SAISA Girls Champs 2021

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 29 29
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 29 29
3 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 36 36
4 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 44 44
5 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 51 51
6 Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers 63 63
7 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 64 64
8 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 90 90
9 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 92 92
10 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 109 109
11 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 132 132
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 1 3 4 2 1 1 6 4 1 4 2 29 Emily Allen '21
Sidney Moyer '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 4 2 1 3 4 4 1 3 2 1 4 29 Olivia Drulard '23
Livia Herman '22
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 5 5 6 4 2 5 2 1 3 2 1 36 Bridget Monahan '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Mary Katherine Monahan '24 [3-4]
Tia Schoening '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 2 7 2 1 3 6 5 2 5 3 8 44 Caroline Sibilly '22
Megan Cassidy '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 7 1 3 5 7 3 4 6 7 5 3 51 Heidi Hicks '21
Kate Danielson '24
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers 8 4 7 6 5 2 7 5 6 6 7 63 Lucy Spearman '21
Ellie Spearman '21
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 3 8 5 8 6 7 3 7 4 7 6 64 Tavia Smith '23
Jane Wright '24
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 6 6 8 10 9 8 9 8 8 9 9 90 Sara Lemba '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Elizabeth Wire '24 [3-4, 8-11]
Kaitlin Eaton '23 [1-2, 5-7]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 9 9 7 8 9 8 9 9 10 5 92 Zuzanna Barska '22
Sophie Suereth '22
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 10 10 DNF 9 10 10 10 10 10 8 10 109 Kathryn Thorsen '21
Heidi Weiksnar '23
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity DNF DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 132 Alessia Decamp '22
Sarina Schmoyer '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes11111111111
Atlanta Classical AcademyAtlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers22222222222
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny33333333333
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons44444444444
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard66666666666
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers77777777777
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity88888888888
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders99999999999
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1010101010101010101010
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1111111111111111111111
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1212121212121212121212

Conditions — 05/15/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.7 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From NE (46°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jacksonville University: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 17% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Jacksonville University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →