NYISA-NW BYC Spring Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 1 17 14 31
2 Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 1 14 21 35
3 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 1 32 18 50
4 Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 21 31 52
5 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 30 27 57
6 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 35 25 60
7 Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 2 29 43 72
8 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 45 42 87
9 Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 2 47 49 96
10 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 60 60 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 1 3 5 1 1 3 1 14 Bobby Dodge '22
Vitoria Fornataro '23
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 1 2 2 8 2 1 2 17 Adelaide Matzky '25
Ruby Deascentiis '25
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 1 6 5 4 2 3 21 Finn Mahan '22
Teddy Bernold '22
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 2 5 3 7 3 4 7 29 Grace Richardson '26
Jacqueline Perry '22
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 4 4 3 8 7 4 30 No Show
No Show
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 1 8 1 4 5 6 8 32 Anderson Osinski '22
No Show
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 9 7 2 6 5 6 35 Nathan Jarosz '21
Alec Barlow '23
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 6 9 9 7 9 5 45 Keller Waldron '24
Ben Mazurkiewicz '24
Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 2 7 8 6 9 8 9 47 Michael Dinardo '23
Veronica Petti '21
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 Aly Dalton '24
Emma Malmstrom Jouannet '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 1 1 4 1 2 5 1 14 Clementine Matzky '21
Emily Richardson '21
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 1 4 3 2 4 3 2 18 Sam Balanevsky '22
No Show
Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 1 5 1 9 1 1 4 21 Lilia Howland '23
Rex Eidlin '23
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 7 2 3 6 2 5 25 Colin Marcolini '22
Teddy Lukowski '22
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 2 7 4 5 6 3 27 No Show
No Show
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 3 6 5 3 8 6 31 Travis Minor '22
Gabe Ferreira '23
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 6 8 6 8 7 7 42 Max Naples '22
Braeden Bommarahau '21
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 2 9 5 8 9 4 8 43 Anna Flaherty '23
Joelle Blankenship '23
Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 2 8 9 7 7 9 9 49 Peter Higgins '22
Liam Sorrels '23
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 Heidi Swan-Leuze '24
Madi Overbeck '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.230+0.23
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bruins181818181818
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 1171717171717
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 2161616161616
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 1151515151515
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 2141414141414
Pittsford High SchoolPittsford High School Knights 1131313131313
Pittsford High SchoolPittsford High School Knights 2121212121212
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans111111111111
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1101010101010
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2333333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bruins181818181818
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 1171717171717
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 2161616161616
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 1151515151515
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 2141414141414
Pittsford High SchoolPittsford High School Knights 1131313131313
Pittsford High SchoolPittsford High School Knights 2121212121212
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans111111111111
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1101010101010
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2333333

Conditions — 04/24/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1014.2 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From WSW (237°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1014.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Canisius: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 18% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Canisius by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Canisius, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →