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Friday Night Lights#3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 1 8 14 22
2 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 11 20 31
3 Partriots Partriots Partriots 23 14 37
4 The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 2 21 21 42
5 Hawks Hawks Hawks 35 52 87
6 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 1 43 44 87
7 Classical Classical Classical 43 44 87
8 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 2 49 40 89
9 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Middletown HS 51 39 90
10 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 46 45 91
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 8 Avery Canavan '21
Noah Desantis '22
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 2 2 1 3 2 1 11 Olin Guck '22
Nate Schneider '22
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 2 3 5 3 2 3 5 21
Partriots Partriots Partriots 4 4 4 4 4 3 23
Hawks Hawks Hawks 5 3 7 9 5 6 35
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 1 6 8 5 10 7 7 43 Brettyn Newsome '23
Caitlin Mccabe '22
Classical Classical Classical 7 7 6 6 9 8 43
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 10 9 9 8 6 4 46 Cameron Boyd '23 [1-3]
Austin Vance '23 [4-6]
Brianna Sheahan '23 [1-3]
Sawyer Obrien '23 [4-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 2 9 6 10 7 8 9 49 Taylor Curry '21 [1-5]
Andrew Goodburn '24 [6]
Alexandra Newsome '21 [1-5]
Matthew Mullins '23 [6]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Middletown HS 8 10 8 5 10 10 51 Michael Flanagan '22 [1-5]
Ella Donaldson '22 [6]
Ella Donaldson '22 [1-2, 5]
Alyse Moy '22 [3-4, 6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Partriots Partriots Partriots 1 1 2 1 4 5 14
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 1 2 2 3 3 3 1 14 Jake Demos '23
Carter Sheehan '23
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles DNS 3 1 2 1 2 20 Brendan Jay '23 [1-3, 6]
Christopher Chwalk '24 [4-5]
Christopher Chwalk '24 [1-3, 6]
Brendan Jay '23 [4-5]
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 2 3 4 4 5 2 3 21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Middletown HS 4 9 5 6 7 8 39 Whitman Bressler '24 [1-6]
Troy Fielding '22 [1-3]
Laura Pisano '23 [4-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 2 5 DNF DNS 4 5 4 40 Andrew Goodburn '24 [1-3, 5]
Parker Brown '22 [4, 6]
Aspen Pearson '24 [1-3]
Meghan Mckenna '21 [4-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 1 6 6 8 7 8 9 44 Sophia Rey '22 [1-6]
Matthew Mullins '23 [1-4]
Aspen Pearson '24 [5-6]
Classical Classical Classical 7 7 9 9 6 6 44
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 9 5 6 8 10 7 45 Alexandra Koplovsky '24 [1-3]
Slate Evans '24 [4-6]
Sofia Simas '24 [1-3]
Marykate Hanus '24 [4-6]
Hawks Hawks Hawks 8 8 7 10 9 10 52
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles111111
HawksHawks Hawks333333
ClassicalClassical Classical555555
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers777777
PartriotsPartriots Partriots999999
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings 1111111111111
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings 2131313131313
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders 1151515151515
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders 2171717171717
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Middletown HS191919191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles222222
HawksHawks Hawks444444
ClassicalClassical Classical666666
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers888888
PartriotsPartriots Partriots101010101010
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings 1121212121212
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings 2141414141414
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders 1161616161616
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders 2181818181818
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Middletown HS202020202020
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Olin Guck '22 Nate Schneider '22
Eagles Brendan Jay '23 [1-3, 6]
Christopher Chwalk '24 [4-5]		 Christopher Chwalk '24 [1-3, 6]
Brendan Jay '23 [4-5]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Cameron Boyd '23 [1-3]
Austin Vance '23 [4-6]		 Brianna Sheahan '23 [1-3]
Sawyer Obrien '23 [4-6]
Skippers Alexandra Koplovsky '24 [1-3]
Slate Evans '24 [4-6]		 Sofia Simas '24 [1-3]
Marykate Hanus '24 [4-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Brettyn Newsome '23 Caitlin Mccabe '22
Vikings 1 Sophia Rey '22 [1-6] Matthew Mullins '23 [1-4]
Aspen Pearson '24 [5-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Taylor Curry '21 [1-5]
Andrew Goodburn '24 [6]		 Alexandra Newsome '21 [1-5]
Matthew Mullins '23 [6]
Vikings 2 Andrew Goodburn '24 [1-3, 5]
Parker Brown '22 [4, 6]		 Aspen Pearson '24 [1-3]
Meghan Mckenna '21 [4-6]
The Prout School The Prout School Avery Canavan '21 Noah Desantis '22
Crusaders 1 Jake Demos '23 Carter Sheehan '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Michael Flanagan '22 [1-5]
Ella Donaldson '22 [6]		 Ella Donaldson '22 [1-2, 5]
Alyse Moy '22 [3-4, 6]
Middletown HS Whitman Bressler '24 [1-6] Troy Fielding '22 [1-3]
Laura Pisano '23 [4-6]

Conditions — 05/14/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From WSW (244°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sail Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.43 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sail Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sail Newport, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →