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NJISA Raritan Tuesday Series 3-11-19

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 5 5
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 10 10
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 12 12
4 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 12 12
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 15 15
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 18 18
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 21 21
8 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 22 22
9 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 23 23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 2 2 1 5 Sophie Lusty '20
Jack Quinn '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 5 3 2 10 Patrick Murray '19
Michael Ahern '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 1 1 DNS 12 Sean Groskoph '20
Malcolm Harrison '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 3 5 4 12 Luke Duplessis '20
Henry Gallagher '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 6 6 3 15 Evan Hybl '19
Luke Browne '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 4 4 DNS 18 Hannah Mercurio '20
Mia Chmelar '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 7 9 5 21 Carson Lubrano '20
Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 8 7 7 22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 9 8 6 23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 1444
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 2151515
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 3181818
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 4191919
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1999
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 2101010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 3111111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 4131313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 5141414

Conditions — 03/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

38°F
↑ 41°F   ↓ 31°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From NW (322°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover44% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1023.3 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: NW about 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →