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In-House SSSS #2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 9 9
2 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 15 15
3 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 20 20
4 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 23 23
5 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 25 25
6 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 41 41
7 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 41 41
8 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 48 48
9 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 2 48 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 9 Lexi Chigas '22
Fiona Naughton '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 3 2 3 3 3 1 15 Tim Mooney '21
Saskia Teterycz '21
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 1 5 4 4 4 2 20 Jimmy Sohigian '24
Natalia Bretones '23
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 4 3 7 2 2 5 23 No Show
Colin Herbolsheimer '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 5 4 2 5 5 4 25 Lily Brandt '23
Noah Blake '22
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 6 8 5 6 7 9 41 Luca Zerega '23
Claude Strnad '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 8 6 8 7 6 6 41 Finn Mcdaniel '24
Leo Zematis '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 7 7 9 8 9 8 48 Elliot Voneche '23
Skye Elzaurdia '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 2 9 9 6 9 8 7 48 Carter Johnston '24
Logan Gallenbeck '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers181818181818
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 1121212121212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 2191919191919
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 3161616161616
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 1202020202020
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 2222222222222
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 1141414141414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2111111
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 3131313131313

Conditions — 04/24/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1011.3 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From SE (136°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1011.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →