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Nor Cal 5 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 8 8
2 Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 10 10
3 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 17 17
4 Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 17 17
5 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 18 18
6 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 29 29
7 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 34 34
8 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 36 36
9 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 39 39
10 College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 40 40
11 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 41 41
12 Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Riordan 48 48
13 Burlingame High School Burlingame High School Burlingame 49 49
14 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 54 54
15 Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 61 61
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 1 1 1 5 8 Cooper Smith '22
Allison Lee '23
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 2 5 2 1 10 Mason Stang '22
Arianna Smith '22
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 3 6 5 3 17 Dylan Wondolleck '23 [1-4]
Miles Murphy '23 [1, 3]
Makenan Smith '23 [2, 4]
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 7 2 6 2 17 Tristan Bellevin '21
Amanda Turner '23
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 5 3 4 6 18 Ryan Marquess '22
Lilah Parker '22
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 14 4 3 8 29 Hannah Sellers '22
Sophie Smallhorn '22
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 8 10 7 9 34 Brendan Connelly '23
Zach Robb '23
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 10 12 10 4 36 Ethan Lowenthal '20
Adrian Vahamaki '23
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 4 14 14 7 39 Jim Young '23 [1-4]
Cooper Pickering '23 [1, 3-4]
Mungo Mckemey '23 [2]
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 9 7 8 DNF 40 Nate Holden '21
Robert Mueller '22
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 6 8 11 DNF 41 Austin Teodorovic '24 [1-4]
Tristan Anderle '24 [1, 3]
Paulo Parramon '21 [2, 4]
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Riordan 11 9 12 DNF 48 Sophie Bucker '24
Antonio Priskich '23
Burlingame High School Burlingame High School Burlingame 13 11 9 DNF 49 Sebastian Bounds '23
Nathan Freed '23
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 12 13 13 DNF 54 Kelly Benson '24
Artemis Edison '22
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 15 15 15 DNF 61 Diego Jerez '20 [1-4]
Alex Zalewski '23 [1, 3]
Nicholas Jerez '24 [2, 4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons41414141
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 143434343
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 242424242
Archbishop RiordanArchbishop Riordan Riordan73737373
Burlingame High SchoolBurlingame High School Burlingame38383838
College Park High SchoolCollege Park High School Falcons47474747
Crystal Springs Uplands SchoolCrystal Springs Uplands School Griffins39393939
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans40404040
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors50505050
Pacific Collegiate SchoolPacific Collegiate School Varsity108108108108
Piedmont High SchoolPiedmont High School Varsity52525252
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1122122122122
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2123123123123
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 3124124124124
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates97979797

Conditions — 02/01/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1025.8 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From NW (316°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1025.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Design Tech: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Design Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Design Tech: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →