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SP 7 JV

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 17 17
2 St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 26 26
3 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 74 74
4 Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 91 91
5 Green Devils Green Devils Green Devils 93 MRP 93 MRP
6 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 97 97
7 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 99 99
8 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 103 103
9 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 110 110
10 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 116 116
11 Varsity Varsity Varsity 143 MRP 143 MRP
12 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 159 159
13 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 162 MRP 162 MRP
14 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 170 MRP 170 MRP
15 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 170 170
16 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 188 188
17 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 209 209
18 Shred City Residents Shred City Residents Shred City Residents 248 MRP 248 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 17 Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Olivia Drulard '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Livia Herman '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aidan Murphy '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 1 4 2 2 2 3 2 1 3 1 2 3 26 J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20 [1-12]
Brandon Shirmer '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Sebastian Ebinbichler-Cassanova '23 [3-4, 9-10]
Ben Defelice '23 [5-6, 11-12]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 3 5 3 4 10 7 5 9 8 9 7 4 74 Coby Flannery '21
Elizabeth Wire '24
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 6 1 9 7 4 9 12 10 DNS 7 5 2 91 Kyle Funderburk '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Robert Newland '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Makenna Eurbin '23 [1-2, 9-10]
Christa Bray '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Anish Tejomurtula '23 [5-6, 11-12]
Green Devils Green Devils Green Devils 7 11 4 5 3 6 9 4 4 8 3 9 93 MRP
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 12 8 11 9 5 4 8 5 7 12 9 7 97 Mathew Pittman '22
Johnathan Pittman '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 5 14 10 10 9 11 10 6 9 4 6 5 99 Ian Iles-Lee '23
Patrick Parker '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 10 7 8 11 12 8 7 11 5 10 8 6 103 Eva Gonzalez '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Gideon Shaked '22 [3-4, 11-12]
David Dubovy '22 [5-6]
Palmer Lykes '21 [7-8]
Boris Bialer '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Eva Bricker '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 8 2 12 12 6 14 6 12 13 13 4 8 110 Luke King '21 [1-6]
Gabe Mirman '23 [7-12]
Ashton Graber '22 [1-6]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 11 12 13 13 8 5 4 13 10 5 11 11 116 Liz Cloninger '22 [1-6]
Zander Pestrichelli '22 [7-12]
Campbell Taylor '22 [1-6]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 15 13 5 3 11 12 11 3 6 6 DNS DNS 143 MRP
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 9 6 6 8 14 13 DNF 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 159 Britney Verstraete '20
Hunter Anderson '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 10 DNS DNS 7 2 DNS DNS 2 3 DNS DNS 162 MRP Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-12]
Tye Wellnitz '22 [1-4, 7-12]
Kenna Reed '20 [5-6]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 14 15 7 6 DNF DNF 3 7 11 11 DNS DNS 170 MRP Derek Jones '21
Kellon Albury '23
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 17 17 14 14 16 15 13 14 12 14 12 12 170 Gabriel Yrjola '22
Austin Daigle '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 13 9 DNS DNS 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 10 10 188 Siena Pollis '22
Daphne Dalton '24
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 16 16 DNS DNS 15 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 209 Stevan Weiss '22
Diego Cruz '23
Shred City Residents Shred City Residents Shred City Residents DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 248 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Shred City ResidentsShred City Residents Shred City Residents444444444444
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave222222222222
Palm Harbor University High SchoolPalm Harbor University High School Varsity444444444444
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 1726772677267726772677267726772677267726772677267
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 2726872687268726872687268726872687268726872687268
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights726672667266726672667266726672667266726672667266
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave Derek Jones '21 Kellon Albury '23
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 Mathew Pittman '22 Johnathan Pittman '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 Ian Iles-Lee '23 Patrick Parker '21
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons Coby Flannery '21 Elizabeth Wire '24
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers Gabriel Yrjola '22 Austin Daigle '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers Stevan Weiss '22 Diego Cruz '23
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves Liz Cloninger '22 [1-6]
Zander Pestrichelli '22 [7-12]		 Campbell Taylor '22 [1-6]
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity Kyle Funderburk '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Robert Newland '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Makenna Eurbin '23 [1-2, 9-10]
Christa Bray '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Anish Tejomurtula '23 [5-6, 11-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 Eva Gonzalez '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Gideon Shaked '22 [3-4, 11-12]
David Dubovy '22 [5-6]
Palmer Lykes '21 [7-8]		 Boris Bialer '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Eva Bricker '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Olivia Drulard '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Livia Herman '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aidan Murphy '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights Britney Verstraete '20 Hunter Anderson '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors Luke King '21 [1-6]
Gabe Mirman '23 [7-12]		 Ashton Graber '22 [1-6]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS Siena Pollis '22 Daphne Dalton '24
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20 [1-12] Brandon Shirmer '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Sebastian Ebinbichler-Cassanova '23 [3-4, 9-10]
Ben Defelice '23 [5-6, 11-12]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-12] Tye Wellnitz '22 [1-4, 7-12]
Kenna Reed '20 [5-6]

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.7 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover24% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at H. B. Plant: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at H. B. Plant by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at H. B. Plant, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →