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Road to Championship Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 6 11 17
2 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 17 9 26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Stephen Momeier '23
Noah Roberts '23
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 2 17 Lorelai Kagey '24
Riley Guidry '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 1 DNF 2 1 1 9 Truman Bright '23
Angela Hootman '23
Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 2 2 1 1 2 DNF 11 Sam Roberts '23
Katia Arzayus '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights11111
Lutheran South AcademyLutheran South Academy Varsity44444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights11111
Lutheran South AcademyLutheran South Academy Varsity44444

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.9 kn
avg  ·  max 16.2 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From N (6°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1014.7 hPa Rain0.02 in

What this breeze does at Clear Falls — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Clear Falls in this breeze: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clear Falls by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Clear Falls, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →