Sharon Invitational

HostSharon
Date04/07/2019
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	17	29	46
2	Dover Sherborn RHS	Varsity	17	74	91
3	Newton Country Day School	Falcons	28	66	94
4	Sharon High School	Varsity	56	42	98
5	Cambridge R&L School	Falcons	56	47	103
6	Winchester High School	Sachems	62	42	104
7	St. Johns Prep	Eagles	55	56	111
8	Sharon High School	Eagles	68	56	124
9	Hingham High School	Hingham	89	41	130
10	Duxbury High School	Dragons	79	53	132
11	Boston Latin School	Wolfpack	59	77	136
12	Wayland High School	Warriors	88	68	156
13	Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors	84	79	163
14	Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket 1	92	72	164
15	Dover Sherborn RHS	Radiers	75	93	168
16	Needham High School	Rockets	72	129	201
17	Wellesley High School	Raiders	107	113	220
18	Natick High School	Redhawks	107	115	222
19	Unregistered-NESSA	NDA/Norwell	135	101	236
20	Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket 2	131	118	249

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Dover Sherborn RHS	Varsity	1	3	3	2	3	2	3	17	Eli Gleason '20 Hannah Fay '20
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	8	1	1	1	1	1	4	17	Hannah Freeman '22 Lena Brzezinski '19
Newton Country Day School	Falcons	2	6	5	7	2	4	2	28	Katelyn Mcgauley '20 Jamie Page '19
St. Johns Prep	Eagles	7	13	9	6	5	8	7	55	Will Davis '19 [1-2, 5-6] Wilson Kaznoski '20 [3-4, 7] Enrique Ruiz '22 [1-2, 5-6] Evan Symes '19 [3-4, 7]
Sharon High School	Varsity	10	4	11	8	8	5	10	56	Miguel Vonfedak '19 Ishaan Shah '19
Cambridge R&L School	Falcons	12	5	2	3	11	10	13	56	Max Katz-Christy '23 [1-7] Julia Rasmussen '23 [1-4] Sylvia Fresco '23 [5-7]
Boston Latin School	Wolfpack	9	11	4	16	7	3	9	59	Adam Grant '22 [1-2, 5-6] Johny Sargent '22 [3-4, 7] Meghan Mcgonagle '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Winchester High School	Sachems	17	7	10	5	13	9	1	62	Lukas Hoertdoerfer '20 [1-4, 7] Megan Yorsz '20 [5-6] Olivia Wiatrowski '20 [1-2] Sara Morrison '20 [3-4, 7] Abby Stewart '22 [5-6]
Sharon High School	Eagles	11	2	6	17	15	6	11	68	Eddie Bielawa '20 [1-2, 5-6] Briana Chen '20 [3-4, 7] Libby Groulx '21 [1-2, 5-6] Tyler Vanhelene '19 [3-4, 7]
Needham High School	Rockets	5	9	8	15	4	16	15	72	Parker Fiset '25 [1-2] Ari Hayete '27 [3-4] Emily Flanagan '25 [5-7] Ari Hayete '27 [1-2] Parker Fiset '25 [3-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Radiers	3	16	15	4	12	17	8	75	Jack Green '20 Andrew Fiore '20
Duxbury High School	Dragons	14	12	14	12	6	7	14	79	Caroline Williams '19 [1-4] Julia Phipps '20 [5-7] Corinne Lee '19 [1-4] Noah Handfeild '20 [5-7]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors	13	8	18	11	17	11	6	84	Daniel Guzi '19 [1-4] Tucker Reinhard '22 [5-7] Emma Guzi '19 [1-4] Sdyney Blair '20 [5-7]
Wayland High School	Warriors	6	10	7	13	OCS	13	18	88	Walker Whitehouse '22 [1-2, 5-6] Connor Rader '22 [3-4, 7] Max Lewenberg '22 [1-2] Ava Korzenlowski '22 [3-4] Eric Cahaly '22 [5-6] Stepan Barantsev '22 [7]
Hingham High School	Hingham	15	14	12	9	10	12	17	89	Jessica Scipione '27 [1-2] Ethan Burt '22 [3-4] Casey Teahan '28 [5-6] Sam Bennion '22 [7] Sam Bennion '22 [1-2] Nora Synnott '27 [3-4] Gabe Synnott '24 [5-6] Sara Menesale '24 [7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket 1	18	15	17	14	9	14	5	92	Abigail Thress '19 Adam Murphy '17
Wellesley High School	Raiders	4	OCS	16	18	14	15	19	107	Veronica Smith '20 [1-2, 5-6] Eliza Hill '22 [3-4, 7] Ella Kilgore '21 [1-2] Lauren Kanter '20 [3-4] Emma Bargende '20 [5-6] Korina Mcmillan '22 [7]
Natick High School	Redhawks	16	17	13	10	19	20	12	107	Devon Hartigan '19 [1-4, 7] Nick Belev '22 [5-6] Oliver Page '22 [1-2] Connor Spurling '19 [3-4] Melina Troccolo '19 [5-6] Katie Dimmick '22 [7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket 2	20	OCS	19	19	18	18	16	131	Andrew Williams '18 Ava Butler '19
Unregistered-NESSA	NDA/Norwell	19	OCS	20	20	16	19	20	135	No Name '15 No Name '15

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	2	16	1	2	1	5	2	29	Luke Quine '19 Rowan Schanley '22
Hingham High School	Hingham	1	1	10	8	12	3	6	41	Ethan Burt '22 [1-2, 5-7] Sam Bennion '22 [3-4] Ellie Smith '24 [1-2, 5-7] Carter Driggs '28 [3-4]
Sharon High School	Varsity	3	13	2	4	6	6	8	42	Christopher Anchan '19 Jason Yang '20
Winchester High School	Sachems	7	3	4	1	14	2	11	42	Jackson Morrissey '20 [1-4, 7] Jacob Hoertdoerfer '22 [5-6] Luke Ulicny '22 [1-2] Greta Senzig '22 [3-4] Lucas Cafferky '20 [5-6] Emily Girotti '22 [7]
Cambridge R&L School	Falcons	9	9	5	5	3	7	9	47	Thomas Craciun '23 [1-7] Marshall Rhodes '23 [1-4] Jasper Sieniewicz '23 [5-7]
Duxbury High School	Dragons	5	14	6	10	4	11	3	53	Griffen Horne '19 [1-7] Elizabeth Linsdell '20 [1-6] Caroline Williams '19 [7]
St. Johns Prep	Eagles	6	7	13	3	11	15	1	56	Jasper Westhoven '19 [1-2, 5-6] George Lockwood '20 [3-4, 7] Jack Brown '19 [1-2, 5-6] Luke Plecinoga '21 [3-4, 7]
Sharon High School	Eagles	12	11	7	13	7	1	5	56	Aiyan Jiang '21 [1-2, 5-6] Janelle Li '21 [3-4, 7] Johan Cho '21 [1-2, 5-6] Fiona Wu '21 [3-4, 7]
Newton Country Day School	Falcons	10	6	15	9	5	14	7	66	Jane Mathews '22 [1-7] Kaitlyn Bradshaw '19 [1-4] Annie Depriest '22 [5-7]
Wayland High School	Warriors	4	2	17	19	9	4	13	68	Keenan Schilp '22 [1-2, 5-7] Abby Obar '22 [3-4] Wil Obar '22 [1-2, 5-6] Calvin Neprud '22 [3-4, 7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket 1	15	15	3	7	2	13	17	72	Aidan Weymouth '23 Alexander Arnold '18
Dover Sherborn RHS	Varsity	13	8	14	12	8	9	10	74	Coleman Doherty '20 Sierra Devine '22
Boston Latin School	Wolfpack	8	5	8	15	13	8	20	77	Nathan Power '22 [1-2, 5-6] Dominic Orlando '22 [3-4, 7] Maia Mcgonagle '22 [1-6] Nathan Power '22 [7]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Warriors	11	10	18	16	10	10	4	79	Sarah Alix '19 [1-4] Kelly Durning '20 [5-7] Julia Ting '20 [1-4] Ryan Heindel '19 [5-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Radiers	14	4	9	17	DSQ	12	16	93	Brooks Jordan '20 Julia Mangeym '20
Unregistered-NESSA	NDA/Norwell	18	17	11	6	17	17	15	101	No Name '15 No Name '15
Wellesley High School	Raiders	17	12	20	11	16	19	18	113	Jordan Feinzig '22 [1-2, 7] Will Hynes '22 [3-4] Casey Surratt '20 [5-6] Monica Duan '21 [1-2] Lauren Kim '21 [3-4] Eric Thompson '20 [5-6] Korina Mcmillan '22 [7]
Natick High School	Redhawks	16	19	12	18	15	16	19	115	Katie Blinn '19 [1-2, 5-6] Maeve Clifford '19 [3-4, 7] Lilian Briggs '19 [1-2] Drew Lawrence '22 [3-4] Owen Clifford '22 [5-6] Katie Dimmick '21 [7]
Unregistered-NESSA	Nantasket 2	20	20	16	14	18	18	12	118	Andy Bird '18 Andy Karalekas '19
Needham High School	Rockets	19	18	19	20	19	20	14	129	Alena Liu '25 Andrew Huang '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Boston Latin School Wolfpack	1	1			13	13	5
Cambridge R&L School Falcons	2	2	3	3	4	4
Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers	3	3	4	4			14
Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity	13	13	5	5	6	6	7
Duxbury High School Dragons	4	4			14	14	8
Hingham High School Hingham	5	5	6	6	7	7
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors			14	14	8	8	9
Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets	6	6	7	7			15
Natick High School Redhawks	14	14	8	8	9	9	10
Needham High School Rockets	7	7			15	15	11
Newton Country Day School Falcons	8	8	9	9	10	10
Sharon High School Eagles			15	15	11	11	12
Sharon High School Varsity	9	9	10	10			16
St. Johns Prep Eagles	15	15	11	11	12	12	1
Unregistered-NESSA NDA/Norwell	11	11	12	12	1	1
Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 1			13	13	5	5	6
Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 2	10	10			16	16	2
Wayland High School Warriors			16	16	2	2	3
Wellesley High School Raiders	12	12	1	1			13
Winchester High School Sachems	16	16	2	2	3	3	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Boston Latin School Wolfpack	2	2	3	3	4	4
Cambridge R&L School Falcons			13	13	5	5	6
Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers	13	13	5	5	6	6	7
Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity	4	4			14	14	8
Duxbury High School Dragons	5	5	6	6	7	7
Hingham High School Hingham			14	14	8	8	9
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors	6	6	7	7			15
Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets	14	14	8	8	9	9	10
Natick High School Redhawks	7	7			15	15	11
Needham High School Rockets	8	8	9	9	10	10
Newton Country Day School Falcons			15	15	11	11	12
Sharon High School Eagles	9	9	10	10			16
Sharon High School Varsity	15	15	11	11	12	12	1
St. Johns Prep Eagles	10	10			16	16	2
Unregistered-NESSA NDA/Norwell			16	16	2	2	3
Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 1	3	3	4	4			14
Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 2	11	11	12	12	1	1
Wayland High School Warriors	12	12	1	1			13
Wellesley High School Raiders	16	16	2	2	3	3	4
Winchester High School Sachems	1	1			13	13	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston Latin School	Adam Grant '22 [1-2, 5-6] Johny Sargent '22 [3-4, 7]	Meghan Mcgonagle '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Wolfpack	Nathan Power '22 [1-2, 5-6] Dominic Orlando '22 [3-4, 7]	Maia Mcgonagle '22 [1-6] Nathan Power '22 [7]
Cambridge R&L School	Max Katz-Christy '23 [1-7]	Julia Rasmussen '23 [1-4] Sylvia Fresco '23 [5-7]
Falcons	Thomas Craciun '23 [1-7]	Marshall Rhodes '23 [1-4] Jasper Sieniewicz '23 [5-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS	Jack Green '20	Andrew Fiore '20
Radiers	Brooks Jordan '20	Julia Mangeym '20
Dover Sherborn RHS	Eli Gleason '20	Hannah Fay '20
Varsity	Coleman Doherty '20	Sierra Devine '22
Duxbury High School	Caroline Williams '19 [1-4] Julia Phipps '20 [5-7]	Corinne Lee '19 [1-4] Noah Handfeild '20 [5-7]
Dragons	Griffen Horne '19 [1-7]	Elizabeth Linsdell '20 [1-6] Caroline Williams '19 [7]
Hingham High School	Jessica Scipione '27 [1-2] Ethan Burt '22 [3-4] Casey Teahan '28 [5-6] Sam Bennion '22 [7]	Sam Bennion '22 [1-2] Nora Synnott '27 [3-4] Gabe Synnott '24 [5-6] Sara Menesale '24 [7]
Hingham	Ethan Burt '22 [1-2, 5-7] Sam Bennion '22 [3-4]	Ellie Smith '24 [1-2, 5-7] Carter Driggs '28 [3-4]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS	Daniel Guzi '19 [1-4] Tucker Reinhard '22 [5-7]	Emma Guzi '19 [1-4] Sdyney Blair '20 [5-7]
Warriors	Sarah Alix '19 [1-4] Kelly Durning '20 [5-7]	Julia Ting '20 [1-4] Ryan Heindel '19 [5-7]
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hannah Freeman '22	Lena Brzezinski '19
Hornets	Luke Quine '19	Rowan Schanley '22
Natick High School	Devon Hartigan '19 [1-4, 7] Nick Belev '22 [5-6]	Oliver Page '22 [1-2] Connor Spurling '19 [3-4] Melina Troccolo '19 [5-6] Katie Dimmick '22 [7]
Redhawks	Katie Blinn '19 [1-2, 5-6] Maeve Clifford '19 [3-4, 7]	Lilian Briggs '19 [1-2] Drew Lawrence '22 [3-4] Owen Clifford '22 [5-6] Katie Dimmick '21 [7]
Needham High School	Parker Fiset '25 [1-2] Ari Hayete '27 [3-4] Emily Flanagan '25 [5-7]	Ari Hayete '27 [1-2] Parker Fiset '25 [3-7]
Rockets	Alena Liu '25	Andrew Huang '27
Newton Country Day School	Katelyn Mcgauley '20	Jamie Page '19
Falcons	Jane Mathews '22 [1-7]	Kaitlyn Bradshaw '19 [1-4] Annie Depriest '22 [5-7]
Sharon High School	Eddie Bielawa '20 [1-2, 5-6] Briana Chen '20 [3-4, 7]	Libby Groulx '21 [1-2, 5-6] Tyler Vanhelene '19 [3-4, 7]
Eagles	Aiyan Jiang '21 [1-2, 5-6] Janelle Li '21 [3-4, 7]	Johan Cho '21 [1-2, 5-6] Fiona Wu '21 [3-4, 7]
Sharon High School	Miguel Vonfedak '19	Ishaan Shah '19
Varsity	Christopher Anchan '19	Jason Yang '20
St. Johns Prep	Will Davis '19 [1-2, 5-6] Wilson Kaznoski '20 [3-4, 7]	Enrique Ruiz '22 [1-2, 5-6] Evan Symes '19 [3-4, 7]
Eagles	Jasper Westhoven '19 [1-2, 5-6] George Lockwood '20 [3-4, 7]	Jack Brown '19 [1-2, 5-6] Luke Plecinoga '21 [3-4, 7]
Unregistered-NESSA	No Name '15	No Name '15
NDA/Norwell	No Name '15	No Name '15
Unregistered-NESSA	Abigail Thress '19	Adam Murphy '17
Nantasket 1	Aidan Weymouth '23	Alexander Arnold '18
Unregistered-NESSA	Andrew Williams '18	Ava Butler '19
Nantasket 2	Andy Bird '18	Andy Karalekas '19
Wayland High School	Walker Whitehouse '22 [1-2, 5-6] Connor Rader '22 [3-4, 7]	Max Lewenberg '22 [1-2] Ava Korzenlowski '22 [3-4] Eric Cahaly '22 [5-6] Stepan Barantsev '22 [7]
Warriors	Keenan Schilp '22 [1-2, 5-7] Abby Obar '22 [3-4]	Wil Obar '22 [1-2, 5-6] Calvin Neprud '22 [3-4, 7]
Wellesley High School	Veronica Smith '20 [1-2, 5-6] Eliza Hill '22 [3-4, 7]	Ella Kilgore '21 [1-2] Lauren Kanter '20 [3-4] Emma Bargende '20 [5-6] Korina Mcmillan '22 [7]
Raiders	Jordan Feinzig '22 [1-2, 7] Will Hynes '22 [3-4] Casey Surratt '20 [5-6]	Monica Duan '21 [1-2] Lauren Kim '21 [3-4] Eric Thompson '20 [5-6] Korina Mcmillan '22 [7]
Winchester High School	Lukas Hoertdoerfer '20 [1-4, 7] Megan Yorsz '20 [5-6]	Olivia Wiatrowski '20 [1-2] Sara Morrison '20 [3-4, 7] Abby Stewart '22 [5-6]
Sachems	Jackson Morrissey '20 [1-4, 7] Jacob Hoertdoerfer '22 [5-6]	Luke Ulicny '22 [1-2] Greta Senzig '22 [3-4] Lucas Cafferky '20 [5-6] Emily Girotti '22 [7]

Conditions — 04/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 54% · Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

58°F

↑ 66°F ↓ 45°F

Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

5.7 kn

avg · max 7.4 kn

Gusts to 19.6 kn

From SSW (198°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1022.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Sharon: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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