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PYC Ocho De Mayo Fun Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 38 13 51
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 2 25 32 57
3 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 48 21 69
4 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Mixed 18 58 76
5 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 39 55 94
6 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2 42 54 96
7 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 56 52 108
8 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED lakers 32 78 110
9 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 81 33 114
10 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Black 88 38 126
11 Groves High School Groves High School Mixed 74 64 138
12 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 1 47 92 139
13 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Red Devils - MIXED 88 55 143
14 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 61 90 151
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Mixed 1 1 2 1 2 10 1 18 Owen Bannasch '22
Liam Bien '22
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 2 4 3 3 2 7 1 5 25 Michael Mullins '23
Ian Frisch '23
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED lakers 2 5 1 5 10 6 3 32 Jake Elsen '21 [1-7]
Jaclyn Scott '23 [1-2, 6-7]
Akshara Karthik '23 [3-4]
Brianna Briggs '25 [5]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 3 6 4 8 6 7 4 38 Vinny Paliga '24
Anthony Dziuba '21
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 8 11 5 10 1 2 2 39 Michael Cyrul '24
Lena Clark '22
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2 5 8 8 4 4 3 10 42 Joe Mowrey '21
Nicole Torkos '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 1 6 4 10 3 8 4 12 47 Luke Strickland '22
Drew Noser '23
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 9 2 6 12 5 5 9 48 Emily Pytell '21 [1-7]
Jacob Ritter '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Edward Benedict '26 [3-4, 7]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 7 10 7 6 9 11 6 56 Gavin Swallow '22
Maya Dunn '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 10 7 9 7 3 12 13 61 Jack Armstrong '25
Brent Armstrong '25
Groves High School Groves High School Mixed 12 9 11 9 11 8 14 74 Caden Meyers '22 [1-7]
Kai Van Wordragen '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Jace Bishop '23 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 11 12 12 11 13 14 8 81 Andy Zhu '23 [1-2]
Miles Laker '23 [3-7]
Liam Hounsell '23 [1-2]
Andy Zhu '23 [3-7]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Black 13 DNF 14 14 12 13 7 88 Morris Mitchell '22 [1-2]
Ashan Villavarayan '25 [3-7]
Mayas Smith '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Morris Mitchell '22 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Red Devils - MIXED DNF 13 13 13 14 9 11 88 Gillian Bellard '25
Clayton Debryun '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 1 4 1 1 2 2 2 13 Walter Paliga '22
Liam Gilin '25
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 2 1 4 3 3 3 5 21 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-4]
Dane Greenwood '23 [5-7]
Dane Greenwood '23 [1-4]
Rodrigo Flores '24 [5-7]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 2 6 8 10 5 1 1 1 32 Brooks Barron '26
Karen Callahan '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 4 2 6 2 8 7 4 33 Aarush Kapur '25 [1-7]
Levi Citron '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Liam Hounsell '23 [3-4]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Black 3 7 2 7 5 8 6 38 Colin Stempien '25
Quinn Elliott '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 5 10 5 4 12 6 10 52 Michaela Cooney '24
Audrey Noser '24
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2 10 3 8 8 10 4 11 54 Monika Torkos '23
Maya Nagy '26
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 8 6 3 11 9 10 8 55 Tony Harkins '21
Zinzi Malete '24
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Red Devils - MIXED 13 5 9 6 4 11 7 55 Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-7]
Talena Monasmith '22 [1-4]
Enele Malete '24 [5-7]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Mixed 9 9 12 9 7 9 3 58 Winston Jenney '24
Ethan Jenney '24
Groves High School Groves High School Mixed 11 12 7 14 6 5 9 64 Liam Dowling '24 [1-7]
Joseph Mcloughlin '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Declan O'Brien '24 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED lakers 7 11 11 10 13 13 13 78 Alex Wszolek '25 [1-7]
Brianna Briggs '25 [1-2]
Aniksha Karthik '25 [3-7]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 12 13 13 12 14 12 14 90 Ian Phipps '25
Cameron Briggs '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 1 14 14 14 13 11 14 12 92 Steven Laskey '24 [1-7]
Isabella Rozentuler '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Declan Smith '23 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Mixed 13333333
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Mixed 25555555
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity18181818181818
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Black7777777
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Mixed12121212121212
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue11111111111111
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Red Devils - MIXED14141414141414
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Mixed6666666
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed13131313131313
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn 11111111
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn 217171717171717
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green8888888
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White9999999
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED lakers10101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Mixed 13333333
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Mixed 25555555
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity18181818181818
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Black7777777
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Mixed12121212121212
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue11111111111111
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Red Devils - MIXED14141414141414
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Mixed6666666
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed13131313131313
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn 11111111
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn 217171717171717
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green8888888
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White9999999
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED lakers10101010101010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Luke Strickland '22 Drew Noser '23
Mixed 1 Steven Laskey '24 [1-7] Isabella Rozentuler '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Declan Smith '23 [3-4]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Michael Mullins '23 Ian Frisch '23
Mixed 2 Brooks Barron '26 Karen Callahan '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Gavin Swallow '22 Maya Dunn '24
Varsity Michaela Cooney '24 Audrey Noser '24
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Morris Mitchell '22 [1-2]
Ashan Villavarayan '25 [3-7]		 Mayas Smith '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Morris Mitchell '22 [3-4]
MIXED Black Colin Stempien '25 Quinn Elliott '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Owen Bannasch '22 Liam Bien '22
BRMS Blue Mixed Winston Jenney '24 Ethan Jenney '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Andy Zhu '23 [1-2]
Miles Laker '23 [3-7]		 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-2]
Andy Zhu '23 [3-7]
MIXED Blue Aarush Kapur '25 [1-7] Levi Citron '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Liam Hounsell '23 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Gillian Bellard '25 Clayton Debryun '26
Red Devils - MIXED Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-7] Talena Monasmith '22 [1-4]
Enele Malete '24 [5-7]
Groves High School Groves High School Caden Meyers '22 [1-7] Kai Van Wordragen '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Jace Bishop '23 [3-4]
Mixed Liam Dowling '24 [1-7] Joseph Mcloughlin '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Declan O'Brien '24 [3-4]
Okemos High School Okemos High School Michael Cyrul '24 Lena Clark '22
Okemos Puffins Mixed Tony Harkins '21 Zinzi Malete '24
Troy High School Troy High School Emily Pytell '21 [1-7] Jacob Ritter '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Edward Benedict '26 [3-4, 7]
MIXED Candy Corn 1 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-4]
Dane Greenwood '23 [5-7]		 Dane Greenwood '23 [1-4]
Rodrigo Flores '24 [5-7]
Troy High School Troy High School Joe Mowrey '21 Nicole Torkos '25
MIXED Candy Corn 2 Monika Torkos '23 Maya Nagy '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Vinny Paliga '24 Anthony Dziuba '21
MIXED Green Walter Paliga '22 Liam Gilin '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Jack Armstrong '25 Brent Armstrong '25
MIXED White Ian Phipps '25 Cameron Briggs '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Jake Elsen '21 [1-7] Jaclyn Scott '23 [1-2, 6-7]
Akshara Karthik '23 [3-4]
Brianna Briggs '25 [5]
MIXED lakers Alex Wszolek '25 [1-7] Brianna Briggs '25 [1-2]
Aniksha Karthik '25 [3-7]

Conditions — 05/08/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From NW (318°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →