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South Points 5 JV

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Chargers Chargers Chargers 29 29
2 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 1 33 33
3 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 46 46
4 Green Devils Green Devils Green Devils 52 52
5 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 53 53
6 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 67 67
7 Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Varsity 73 73
8 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 75 75
9 Varsity Varsity Varsity 77 77
10 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 82 82
11 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 85 85
12 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 88 88
13 Sailors Sailors Sailors 90 90
14 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 2 118 118
15 Varsity Varsity Varsity 148 148
16 Raiders Raiders Raiders 152 152
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Chargers Chargers Chargers 7 2 6 1 2 3 3 1 4 29
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 1 13 1 1 8 1 2 1 5 1 33 Zachary Syska '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Bo Dwyer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Alexandra Dorofeev '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Morgan Gahan '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 1 3 3 6 9 10 9 2 3 46 Mark Brunsvold '19
Kay Brumsvold '21
Green Devils Green Devils Green Devils 2 13 2 4 3 4 4 8 12 52
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 9 7 4 2 7 8 7 7 2 53 Liz Cloninger '22 [1-9]
Raquel Shulman '22 [1-8]
Ronia Clarence '21 [9]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 5 8 7 7 5 6 2 14 13 67 Jack Parker '19 [1-9]
Niah Ford '22 [1-3, 6-7]
Caitlyn Pagano '22 [4-5, 8-9]
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Varsity 15 5 12 13 4 5 8 6 5 73 Patrick Igoe '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Jaedyn Procacci '20 [3-4]
Jaedyn Procacci '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Patrick Igoe '22 [3-4]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 12 13 3 12 13 10 3 6 75 Jacob Wolfe '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Lucas Vianna '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Gabriel Vianna '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ashlyn Cowgill '19 [3-4]
Felipe Clavijo '21 [7-8]
Gwen Howland '19 [9]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 6 4 10 12 6 7 11 11 10 77
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 9 8 11 8 9 5 13 8 82 Kenan Walsh '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Stevan Weiss '22 [3-4]
Siena Pollis '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Ryan Ince '21 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 6 11 5 DNF 1 DNF 9 9 85 Garrett Brooks '22
Noelle Dennis '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 8 11 9 9 DNF DNF 6 4 7 88 Frederick Debiase '20 [1-2]
Coby Flannery '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Cole Degner '21 [5-6]
Griffin Barron '21 [1-2]
Alexandra Horton '20 [3-4, 7-9]
Sara Lemba '21 [5-6]
Sailors Sailors Sailors 4 10 5 10 11 12 DNF 10 11 90
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 2 12 14 14 14 10 11 DNF 12 14 118 Derek Jones '21 [1-2]
Charlie Suroski '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Tucker Lowe '22 [5-6, 9]
Tucker Lowe '22 [1-2]
James Pacuicrk '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Derek Jones '21 [5-6, 9]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 14 DNF DNF 15 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 148
Raiders Raiders Raiders DNF DNF DNF 16 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 152
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
VarsityVarsity Varsity131313131313131313
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity888888888
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave 1333333333
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave 2666666666
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School Varsity118118118118118118118118118
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons444444444
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves777777777
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers726672667266726672667266726672667266
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity161616161616161616
SailorsSailors Sailors151515151515151515
ChargersChargers Chargers420542054205420542054205420542054205
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS111111111
VarsityVarsity Varsity666666666666666666
Green DevilsGreen Devils Green Devils444444444444444444
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity Jack Parker '19 [1-9] Niah Ford '22 [1-3, 6-7]
Caitlyn Pagano '22 [4-5, 8-9]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 1 Zachary Syska '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Bo Dwyer '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Alexandra Dorofeev '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Morgan Gahan '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 2 Derek Jones '21 [1-2]
Charlie Suroski '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Tucker Lowe '22 [5-6, 9]		 Tucker Lowe '22 [1-2]
James Pacuicrk '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Derek Jones '21 [5-6, 9]
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Varsity Patrick Igoe '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Jaedyn Procacci '20 [3-4]		 Jaedyn Procacci '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Patrick Igoe '22 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers Garrett Brooks '22 Noelle Dennis '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons Frederick Debiase '20 [1-2]
Coby Flannery '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Cole Degner '21 [5-6]		 Griffin Barron '21 [1-2]
Alexandra Horton '20 [3-4, 7-9]
Sara Lemba '21 [5-6]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves Liz Cloninger '22 [1-9] Raquel Shulman '22 [1-8]
Ronia Clarence '21 [9]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders Jacob Wolfe '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Lucas Vianna '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Gabriel Vianna '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ashlyn Cowgill '19 [3-4]
Felipe Clavijo '21 [7-8]
Gwen Howland '19 [9]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity Mark Brunsvold '19 Kay Brumsvold '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS Kenan Walsh '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Stevan Weiss '22 [3-4]		 Siena Pollis '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Ryan Ince '21 [3-4]

Conditions — 01/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From NNE (21°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1022.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Osceola Fundamental/Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−1.16 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Osceola Fundamental/Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Osceola Fundamental/Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →