PYC Spring Fun A Fleet In House

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 10 10
2 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue 15 15
3 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 25 25
4 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 27 27
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 42 42
6 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 46 46
7 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 50 50
8 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2 61 61
9 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 71 71
10 Groves High School Groves High School Falcons 74 74
11 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 1 76 76
12 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 79 79
13 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 2 82 82
14 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 95 95
15 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon 104 104
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 10 Vinny Paliga '24 [1-7]
Madeline Martin '24 [1-4]
Gavin Swallow '22 [5-7]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue 2 RDG 1 3 4 2 1 15 Owen Bannasch '22
Sage Waelchli '22
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 3 2 9 2 1 3 5 25 Joe Mowrey '21
Monika Torkos '23
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 4 5 3 RDG 3 4 4 27 Jake Elsen '21
Anthony Dziuba '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 7 6 7 4 9 6 3 42 Walter Paliga '22
Miles Laker '23
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 10 7 5 8 5 5 6 46 Brent Armstrong '25
Christian Voneper '21
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 9 3 10 6 7 7 8 50 Dane Greenwood '23
Aarush Kapur '25
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2 6 4 8 5 6 DNF DNS 61 Rodrigo Flores '24
Ashan Villavarayan '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 8 10 14 12 10 8 9 71 Liam Dowling '24
Gabe Morreale '24
Groves High School Groves High School Falcons 12 11 DNF 10 8 10 7 74 Caden Meyers '22 [1-7]
Jace Bishop '23 [1-3]
Skylar Mcquire '25 [4-7]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 1 5 8 6 9 DNS DNS DNS 76 Nasser Awada '23
Ian Frisch '23
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 13 12 11 13 11 9 10 79 Zachary Ring '24
Morris Mitchell '22
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 2 14 9 4 7 DNS DNS DNS 82 Gavin Swallow '22
Steven Laskey '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 11 13 12 11 DNS DNS DNS 95 Miles Kohn '25
Andy Zhu '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon 15 14 13 14 DNF DNS DNS 104 Will Hilborn '22
Nicole Torkos '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity 12222222
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity 210101010101010
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks18181818181818
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue1111111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue21212121212121
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold7777777
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Falcons15151515151515
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon11111111111111
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ5555555
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn 18888888
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn 214141414141414
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy9999999
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity22222222222222
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green6666666
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White12121212121212
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 1 Nasser Awada '23 Ian Frisch '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 2 Gavin Swallow '22 Steven Laskey '24
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks Zachary Ring '24 Morris Mitchell '22
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Owen Bannasch '22 Sage Waelchli '22
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue Miles Kohn '25 Andy Zhu '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold Walter Paliga '22 Miles Laker '23
Groves High School Groves High School Falcons Caden Meyers '22 [1-7] Jace Bishop '23 [1-3]
Skylar Mcquire '25 [4-7]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon Will Hilborn '22 Nicole Torkos '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ Liam Dowling '24 Gabe Morreale '24
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 Dane Greenwood '23 Aarush Kapur '25
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2 Rodrigo Flores '24 Ashan Villavarayan '25
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Joe Mowrey '21 Monika Torkos '23
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity Jake Elsen '21 Anthony Dziuba '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green Brent Armstrong '25 Christian Voneper '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White Vinny Paliga '24 [1-7] Madeline Martin '24 [1-4]
Gavin Swallow '22 [5-7]

Conditions — 05/01/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.1 kn
avg  ·  max 18.0 kn
Gusts to 30.3 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.43 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →