NYISA-NW League Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fairport High School Fairport High School Red Raiders 14 12 26
2 Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 21 15 36
3 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 26 19 45
4 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 21 26 47
5 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 13 35 48
6 Brighton High School Brighton High School Bauins 27 26 53
7 Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 1 28 30 58
8 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 42 25 67
9 Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 2 33 37 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 1 7 1 2 2 13 Braeden Bommarahau '21
Alec Barlow '23
Fairport High School Fairport High School Red Raiders 5 2 2 1 4 14 Adam Strobridge '22
Matt Lago '23
Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 2 3 3 5 8 21 Lena Fine '21
Peter Higgins '22
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 6 1 6 7 1 21 Brooks Turcotte '23
Madi Overbeck '21
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 8 8 4 3 3 26 Sam Balanevsky '22
No Show
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bauins 7 4 5 6 5 27 Finn Mahan '22
Teddy Bernold '22
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 1 3 6 8 4 7 28 Adelaide Matzky '25
Anna Flaherty '23
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 2 4 5 7 8 9 33 Adelaide Matzky '25
Joelle Blankenship '23
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 9 9 9 9 6 42 Colin Marcolini '22
Keller Waldron '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Fairport High School Fairport High School Red Raiders 3 6 1 1 1 12 Benjamin Hosford '21
Emily Grevell '23
Pittsford High School Pittsford High School Knights 1 4 3 2 5 15 Bobby Dodge '22
Vitoria Fornataro '23
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 3 4 6 4 19 Anderson Osinski '22
Rory Mcclenehan '20
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2 4 1 6 8 6 25 Nathan Jarosz '21
Teddy Lukowski '22
Brighton High School Brighton High School Bauins 5 9 5 4 3 26 Andrew Howe '24
Gabe Ferreira '23
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 7 7 7 3 2 26 Philipp Meyer '24
Grace Felton '23
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 1 8 8 2 5 7 30 Jasmine Nichols '21
Anna Schinsing '21
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1 6 5 9 7 8 35 Max Naples '22
Ben Mazurkiewicz '24
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 2 9 2 8 9 9 37 Emily Richardson '21
Olivia Cross '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bauins55555
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders1414141414
Fairport High SchoolFairport High School Red Raiders66666
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 144444
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 21313131313
Pittsford High SchoolPittsford High School Knights99999
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans88888
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 11111111111
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 21212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Brighton High SchoolBrighton High School Bauins55555
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders1414141414
Fairport High SchoolFairport High School Red Raiders66666
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 144444
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs 21313131313
Pittsford High SchoolPittsford High School Knights99999
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans88888
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 11111111111
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 21212121212

Conditions — 04/10/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1009.3 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From SSE (160°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1009.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brighton: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.33 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brighton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Brighton, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →