43	41	41	39	39	37	37
	Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	45	45	43	43	41	41	39	39
	Redwood High School Giants	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
	Santa Monica High School Vikings	47	47	45	45	43	43	41	41
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
	South Torrance High School Spartans	50	50	52	52	54	54	32	32
	Stevenson School Pirates	49	49	47	47	45	45	43	43
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	52	52	54	54	32	32	34	34
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	51	51	49	49	47	47	45	45
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	54	54	32	32	34	34	36	36
	Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	53	53	51	51	49	49	47	47

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Acalanes High School	Chase Englehart '22	Sophia Browne '20
	Dons	Ben Foox '23	Lia Reilly '21
	Blue and Gold	Elijah Smith '21	Taye Reiss '23
	Varsity	No Show	No Show
	Campolindo High School	Brendan Connelly '23	Morgan Giovinazzi '22
	Cougars	Ronald Hohnsbeen '21	Haley Rasilla '22
	Carmel High School	No Show	No Show
	Padres	No Show	No Show
	College Park High School	Zack Taylor '19	Jake Botting '22
	Falcons	Jack Holden '22	Chase Latson '19
	Coronado Islanders	Charlie Clausen '19	Katelyn Roberts '20
	Nado	Mercy Tangredi '21	Gideon Goodmanson '20
	Design Tech High School	Timmy Gee '20	Tatem Gee '23
	d.tech	Joss Ettrick '21	David Jelniker '21
	Ernest J. McBride	Kayla Maguire '21	Chase White '19
	Wolfpack	Tristan Feves '22	Isaac Sweeny '22
	Francis Parker School	Caeden Mujahed '21	Aidi Miglani '20
	Parker	Alena Callahan '22	Katherine Crosby '20
	Mater Dei High School	Maxwell Kleha '21	Teresa Dang '20
	Monarchs	Peter Sangmeister '21 [1-8]	Sophia Mulvania '22 [1-4, 7-8] Gretchen Hohenstein '20 [5-6]
	New West Charter	Isabelle Fisher '22	Dakota Bartley '22
	Eagles	Matei Meglic '22	Lucas Devega '22
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Catalina Brody '24	Oliver '27
	Pacific Palisades Ch	Wills Stratton '25	Katelyn Chang '27
	Palos Verdes High School	Justin Zmina '19	Emily Collins '19
	Sea Kings 1	Chris Salas '22	Sydney Baker '22
	Palos Verdes High School	Kyla Mclay '21	Ian Thompsen '22
	Sea Kings 2	Molly Mcleod '21	Aidan O'Donnell '22
	Redondo Union High School	Rj Pollock '22	Cory Cumpson '22
	Sea Hawks	Dylan Dean '22	Patrick Henry '22
	Redwood High School	Bodhi "Bo" Tippo '21 [1-8]	Alexa Karman '21 [1-2] Morgan Moseley '22 [3-4] Paddy O'Connor '22 [5-8]
	Giants	Hannah Sellers '22 [1-8]	Katherine Norris '22 [1-2] Alexa Karman '21 [3-4] Morgan Moseley '22 [5-8]
	Santa Monica High School	Jack Zemke '21	Arielle Candaele '22
	Vikings	Casper Jensen '20	Felix Mardesich '22
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Diego Lockyer '21	Tyler Hoang '21
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Ryūj Dragon	Nikhil Stewart '21 [1-2, 5-8] Troy Davidson '20 [3-4]	Elissa Martinez '19 [1-2, 5-8]
	South Torrance High School	Emma Tallman '21	Juliet Gerwin '23
	Spartans	James Sawyer '21	Kieran Lyons '22
	Stevenson School	Marko Zaninovich '19 [1-6] Gage Bradford '20 [7-8]	Gage Bradford '20 [1-6] Marko Zaninovich '19 [7-8]
	Pirates	Ryan Marquess '22	Adam Lee '20
	Tamalpais High School	Emma Figueredo '19	Francis Tarpey-Shwed '19
	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Griffin Chen '19	Kendall Scanlan '21
	Tamalpais High School	Ian Somerville '22	Aquinnah Todd '21
	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Alyssa Barkus '21	Lily Hock '20
	Torrey Pines High School	Alex Day '20	Alexita Velasco '19
	Falcons 1	Bryson Dort '19	Campbell Biemiller '20
	Torrey Pines High School	Katherine Shofran '19	Mike Schugar '19
	Falcons 2	Ku Yoshitomi '19	Arda Hoka '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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PCISA Gaucho Regatta - Silver

Division A

Division B

From the notes