NJISA 2021 Icebreaker Regatta

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date03/20/2021
TypeIn-League
BoatC420/CFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Toms River North	Mariners	35	11	46
2	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	23	24	47
3	Ranney School	Panthers	31	36	67
4	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	34	36	70
5	Southern Regional High School	Rams	28	59	87
6	Biotechnology High School	Nerds	54	36	90
7	Chatham High School	Cougars 1	58	41	99
8	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	40	92	132
9	Toms River South	Indians	74	58	132
10	Chatham High School	Cougars 2	69	79	148
11	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	83	67	150
12	Central Regional High School	Eagles	96	85	181

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	3	1	1	3	4	8	2	1	23	Javier Ojeda '23 [1-8] Kevin Brooksbank '23 [1-4] Nora Ciak '23 [5-8]
Southern Regional High School	Rams	9	4	2	2	3	4	1	3	28	Bridget Green '21 Natalie Shaw '23
Ranney School	Panthers	1	3	3	6	6	2	6	4	31	Brooke Schmelz '21 Ashley Abboud '22
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	5	5	5	4	2	6	5	2	34	Ryan Ehnot '22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Toms River North	Mariners	7	2	4	5	1	3	7	6	35	Declan Botwinick '21 Evan Harrison '21
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	2	6	10	1	10	1	3	7	40	Colin Guerrera '22 Connor Feury '22
Biotechnology High School	Nerds	6	10	8	8	8	5	4	5	54	Benson Chiles '22 Ronan Downie '22
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	4	8	9	7	5	9	8	8	58	Thomas Marino '21 Paige Lubrano '22
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	8	9	7	10	9	7	10	9	69	Ryan Mcwalters '21 Liam Mccombs '23
Toms River South	Indians	10	7	11	9	7	10	9	11	74	Sonja Krajewski '22 [1-8] Sophia Delucca '24 [1-4] Alex Carvalho '21 [5-8]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	11	11	6	11	12	11	11	10	83	Katie Penque '22 [1-2, 5-6] Lauren Murray '24 [3-4, 7-8] Lilly Shanker '22 [1-6] Katie Penque '22 [7-8]
Central Regional High School	Eagles	DNF	12	12	12	11	12	12	12	96	Owen Desanto '23 Vaughn Armstrong '22

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Toms River North	Mariners	2	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	11	Everett Botwinick '22 [1-8] Lindsay Walsh '23 [1-4] Iliana Vasslides '23 [5-8]
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	1	2	1	3	1	2	8	6	24	James Kopack '24 [1-8] Caroline Felser '24 [1-4] Sloane Nelson '22 [5-6] Dan Drennan '24 [7-8]
Ranney School	Panthers	3	3	6	6	9	3	2	4	36	Grace Bray '23 Tomas Mora '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	4	6	4	4	3	7	3	5	36	Noah Kuzloski '23 [1-8] Luke Pennisi '24 [1-4] Nicholas Cunha '23 [5-8]
Biotechnology High School	Nerds	7	4	3	5	4	5	6	2	36	Gabby Fontana '23 [1-8] Aiden Welch '24 [1-2, 5-6] Andrew Pepe '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	5	7	8	2	5	4	7	3	41	Jamie Lynch '23 Jonathan Field '22
Toms River South	Indians	6	8	7	7	6	10	4	10	58	Mallory Higham '24 [1-8] Cali Krean '24 [1-4] Kelly Robinson '24 [5-8]
Southern Regional High School	Rams	8	5	5	9	7	8	9	8	59	Chloe Witt '23 Alex Klinov '22
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	9	12	10	8	8	6	5	9	67	Jack Greengrass '22 [1-8] Sarah Kane '22 [1-4] Klara Sleightholme '24 [5-8]
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	10	9	9	12	10	11	11	7	79	Veloce Scott '21 [1-8] Milos Buchberger '21 [1-2, 5-6] Bea Tanas '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Central Regional High School	Eagles	11	10	11	10	12	9	10	12	85	Leila Cavanaugh '23 Lauren Desanto '25
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	12	11	12	11	11	12	12	11	92	John Ruane '21 [1-4] Matthew Wilhelm '24 [5-8] Andrew Dinger '24 [1-4] John Flannery '23 [5-7] Martin Horowitz '23 [8]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Biotechnology High School Nerds	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Central Regional High School Eagles	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Chatham High School Cougars 1	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Chatham High School Cougars 2	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Ranney School Panthers	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Southern Regional High School Rams	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Summit High School Hilltoppers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Toms River North Mariners	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Toms River South Indians	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Biotechnology High School Nerds	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Central Regional High School Eagles	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Chatham High School Cougars 1	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Chatham High School Cougars 2	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Ranney School Panthers	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Southern Regional High School Rams	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Summit High School Hilltoppers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Toms River North Mariners	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Toms River South Indians	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Biotechnology High School	Benson Chiles '22	Ronan Downie '22
Nerds	Gabby Fontana '23 [1-8]	Aiden Welch '24 [1-2, 5-6] Andrew Pepe '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Central Regional High School	Owen Desanto '23	Vaughn Armstrong '22
Eagles	Leila Cavanaugh '23	Lauren Desanto '25
Chatham High School	Thomas Marino '21	Paige Lubrano '22
Cougars 1	Jamie Lynch '23	Jonathan Field '22
Chatham High School	Ryan Mcwalters '21	Liam Mccombs '23
Cougars 2	Veloce Scott '21 [1-8]	Milos Buchberger '21 [1-2, 5-6] Bea Tanas '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Christian Brothers Academy	Ryan Ehnot '22	Mitchell Hnatt '24
Colts 1	Noah Kuzloski '23 [1-8]	Luke Pennisi '24 [1-4] Nicholas Cunha '23 [5-8]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colin Guerrera '22	Connor Feury '22
Colts 2	John Ruane '21 [1-4] Matthew Wilhelm '24 [5-8]	Andrew Dinger '24 [1-4] John Flannery '23 [5-7] Martin Horowitz '23 [8]
Donovan Catholic High School	Javier Ojeda '23 [1-8]	Kevin Brooksbank '23 [1-4] Nora Ciak '23 [5-8]
Griffins	James Kopack '24 [1-8]	Caroline Felser '24 [1-4] Sloane Nelson '22 [5-6] Dan Drennan '24 [7-8]
Ranney School	Brooke Schmelz '21	Ashley Abboud '22
Panthers	Grace Bray '23	Tomas Mora '23
Southern Regional High School	Bridget Green '21	Natalie Shaw '23
Rams	Chloe Witt '23	Alex Klinov '22
Summit High School	Katie Penque '22 [1-2, 5-6] Lauren Murray '24 [3-4, 7-8]	Lilly Shanker '22 [1-6] Katie Penque '22 [7-8]
Hilltoppers	Jack Greengrass '22 [1-8]	Sarah Kane '22 [1-4] Klara Sleightholme '24 [5-8]
Toms River North	Declan Botwinick '21	Evan Harrison '21
Mariners	Everett Botwinick '22 [1-8]	Lindsay Walsh '23 [1-4] Iliana Vasslides '23 [5-8]
Toms River South	Sonja Krajewski '22 [1-8]	Sophia Delucca '24 [1-4] Alex Carvalho '21 [5-8]
Indians	Mallory Higham '24 [1-8]	Cali Krean '24 [1-4] Kelly Robinson '24 [5-8]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2021 Icebreaker Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes