SAISA South Points #4 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 14 12 26
2 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 13 16 29
3 JV JV JV 18 15 33
4 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 24 12 36
5 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 35 49
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 25 28 53
7 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 37 30 67
8 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 35 32 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 1 3 2 5 13 Frederick Debiase '20 [1-5]
Griffin Barron '21 [1-2, 5]
Dina Coletti '20 [3-4]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 1 2 4 3 4 14 Jacob Wolfe '21
Gabriel Vianna '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 5 4 1 1 3 14 Kenan Walsh '20 [1-2, 5]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3-4]
Siena Pollis '22 [1-2, 5]
Stevan Weiss '22 [3-4]
JV JV JV 3 3 2 4 6 18
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 4 5 5 8 2 24 Liz Cloninger '22
Raquel Shulman '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 6 6 7 5 1 25 Isa Duplessis '20
Sophia St. Romain '22
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 8 7 6 6 8 35 Jordan Hoffman '21 [1-2, 5]
Palmer Lykes '21 [3-4]
Bruce Jagid '20 [1-2, 5]
Ashlyn Cowgill '19 [3-4]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 7 8 8 7 7 37 Giovanna Garcia '22
Lucas Garcia '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 3 2 1 3 3 12 Liam De Araujo '21
Felipe Clavijo '21
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 4 1 4 2 1 12 Luke Weisberg '19
Alexander Checetto '21
JV JV JV 1 6 2 1 5 15
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 3 3 4 4 16 Coby Flannery '21
Alexandra Horton '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 6 4 7 5 6 28 Michael Morley '22 [1-5]
Ivan Levkovsky '20 [1-2, 5]
Kelly Coyne '22 [3-4]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 7 5 8 8 2 30 Madeline Bramson '22
Mark Liberman '22
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 5 7 6 6 8 32 David Dubovy '22 [1-2, 5]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [3-4]
Tabias Kaczka '22 [1-2, 5]
Gwen Howland '19 [3-4]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 8 8 5 7 7 35 Yazmeen Simpson '19
Ryan Ince '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders4545454545
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons4343434343
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves4646464646
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 14040404040
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 24141414141
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders4444444444
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS4242424242
JVJV JV4747474747

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders4545454545
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons4343434343
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves4646464646
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 14040404040
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 24141414141
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders4444444444
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS4242424242
JVJV JV4747474747
School / Team SkipperCrew
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Giovanna Garcia '22 Lucas Garcia '20
Raiders Madeline Bramson '22 Mark Liberman '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Frederick Debiase '20 [1-5] Griffin Barron '21 [1-2, 5]
Dina Coletti '20 [3-4]
Falcons Coby Flannery '21 Alexandra Horton '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Liz Cloninger '22 Raquel Shulman '22
ThunderWolves Luke Weisberg '19 Alexander Checetto '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Jordan Hoffman '21 [1-2, 5]
Palmer Lykes '21 [3-4]
Bruce Jagid '20 [1-2, 5]
Ashlyn Cowgill '19 [3-4]
Raiders 1 David Dubovy '22 [1-2, 5]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [3-4]
Tabias Kaczka '22 [1-2, 5]
Gwen Howland '19 [3-4]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Jacob Wolfe '21 Gabriel Vianna '21
Raiders 2 Liam De Araujo '21 Felipe Clavijo '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School Kenan Walsh '20 [1-2, 5]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3-4]
Siena Pollis '22 [1-2, 5]
Stevan Weiss '22 [3-4]
SF BULLDOGS Yazmeen Simpson '19 Ryan Ince '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Isa Duplessis '20 Sophia St. Romain '22
Raiders Michael Morley '22 [1-5] Ivan Levkovsky '20 [1-2, 5]
Kelly Coyne '22 [3-4]

Conditions — 01/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1017.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →