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MASSA Silver Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 33 27 60
2 Severn School Severn School Admirals 13 50 63
3 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 40 27 67
4 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 24 48 72
5 Key School Key School Zags 39 58 97
6 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 77 25 102
7 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 56 70 126
8 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 84 42 126
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 76 51 127
10 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 61 80 141
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 57 94 151
12 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 95 90 185
13 Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 103 90 193
14 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 100 102 202
15 Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 105 100 205
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 13 Kyle Reinecke '23
Lila Gibson '22
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 5 4 2 3 3 4 2 24 Tyler Brown '23
Jack Herritage '24
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 4 10 2 4 4 2 3 4 33 Audrey Commerford '21
Makenna Labor '21
Key School Key School Zags 5 2 11 6 6 4 2 3 39 Molly Roden '22
Stella Kim '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 3 3 5 8 2 7 6 6 40 Jonathan Stevenson '23
Daniel Aaron '23
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 8 9 7 7 7 8 5 5 56 Brooks Turcotte '23
Madi Overbeck '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 8 3 3 8 10 10 9 57 Thomas Marino '21 [1-8]
Paige Lubrano '22 [1-5]
Royce Ankel '21 [6-8]
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 11 12 12 5 5 1 7 8 61 Braeden Bommarahau '21 [1-8]
Colin Marcolini '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Keller Waldron '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 7 4 6 11 10 14 14 10 76 Olivia Gilmore '23 [1-5]
Ashlyn Wise '21 [6-8]
Emery Hill '23 [1-5]
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 12 11 8 10 9 9 11 7 77 Isabella Fadullon '23
Adam Ginsburg '23
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 13 7 10 12 11 12 8 11 84 Sonja Krajewski '22 [1-8]
Trent Morrison '22 [1-2, 6-8]
Cali Krean '24 [3-5]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 9 6 9 9 14 DNS DNS DNS 95 Grace Wilson '23 [1-2]
Phoebe Tate Anderson '24 [3-8]
Caroline Mederos '24 [1-2]
Derick Fahnestock '22 [3-8]
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 15 14 15 14 13 6 9 14 100 Annabel Bornebusch '22 [1-2, 6-8]
Owen Desanto '23 [3-5]
Vaughn Armstrong '22 [1-2, 6-8]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 14 13 13 13 12 13 12 13 103 Clementine Matzky '21 [1-8]
Olivia Cross '22 [1-7]
Joelle Blankenship '23 [8]
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 10 15 14 15 15 11 13 12 105 Finn Mahan '22
Teddy Bernold '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 2 4 9 2 4 1 2 1 25 Cole Canuel '23
Connor Lawrence '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 3 1 1 2 10 4 5 27 Lochlann Ludwig '21 [1-5]
Julia Sullivan '22 [6-8]
Eli Leopold '24 [1-5]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 2 2 5 1 2 6 6 27 Sterling Maggard '23
Jack Devito '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 10 1 6 3 5 3 5 9 42 Ella Demand '24 [1-8]
Sophia Delucca '24 [1-2, 6-8]
Kelly Robinson '24 [3-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 6 5 4 8 5 7 2 48 Morgan Handly '21
Molly Hanson '23
Severn School Severn School Admirals 7 11 4 7 3 6 8 4 50 Chase O'Malley '22
Regan King '21
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 5 5 BKD 8 12 4 1 10 51 Grace Watlington '22 [1-5]
Chase Brewer '22 [6-7]
Aubrey Walton '23 [8]
Ava Michel '22 [1-7]
Sam Palmertree '21 [8]
Key School Key School Zags 8 7 11 9 6 7 3 7 58 Andrew Baker '24
James Rizek '23
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 9 10 3 12 9 14 10 3 70 Philipp Meyer '24
Matt Lefler '24
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 12 15 10 6 7 8 11 11 80 Josh Elliott '24
Nathan Jarosz '21
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 4 8 7 13 10 DNS DNS DNS 90 Derick Fahnestock '22 [1-8]
Phoebe Tate Anderson '24 [1-2]
Caroline Mederos '24 [3-8]
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 13 9 13 14 15 9 9 8 90 Jasmine Nichols '21
Anna Schinsing '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 14 13 8 10 11 12 12 14 94 Jonathan Field '22 [1-8]
Allison Baun '22 [1-5]
Keira Press '23 [6-8]
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bruins 6 12 14 15 14 13 13 13 100 Travis Minor '22
Gabe Ferreira '23
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 15 14 12 11 13 11 14 12 102 Leila Cavanaugh '23 [1-5, 8]
Owen Desanto '23 [6-7]
Lauren Desanto '25 [1-5, 8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11111111
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bruins22222222
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles33333333
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars44444444
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets55555555
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors66666666
Key SchoolKey School Zags77777777
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders88888888
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs99999999
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1010101010101010
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1111111111111111
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1212121212121212
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans1313131313131313
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders1414141414141414
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians1515151515151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11111111
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bruins22222222
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles33333333
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars44444444
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets55555555
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors66666666
Key SchoolKey School Zags77777777
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders88888888
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs99999999
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1010101010101010
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1111111111111111
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1212121212121212
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans1313131313131313
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders1414141414141414
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians1515151515151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Isabella Fadullon '23 Adam Ginsburg '23
Panthers Cole Canuel '23 Connor Lawrence '23
Brighton High School Brighton High School Finn Mahan '22 Teddy Bernold '22
Bruins Travis Minor '22 Gabe Ferreira '23
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Annabel Bornebusch '22 [1-2, 6-8]
Owen Desanto '23 [3-5]		 Vaughn Armstrong '22 [1-2, 6-8]
Eagles Leila Cavanaugh '23 [1-5, 8]
Owen Desanto '23 [6-7]		 Lauren Desanto '25 [1-5, 8]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Thomas Marino '21 [1-8] Paige Lubrano '22 [1-5]
Royce Ankel '21 [6-8]
Cougars Jonathan Field '22 [1-8] Allison Baun '22 [1-5]
Keira Press '23 [6-8]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Jonathan Stevenson '23 Daniel Aaron '23
Hornets Lochlann Ludwig '21 [1-5]
Julia Sullivan '22 [6-8]		 Eli Leopold '24 [1-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Tyler Brown '23 Jack Herritage '24
Warriors Morgan Handly '21 Molly Hanson '23
Key School Key School Molly Roden '22 Stella Kim '23
Zags Andrew Baker '24 James Rizek '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Audrey Commerford '21 Makenna Labor '21
Raiders Sterling Maggard '23 Jack Devito '24
Mercy High School Mercy High School Clementine Matzky '21 [1-8] Olivia Cross '22 [1-7]
Joelle Blankenship '23 [8]
Monarchs Jasmine Nichols '21 Anna Schinsing '21
Patuxent Patuxent Grace Wilson '23 [1-2]
Phoebe Tate Anderson '24 [3-8]		 Caroline Mederos '24 [1-2]
Derick Fahnestock '22 [3-8]
Panthers Derick Fahnestock '22 [1-8] Phoebe Tate Anderson '24 [1-2]
Caroline Mederos '24 [3-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Olivia Gilmore '23 [1-5]
Ashlyn Wise '21 [6-8]		 Emery Hill '23 [1-5]
Islanders Grace Watlington '22 [1-5]
Chase Brewer '22 [6-7]
Aubrey Walton '23 [8]		 Ava Michel '22 [1-7]
Sam Palmertree '21 [8]
Severn School Severn School Kyle Reinecke '23 Lila Gibson '22
Admirals Chase O'Malley '22 Regan King '21
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Brooks Turcotte '23 Madi Overbeck '21
Trojans Philipp Meyer '24 Matt Lefler '24
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Braeden Bommarahau '21 [1-8] Colin Marcolini '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Keller Waldron '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Marauders Josh Elliott '24 Nathan Jarosz '21
Toms River South Toms River South Sonja Krajewski '22 [1-8] Trent Morrison '22 [1-2, 6-8]
Cali Krean '24 [3-5]
Indians Ella Demand '24 [1-8] Sophia Delucca '24 [1-2, 6-8]
Kelly Robinson '24 [3-5]

Conditions — 05/15/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1024.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From N (10°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1024.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn* · S 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sailing Center Chesapeake: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.28 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sailing Center Chesapeake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Sailing Center Chesapeake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →